AI-powered prediction market intelligence AI 驱动的预测市场歸察
Jul 22, 2026 20:10 UTC
#1 · Score 762

Iran-Gulf Military Action Imminent 伊朗对海湾国家军事行动迫在眉睫

100% +75.8%

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?

The market shows 100% probability of Iran military action against a Gulf State by July 20, driven by escalating U.S.-Iran conflict. Recent events include another tanker attack in the Strait of Hormuz and U.S. strikes hitting Iranian infrastructure beyond military sites as of July 19. 市场显示伊朗在7月20日前对海湾国家采取军事行动的概率为100%，主要受美伊冲突升级驱动。近期事件包括霍尔木兹海峡油轮遇袭，以及截至7月19日美国打击伊朗基础设施已超出军事目标。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • U.S. strikes Iran for 10th consecutive night
  • Another tanker attacked in Strait of Hormuz
  • U.S. targets Iranian forces after service member killed
  • U.S. strikes hit Iranian bridges by July 19
  • 美国连续第十晚空袭伊朗
  • 霍尔木兹海峡再有油轮遇袭
  • 美军士兵遇害后，美军打击伊朗部队
  • 截至7月19日，美军打击伊朗桥梁
This rapid escalation risks a wider regional war, impacting global oil supplies and international stability. It signifies a dangerous new phase in the U.S.-Iran confrontation. 此次迅速升级可能引发更广泛的地区战争，影响全球石油供应和国际稳定。这标志着美伊对抗进入危险新阶段。
Vol 24h: $26,575 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
🐂 AI Bull CaseAI 多头观点 Continued U.S. strikes or direct Iranian retaliation against Gulf shipping/assets will confirm the action. 美国持续打击或伊朗直接报复海湾航运/资产将证实行动。
🐻 AI Bear CaseAI 空头观点 A last-minute diplomatic intervention or de-escalation by either side could prevent direct military action. 最后一刻的外交干预或双方降级可能阻止直接军事行动。
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500
#2 · Score 685

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 22? S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 22?

0% -68.0%

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 22?

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Key Drivers核心驱动

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  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $113,809 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#3 · Score 588

Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of July 20 2026? Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of July 20 2026?

100% +58.5%

Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of July 20 2026?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $1,977 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#4 · Score 499

Bitcoin Surges on Regulatory Clarity Hopes 比特币因监管明朗化预期飙升

100% +49.5%

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12PM ET

The probability for Bitcoin to be up by July 22, 12PM ET surged to 100% following news that the "Clarity Act" is at the "1-yard line," as stated by Bessent. This development significantly reduced regulatory uncertainty, bolstering investor confidence. 比特币在7月22日中午12点（美国东部时间）上涨的概率飙升至100%，此前Bessent表示“清晰法案”已进入“一码线”。这一进展显著降低了监管不确定性，提振了投资者信心。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Bessent: "Clarity Act" near completion
  • Bitcoin technical recovery and upside case
  • Reduced regulatory uncertainty for crypto
  • Bessent称“清晰法案”接近完成
  • 比特币技术性复苏，看涨前景
  • 加密货币监管不确定性降低
Regulatory clarity is vital for institutional investment and mainstream adoption, potentially paving the way for broader market integration and stability. 监管清晰度对机构投资和主流采用至关重要，可能为更广泛的市场整合和稳定铺平道路。
Vol 24h: $25,691 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
🐂 AI Bull CaseAI 多头观点 Impending "Clarity Act" completion, as per Bessent, will unlock significant institutional capital and drive Bitcoin higher. Bessent提及的“清晰法案”即将完成，将释放大量机构资金，推动比特币上涨。
🐻 AI Bear CaseAI 空头观点 Overbought technical momentum and approaching profit-taking levels could lead to a near-term price pullback. 技术指标显示超买，且临近获利了结区域，可能引发短期价格回调。
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500
#5 · Score 492

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on July 22? NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on July 22?

99% +48.9%

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on July 22?

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Key Drivers核心驱动

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Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $7,473 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#6 · Score 491

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

1% -48.6%

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

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Key Drivers核心驱动

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  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $20,273 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#7 · Score 483

Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on July 22? Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on July 22?

2% -48.0%

Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on July 22?

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Key Drivers核心驱动

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  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
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Vol 24h: $2,090 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#8 · Score 483

NVDA $200 Low Probability Halves 英伟达200美元低点可能性减半

6% -48.0%

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $200 Week of July 20 2026?

