AI-powered prediction market intelligence AI 驱动的预测市场歸察
May 08, 2026 06:36 UTC
#1 · Score 928

SUJA LIFE IPO Valuation Concerns Mount SUJA LIFE IPO估值担忧加剧

100% +92.5%

Will SUJA LIFE's market cap be less than $0.8B at market close on IPO day?


The probability of SUJA LIFE's market cap being less than $0.8B on IPO day has surged to 100%, driven by a broader cautious sentiment towards new public listings. This shift reflects concerns highlighted by recent reports, such as The Motley Fool noting that large IPOs tend to perform poorly. SUJA LIFE上市首日市值低于$0.8B的可能性已飙升至100%,这主要受对新上市公司的普遍谨慎情绪驱动。此转变反映了近期报告中的担忧,例如The Motley Fool指出大型IPO表现往往不佳。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Motley Fool noted large IPOs perform poorly.
  • SpaceX faces activist and SEC scrutiny.
  • Skepticism on private market valuations.
  • Motley Fool指出大型IPO表现不佳。
  • SpaceX面临激进分子和SEC审查。
  • 对私募市场估值持怀疑态度。
This market's strong conviction reflects broader investor caution regarding new IPOs, potentially impacting future private-to-public transitions. It highlights a shift in how new listings are perceived and valued post-private funding rounds. 该市场的高度确信反映了投资者对新IPO的普遍谨慎,可能影响未来的私有转公开交易。它突显了对新上市公司在私募融资后估值认知的转变。
🐂 AI Bull CaseAI 多头观点 Broad investor caution and increased scrutiny on new IPOs will likely depress SUJA LIFE's initial market valuation. 投资者普遍谨慎和对新IPO审查加剧,可能压低SUJA LIFE的初始市值。
🐻 AI Bear CaseAI 空头观点 SUJA LIFE could reveal strong financials or high demand, leading to an IPO valuation exceeding $0.8B. SUJA LIFE若公布强劲财务或高需求,其IPO估值可能超过$0.8B。

Loading…
500
#2 · Score 833

AI Boom Propels MSFT to $427.50 AI热潮推动微软股价至$427.50

100% +83.0%

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $427.50 Week of May 4 2026?


The probability for MSFT to hit $427.50 by May 4, 2026, surged to 100% due to overwhelming confidence in the AI sector. This was driven by strong earnings from AI-focused companies like Datadog, which soared 31%, and AMD's profit nearly doubling from the AI surge. 微软股价在2026年5月4日前触及$427.50的概率飙升至100%,主要受AI领域压倒性信心的驱动。Datadog因AI业绩大涨31%,以及AMD利润因AI浪潮翻倍,都印证了这一趋势。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • AMD's profit nearly doubled, fueled by AI surge.
  • Datadog stock soared 31% on blockbuster AI earnings.
  • Strong performance of AI-driven software companies.
  • AMD利润因AI热潮几乎翻倍。
  • Datadog股价因AI业绩飙升31%。
  • AI驱动型软件公司表现强劲。
This movement highlights immense investor confidence in the AI sector's growth and Microsoft's pivotal role in capitalizing on this technological revolution. 此次概率变动凸显了投资者对AI行业增长的巨大信心,以及微软在把握这场技术革命中的关键作用。
🐂 AI Bull CaseAI 多头观点 Microsoft's leading position in cloud AI and software will continue to drive strong revenue growth, easily sustaining the $427.50 valuation. 微软在云AI和软件领域的领先地位将持续推动强劲营收增长,轻松维持$427.50的估值。
🐻 AI Bear CaseAI 空头观点 An overextended AI rally or unexpected competitive pressures could lead to a market correction, preventing MSFT from holding $427.50. AI行情过热或意外的竞争压力可能导致市场回调,使微软股价难以维持在$427.50。

Loading…
500
#3 · Score 689

Silver Hits $79 Target 白银触及79美元目标

100% +68.5%

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $79 Week of May 4 2026?