The probability of NVIDIA hitting a low of $200 by July 2026 dropped by 48% to 6%. This significant decrease was primarily driven by news of Nvidia's nearly $4 billion investment and 18-fold stake increase in a cloud industry company. 英伟达（NVDA）在2026年7月20日当周触及200美元低点的可能性下降了48%至6%。这一显著下降主要受英伟达向一家云行业公司投资近40亿美元并将其持股增加18倍的消息推动。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Nvidia's $4B investment in cloud company
  • Increased 18-fold stake signals confidence
  • Strategic move for long-term growth
  • 英伟达40亿美元投资云公司
  • 持股增18倍显示公司信心
  • 长期增长的战略性举措
This indicates market confidence in Nvidia's strategic positioning and long-term growth prospects, making a severe price drop less likely. It highlights the company's proactive efforts to expand its influence in critical tech sectors. 这表明市场对英伟达的战略定位和长期增长前景充满信心，认为股价大幅下跌的可能性降低。它凸显了公司在关键科技领域扩大影响力的积极努力。
Vol 24h: $1,995 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
🐂 AI Bull CaseAI 多头观点 Nvidia's strategic $4 billion cloud investment signals robust future growth and market dominance, making a $200 low highly improbable. 英伟达40亿美元的云战略投资预示其未来强劲增长和市场主导地位，使200美元低点极不可能。
🐻 AI Bear CaseAI 空头观点 Broader AI market cooling and increased competition could still pressure NVDA, making a $200 low possible by 2026. 广泛的AI市场降温和日益激烈的竞争仍可能给英伟达带来压力，使2026年触及200美元低点成为可能。
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500
#9 · Score 483

Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $630 Week of July 20 2026? Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $630 Week of July 20 2026?

100% +47.9%

Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $630 Week of July 20 2026?

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Key Drivers核心驱动

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Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $1,970 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#10 · Score 476

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 22? WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 22?

97% +47.1%

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 22?

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Key Drivers核心驱动

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  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
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Vol 24h: $25,495 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#11 · Score 448

Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $129 Week of July 20 Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $129 Week of July 20

100% +44.5%

Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $129 Week of July 20 2026?

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Key Drivers核心驱动

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Vol 24h: $1,092 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#12 · Score 423

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on July 22? WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on July 22?

8% -42.0%

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on July 22?

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Key Drivers核心驱动

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  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
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Vol 24h: $2,899 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#13 · Score 419

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 22? Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 22?

100% +41.4%

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 22?

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Key Drivers核心驱动

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  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $29,190 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#14 · Score 408

Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $244 Week of July 20 2026? Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $244 Week of July 20 2026?

100% +40.5%

Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $244 Week of July 20 2026?

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Key Drivers核心驱动

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  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
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Vol 24h: $1,010 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#15 · Score 379

Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on July 22? Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on July 22?

89% +37.5%

Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on July 22?

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Key Drivers核心驱动

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  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
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Vol 24h: $2,519 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#16 · Score 371

AMZN $250 Target Dips Amid Tech Rout 亚马逊250美元目标概率骤降

2% -36.8%

Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $250 on July 22?

The probability of Amazon (AMZN) closing above $250 by July 22 has plummeted to 2%, driven by a broader tech sector downturn. Recent headlines highlight a 'Chip Rout' testing the market, signaling widespread weakness. 亚马逊(AMZN)在7月22日收盘价高于250美元的可能性已跌至2%，主要受科技板块普遍下跌影响。近期头条指出“芯片股回调”正在考验市场，预示着广泛的疲软。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Broader tech sector weakness from 'Chip Rout'.
  • Increased market volatility and risk aversion.
  • Significant gap to $250 target by July 22.
  • 芯片股回调引发科技板块疲软。
  • 市场波动性增加及避险情绪升温。
  • 距7月22日250美元目标价差距大。
This movement reflects investor concerns about the resilience of major tech stocks like Amazon amidst broader economic and sector-specific headwinds, impacting portfolio strategies. 这一变化反映了投资者对亚马逊等主要科技股在经济和行业逆风下的韧性担忧，影响着投资组合策略。
Vol 24h: $1,739 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1
🐂 AI Bull CaseAI 多头观点 Strong Q2 earnings or a sudden rebound in tech sector sentiment could propel AMZN above $250 by July 22. 强劲的第二季度财报或科技板块情绪突然反弹，可能推动亚马逊在7月22日前突破250美元。
🐻 AI Bear CaseAI 空头观点 Continued 'Chip Rout' and macroeconomic pressures will likely keep AMZN well below $250 by the July 22 deadline. 芯片股持续回调和宏观经济压力，很可能使亚马逊在7月22日截止日期前远低于250美元。
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500
#17 · Score 288

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?

67% +28.3%

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?

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Key Drivers核心驱动

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  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
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Vol 24h: $293,592 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#18 · Score 278

Will Apple (AAPL) close above $325 on July 22? Will Apple (AAPL) close above $325 on July 22?

45% -27.5%

Will Apple (AAPL) close above $325 on July 22?

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Key Drivers核心驱动

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  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
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Vol 24h: $2,643 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#19 · Score 248

Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $144 in July? Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $144 in July?

12% -24.5%

Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $144 in July?

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Key Drivers核心驱动

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  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
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Vol 24h: $1,292 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#20 · Score 233

Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 20 2026? Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 20 2026?

75% +23.0%

Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 20 2026?

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Key Drivers核心驱动

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  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
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Vol 24h: $1,776 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#21 · Score 210

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 22? S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 22?

74% +20.5%

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 22?

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Key Drivers核心驱动

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  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
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Vol 24h: $124,005 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#22 · Score 194

Bitcoin $68K Target Probability Plunges 比特币6.8万美元概率骤降

40% -19.0%

Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 20-26?

The probability of Bitcoin reaching $68,000 by July 26th dropped 19% to 40% in 24 hours. This decline is primarily driven by emerging 'exit signals' in the broader crypto market and concerns over a turning credit cycle. 比特币在7月26日前达到6.8万美元的概率在24小时内下降19%至40%。此次下跌主要受加密市场“退出信号”增加及信贷周期转向担忧影响。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Market exit signals building (KITCO)
  • Credit cycle turning, per Dowd (KITCO)
  • Coinbase trading volume concerns (CNBC)
  • 市场出现“退出信号”（KITCO）
  • 道德称“信贷周期已转向”（KITCO）
  • Coinbase交易量或不及预期（CNBC）
This market reflects short-term investor confidence in Bitcoin's immediate upside potential amidst broader economic and crypto-specific headwinds. 该市场反映了投资者对短期内比特币上涨潜力的信心，尤其是在宏观经济和加密货币特定逆风下。
Vol 24h: $21,877 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
🐂 AI Bull CaseAI 多头观点 Bitcoin holds its upside case, supported by potential Clarity Act progress, suggesting a rebound. 比特币仍有上涨空间，受《清晰法案》进展支持，预示可能反弹。
🐻 AI Bear CaseAI 空头观点 Building exit signals, an overbought market, and a turning credit cycle suggest a near-term price correction. 市场退出信号增多、超买状况及信贷周期转向预示短期价格回调。
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500
#23 · Score 178

Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $112.50 Week of July 20 Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $112.50 Week of July 20

24% -17.5%

Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $112.50 Week of July 20 2026?

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Key Drivers核心驱动

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Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $1,096 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#24 · Score 175

Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 17, Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 17,

0% -17.2%

Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 17, 2026?

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Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $2,225 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#25 · Score 173

Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting? Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?

69% +17.0%

Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $2,510 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#26 · Score 165

Will Google (GOOGL) close above $365 on July 22? Will Google (GOOGL) close above $365 on July 22?

36% +16.0%

Will Google (GOOGL) close above $365 on July 22?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $43,495 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#27 · Score 148

Will USD be at least 1.9M Iranian rials on July 31? Will USD be at least 1.9M Iranian rials on July 31?

72% +14.5%

Will USD be at least 1.9M Iranian rials on July 31?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $697 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#28 · Score 145

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 22? SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 22?

74% +14.0%

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 22?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $84,947 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#29 · Score 144

Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026? Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?

64% +14.0%

Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $12,252 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#30 · Score 138

Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 31, Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 31,

30% -13.5%

Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 31, 2026?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $1,105 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#31 · Score 107

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meet Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meet

78% -10.1%

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $1,987,376 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#32 · Score 71

Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $11B by July 31? Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $11B by July 31?