Silver (XAGUSD) probability surged to 100% for hitting $79 by May 4, 2026, indicating the price target was met. This was driven by a "loud bull cycle" fueled by fundamental "replacement math" and strong producer balance sheets. 白银(XAGUSD)在2026年5月4日当周触及79美元的概率飙升至100%,表明价格目标已达成。这主要受“白银替代数学”驱动的“强劲牛市周期”以及稳健的生产商资产负债表推动。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Silver (XAGUSD) confirmed hitting $79 target.
  • "Silver's Replacement Math" driving a "loud bull cycle."
  • Robust producer balance sheets supporting price growth.
  • 白银(XAGUSD)确认触及79美元目标。
  • “白银替代数学”推动“强劲牛市周期”。
  • 稳健的生产商资产负债表支撑价格上涨。
This signifies a major revaluation of silver, impacting industrial demand, investment strategies, and global commodity markets. 这标志着白银的重大价值重估,影响工业需求、投资策略和全球大宗商品市场。
🐂 AI Bull CaseAI 多头观点 Sustained industrial demand and supply constraints, as highlighted by "replacement math," will keep silver prices elevated. 持续的工业需求和供应限制(如“替代数学”所示)将使白银价格保持高位。
🐻 AI Bear CaseAI 空头观点 A significant global economic slowdown or increased supply could lead to a sharp correction in silver prices. 全球经济显著放缓或供应增加可能导致白银价格大幅回调。

Loading…
500
#4 · Score 669

US Launches Hormuz Operation 美国启动霍尔木兹行动

100% +66.5%

Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?


The probability surged to 100% after the United States launched a new military operation to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. This action, reported by the Los Angeles Times, directly implies the deployment of warships to secure the critical waterway. 在美国启动一项新的军事行动以重新开放霍尔木兹海峡后,该预测市场的概率飙升至100%。据《洛杉矶时报》报道,此举直接意味着部署军舰以确保这条关键航道的安全。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • US launches military operation to reopen Strait of Hormuz.
  • Hegseth confirms 'ceasefire is not over' amid US action.
  • Iran's Revolutionary Guard states ships can now pass.
  • 美国启动军事行动重开霍尔木兹海峡。
  • 赫格塞斯确认“停火未结束”伴随美方行动。
  • 伊朗革命卫队称船只现可通行海峡。
This marks a significant escalation in the Middle East, impacting global energy markets and raising the risk of direct confrontation in a vital shipping lane. 这标志着中东局势的重大升级,将影响全球能源市场,并增加在重要航运通道发生直接冲突的风险。
🐂 AI Bull CaseAI 多头观点 The US military operation to reopen the Strait of Hormuz is already underway and involves the deployment of warships as reported. 据报道,美国为重开霍尔木兹海峡的军事行动已在进行中,并涉及军舰部署。
🐻 AI Bear CaseAI 空头观点 The reported 'military operation' does not involve sending warships through the Strait, or the news is later retracted. 所报道的“军事行动”不涉及军舰通过海峡,或相关新闻随后被撤回。

Loading…
500
#5 · Score 619

Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in May? Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in May?

100% +61.5%

Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in May?


Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误,仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Loading…
500
#6 · Score 618

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,750 Week of May 4 2026? Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,750 Week of May 4 2026?

100% +61.5%

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,750 Week of May 4 2026?


Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误,仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Loading…
500
#7 · Score 496

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

1% -49.1%

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET


Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误,仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Loading…
500
#8 · Score 494

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $735 Week of May 4 2026? Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $735 Week of May 4 2026?

100% +48.9%

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $735 Week of May 4 2026?


Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误,仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Loading…
500
#9 · Score 458

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $82 in May? Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $82 in May?

100% +45.5%

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $82 in May?


Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误,仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Loading…
500
#10 · Score 454

Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $288 Week of May 4 2026? Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $288 Week of May 4 2026?

100% +45.0%

Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $288 Week of May 4 2026?


Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误,仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Loading…
500
#11 · Score 379

Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League? Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?

72% +37.5%

Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?


Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误,仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Loading…
500
#12 · Score 330

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11PM ET Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11PM ET

82% +32.5%

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11PM ET


Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误,仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Loading…
500
#13 · Score 318

Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $96 in May? Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $96 in May?

22% -31.5%

Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $96 in May?


Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误,仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Loading…
500
#14 · Score 299

Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $129 Week of May 4 20 Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $129 Week of May 4 20

3% -29.5%

Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $129 Week of May 4 2026?


Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误,仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Loading…
500
#15 · Score 298

Opendoor Price Target Doubts Surge Opendoor股价目标存疑

29% -29.5%

Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.75 Week of May 4 2026?


The probability of Opendoor (OPEN) hitting $5.75 by May 2026 plummeted 29.5% to 29%, driven by a significant re-evaluation of its long-term prospects amidst a challenging macroeconomic environment. This sharp decline suggests growing investor skepticism regarding the company's ability to navigate persistent housing market headwinds. Opendoor (OPEN)在2026年5月前触及5.75美元的概率骤降29.5%至29%,主要受宏观经济挑战下对其长期前景的重新评估驱动。此次大幅下跌表明投资者对公司应对持续房地产市场逆风的能力日益怀疑。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Reassessment of Federal Reserve's 'higher for longer' interest rate policy.
  • Deteriorating U.S. housing market transaction volume forecasts.
  • Increased skepticism on Opendoor's path to sustained GAAP profitability.
  • 美联储“高利率维持更久”政策预期的重新评估。
  • 美国房地产市场交易量预测的恶化。
  • 对Opendoor实现持续GAAP盈利路径的怀疑增加。
This movement reflects broader concerns about the iBuying business model's resilience and profitability in a volatile interest rate environment, impacting future real estate tech valuations. 这一变化反映了市场对iBuying商业模式在利率波动环境下的韧性和盈利能力的广泛担忧,影响未来房地产科技公司的估值。
🐂 AI Bull CaseAI 多头观点 Significant interest rate cuts and a robust housing market rebound could propel Opendoor's revenue and profitability, pushing shares higher. 大幅降息和房地产市场强劲反弹可推动Opendoor营收和盈利,股价上涨。
🐻 AI Bear CaseAI 空头观点 Prolonged high interest rates and a stagnant housing market would continue to challenge Opendoor's inventory management and profitability goals. 长期高利率和房地产市场停滞将持续挑战Opendoor的库存管理和盈利目标。

Loading…
500
#16 · Score 279

Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 Week of May 4 2026? Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 Week of May 4 2026?

54% -27.6%

Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 Week of May 4 2026?


Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误,仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Loading…
500
#17 · Score 273

Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of May 4 above $400? Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of May 4 above $400?

72% +27.0%

Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of May 4 above $400?


Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误,仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Loading…
500
#18 · Score 223

Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $170 in May? Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $170 in May?

66% +22.0%

Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $170 in May?


Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误,仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Loading…
500
#19 · Score 214

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31? Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?

90% +21.0%

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?


Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误,仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Loading…
500
#20 · Score 208

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 in May? Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 in May?

62% +20.5%

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 in May?


Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误,仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Loading…
500
#21 · Score 199

Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 in May? Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 in May?

100% +19.4%

Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 in May?


Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误,仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Loading…
500
#22 · Score 188

Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $288 in May? Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $288 in May?

30% -18.5%

Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $288 in May?


Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误,仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Loading…
500
#23 · Score 150

Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10? Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?

42% +14.5%

Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?


Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误,仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Loading…
500
#24 · Score 135

Will Freiburg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League? Will Freiburg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?

28% +13.1%

Will Freiburg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?


Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误,仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Loading…
500
#25 · Score 131

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 8? Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 8?

1% -12.6%

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 8?


Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误,仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Loading…
500
#26 · Score 129

Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $288 in May? Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $288 in May?

100% +12.4%

Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $288 in May?


Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误,仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Loading…
500
#27 · Score 128

No one announced as next James Bond? No one announced as next James Bond?

64% -12.5%

No one announced as next James Bond?


Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误,仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Loading…
500
#28 · Score 128

Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $175 Week of May 4 2026? Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $175 Week of May 4 2026?

41% +12.5%

Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $175 Week of May 4 2026?


Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误,仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Loading…
500
#29 · Score 123

Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5? Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?

14% -12.0%

Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?


Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误,仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Loading…
500
#30 · Score 108

Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.50 in May? Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.50 in May?

41% -10.5%

Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.50 in May?


Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误,仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Loading…
500
#31 · Score 71

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 m Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 m

60% +6.8%

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?


Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误,仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Loading…
500
#32 · Score 34

Will Allegiant announce bankruptcy by December 31? Will Allegiant announce bankruptcy by December 31?

6% -3.0%

Will Allegiant announce bankruptcy by December 31?


Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误,仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Loading…
500
No markets in this category yet. 此分类暂无市场数据。

📚 Guide 📚 使用指南

What is PolyLens?什么是 PolyLens?