2% -6.8%

Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $11B by July 31?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $8,248 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
No markets in this category yet. 此分类暂无市场数据。

📚 Guide 📚 使用指南

What is PolyLens?什么是 PolyLens？

PolyLens scans Polymarket every 8 hours, finds markets with notable price movements, fetches real news, and uses AI (Gemini / GPT) to generate concise intelligence cards. PolyLens 每 8 小时扫描全球最大预测市场 Polymarket，找出价格波动显著的市场，获取相关新闽，并使用 AI 生成简测的市场歸察卡片。

Think of it as: crowd wisdom + journalist instinct + analyst writing, fully automated. 可以理解为：结体智慐 + 记者直觉 + 分析师　振写，全自动化。

Reading a Card如何读测卡片

  • Big % (e.g. 62%) — current market-implied probability of YES outcome 大数字（如 62%） — 市场隐含的“是”结果概率
  • +7.0% / −3.5% — probability change in the last 24 hours +7.0% / −3.5% — 过去 24 小时概率变化
  • Summary — 2–3 sentence AI overview of latest developments 摘要 — AI 生成的 2–3 句最新动態
  • Key Drivers — bullet points explaining why the market moved 核心驱动 — 解释市场变动原因的要点
  • Vol 24h — trading volume (higher = more liquid, more reliable) Vol 24h — 24小时交易量（越高信号越可靠）
  • Sources 1 2 3 — news articles used as AI analysis context 来源 1 2 3 — AI 分析参考的新闽文章

Categories分类说明

  • 🔥 Hot — all markets ranked by movement × volume🔥 皣门 — 全部市场，按变动×成交量益合排名
  • 🗳️ Politics — elections, policy, government🗳️ 政治 — 选举、政ách;、政府
  • 🤖 AI & Tech — AI, software, hardware🤖 AI 科技 — 人工智能、软件、硬件
  • 📈 Economy — macro, rates, trade, inflation📈 经济 — 宏观、利率、质易、通織
  • 💼 Business — companies, M&A, earnings💼 商业 — 公司、并转、责报
  • 🌍 World — geopolitics, international events🌍 国际 — 地缓政治、国际事件
  • ⚽ Sports — football, NBA, tennis, golf…⚽ 体育 — 足球、NBA、网球、高尔堠…
  • ₿ Crypto — Bitcoin, Ethereum, DeFi₿ 加密 — 比特币、以太坚、DeFi

Newsletter邮件订阅

Subscribe at the bottom of the page. Every 8 hours, after fresh data is generated, you receive the top 3 insights with a link back to the full site. 在页面底部订阅。每 8 小时生成新数据后，您将收到前 3 条歸察的邮件，附有完整网站链接。

🤖 API / MCP for AI Agents供 AI 调用的 API / MCP

PolyLens exposes a Model Context Protocol (MCP) endpoint so AI assistants (Claude, GPT, etc.) can read live market intelligence as a built-in tool. PolyLens 提供 Model Context Protocol (MCP) 端点，供 AI 助手（Claude、GPT 等）以工具方式读取实时市场歸察。

Endpoint: https://www.hika.fyi/api/mcp 端点： https://www.hika.fyi/api/mcp

Tools: 可用工具：

  • get_insights — fetch insights, filter by category + lang — 获取歸察，可按 category 和 lang 簿选
  • get_market_summary — one-paragraph current market overview — 当前市场状况的简要显述 
curl https://www.hika.fyi/api/mcp \
  -X POST -H "Content-Type: application/json" \
  -d '{"jsonrpc":"2.0","id":1,"method":"tools/call",
       "params":{"name":"get_insights",
                 "arguments":{"limit":3}}}'

Raw data: /data.json · Discovery: /.well-known/mcp.json 原始数据：/data.json · 服务发现：/.well-known/mcp.json

Data Sources数据来源

  • Polymarket — market prices, volumes, 24h changesPolymarket — 市场价格、成交量、24h 变化
  • Tavily — real-time news search with full snippetsTavily — 实时新闽搜索，含完整摘要
  • Gemini / GPT-4o-mini — AI analysis, bilingual insight generationGemini / GPT-4o-mini — AI 分析，双语歸察生成

🕑 History 🕑 历史文策

Loading…
Select a date from the list to view that snapshot.

Each snapshot includes the full AI analysis + a downloadable Markdown article. 从左侧选择日期查看该时间的快照。

ỗ个快照包含完整 AI 分析及可下载的 Markdown 文策。