PolyLens scans Polymarket every 8 hours, finds markets with notable price movements, fetches real news, and uses AI (Gemini / GPT) to generate concise intelligence cards. PolyLens 每 8 小时扫描全球最大预测市场 Polymarket,找出价格波动显著的市场,获取相关新闽,并使用 AI 生成简测的市场歸察卡片。

Think of it as: crowd wisdom + journalist instinct + analyst writing, fully automated. 可以理解为:结体智慐 + 记者直觉 + 分析师 振写,全自动化。


Reading a Card如何读测卡片

  • Big % (e.g. 62%) — current market-implied probability of YES outcome 大数字(如 62%) — 市场隐含的“是”结果概率
  • +7.0% / −3.5% — probability change in the last 24 hours +7.0% / −3.5% — 过去 24 小时概率变化
  • Summary — 2–3 sentence AI overview of latest developments 摘要 — AI 生成的 2–3 句最新动態
  • Key Drivers — bullet points explaining why the market moved 核心驱动 — 解释市场变动原因的要点
  • Vol 24h — trading volume (higher = more liquid, more reliable) Vol 24h — 24小时交易量(越高信号越可靠)
  • Sources 1 2 3 — news articles used as AI analysis context 来源 1 2 3 — AI 分析参考的新闽文章

Categories分类说明

  • 🔥 Hot — all markets ranked by movement × volume🔥 皣门 — 全部市场,按变动×成交量益合排名
  • 🗳️ Politics — elections, policy, government🗳️ 政治 — 选举、政ách;、政府
  • 🤖 AI & Tech — AI, software, hardware🤖 AI 科技 — 人工智能、软件、硬件
  • 📈 Economy — macro, rates, trade, inflation📈 经济 — 宏观、利率、质易、通織
  • 💼 Business — companies, M&A, earnings💼 商业 — 公司、并转、责报
  • 🌍 World — geopolitics, international events🌍 国际 — 地缓政治、国际事件
  • Sports — football, NBA, tennis, golf…体育 — 足球、NBA、网球、高尔堠…
  • Crypto — Bitcoin, Ethereum, DeFi加密 — 比特币、以太坚、DeFi

Newsletter邮件订阅

Subscribe at the bottom of the page. Every 8 hours, after fresh data is generated, you receive the top 3 insights with a link back to the full site. 在页面底部订阅。每 8 小时生成新数据后,您将收到前 3 条歸察的邮件,附有完整网站链接。


🤖 API / MCP for AI Agents供 AI 调用的 API / MCP

PolyLens exposes a Model Context Protocol (MCP) endpoint so AI assistants (Claude, GPT, etc.) can read live market intelligence as a built-in tool. PolyLens 提供 Model Context Protocol (MCP) 端点,供 AI 助手(Claude、GPT 等)以工具方式读取实时市场歸察。

Endpoint: https://www.hika.fyi/api/mcp 端点: https://www.hika.fyi/api/mcp

Tools: 可用工具:

  • get_insights — fetch insights, filter by category + lang — 获取歸察,可按 categorylang 簿选
  • get_market_summary — one-paragraph current market overview — 当前市场状况的简要显述
curl https://www.hika.fyi/api/mcp \
  -X POST -H "Content-Type: application/json" \
  -d '{"jsonrpc":"2.0","id":1,"method":"tools/call",
       "params":{"name":"get_insights",
                 "arguments":{"limit":3}}}'

Raw data: /data.json · Discovery: /.well-known/mcp.json 原始数据:/data.json · 服务发现:/.well-known/mcp.json


Data Sources数据来源

  • Polymarket — market prices, volumes, 24h changesPolymarket — 市场价格、成交量、24h 变化
  • Tavily — real-time news search with full snippetsTavily — 实时新闽搜索,含完整摘要
  • Gemini / GPT-4o-mini — AI analysis, bilingual insight generationGemini / GPT-4o-mini — AI 分析,双语歸察生成

🕑 History 🕑 历史文策

Loading…
Select a date from the list to view that snapshot.

Each snapshot includes the full AI analysis + a downloadable Markdown article.
从左侧选择日期查看该时间的快照。

ỗ个快照包含完整 AI 分析及可下载的 Markdown 文策。