AI-powered prediction market intelligence AI 驱动的预测市场歸察
Jun 10, 2026 14:00 UTC
#1 · Score 524

Silver Plunge Fuels $64 Low Expectation 白银暴跌推高64美元低点预期

100% +51.9%

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 in June?

Silver prices have plunged to two-month lows, driving the probability of hitting a $64 low in June to 100%. This sharp increase is primarily due to heightened interest rate hike fears and geopolitical tensions involving Iran. 白银价格已跌至两个月低点，导致6月份触及64美元低点的可能性升至100%。这主要受加剧的加息担忧和伊朗地缘政治紧张局势驱动。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Anticipation of future interest rate hikes
  • Escalating Iran-related geopolitical tensions
  • Stronger US dollar and rising bond yields
  • 对未来加息的预期
  • 伊朗地缘政治紧张局势升级
  • 美元走强及债券收益率上升
This reflects a significant shift in investor sentiment away from precious metals as a safe haven, impacting inflation hedging strategies. 这反映了投资者对贵金属作为避险资产的信心显著转变，影响了对冲通胀的策略。
Vol 24h: $9,938 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
🐂 AI Bull CaseAI 多头观点 Continued aggressive Federal Reserve hawkishness and escalating global conflicts will push silver prices further down to $64. 美联储持续鹰派立场和全球冲突升级将进一步压低白银价格至64美元。
🐻 AI Bear CaseAI 空头观点 De-escalation of geopolitical risks and dovish shifts from central banks could lead to a strong silver price rebound. 地缘政治风险缓解及央行鸽派转向可能导致白银价格强劲反弹。
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500
#2 · Score 502

Bitcoin Price Plummets 比特币价格暴跌

0% -49.7%

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET

The probability of Bitcoin rising between 4 AM and 8 AM ET on June 10 dropped to 0% following strong bearish signals. KITCO reported Bitcoin pierced the $60,000 support, and CNBC noted it's in a 'classic mid-cycle' bear market. 6月10日凌晨4点至8点，比特币上涨概率降至0%，因市场出现强烈看跌信号。KITCO报道比特币跌破6万美元支撑位，CNBC指出其处于“经典中期熊市”。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Bitcoin pierced $60,000 support zone.
  • Rebound failed to repair technical picture.
  • Bitcoin in 'classic mid-cycle' bear market.
  • 比特币跌破6万美元关键支撑。
  • 反弹未能修复技术面弱势。
  • 比特币处于“经典中期熊市”。
Bitcoin's inability to recover signals broader crypto market weakness and impacts investor confidence in digital assets. 比特币未能复苏预示着更广泛的加密市场疲软，并影响投资者对数字资产的信心。
Vol 24h: $35,635 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
🐂 AI Bull CaseAI 多头观点 A sudden surge in risk appetite, potentially from tech stock rallies, could spark an unexpected Bitcoin recovery. 风险偏好突然增强，或科技股上涨溢出效应，可能意外提振比特币。
🐻 AI Bear CaseAI 空头观点 Continued technical weakness and failure to reclaim key support levels will likely drive Bitcoin further down. 技术面持续疲软，未能收复关键支撑位，比特币恐将进一步下跌。
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500
#3 · Score 481

SpaceX $300 First-Day High Probability Plummets SpaceX首日股价触及300美元概率骤降

2% -47.7%

Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 300 (High)?

The probability of SpaceX's first-day high hitting $300 fell by 47.7% to 2%, despite reports of $250 billion in IPO demand. This drop was driven by expert warnings about overvaluation and caution for retail investors, tempering expectations for an extreme first-day peak. 尽管SpaceX IPO吸引了2500亿美元需求，其首日股价触及300美元的概率仍暴跌47.7%至2%。这一下降主要受专家对估值过高及散户投资风险的警告驱动，抑制了对极端首日高价的预期。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Experts warn retail investors to be wary of SpaceX IPO.
  • Analyst states low odds for high targets in space sector.
  • Market trading at historically high valuation.
  • 专家警告散户投资者对SpaceX IPO需谨慎。
  • 分析师称航天板块高目标价几率低。
  • 市场整体估值处于历史高位。
This reflects a cautious market sentiment towards high-profile IPOs, balancing strong demand with concerns over sustainable valuations and potential retail investor risk. 这反映了市场对高知名度IPO的谨慎情绪，在强劲需求与可持续估值及潜在散户风险之间寻求平衡。
Vol 24h: $22,300 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
🐂 AI Bull CaseAI 多头观点 Massive investor demand, with $250 billion in orders and 4x oversubscription, could ignite a first-day trading frenzy pushing the price to $300. 2500亿美元订单和4倍超额认购的巨大投资者需求，可能引发首日交易狂潮，将股价推至300美元。
🐻 AI Bear CaseAI 空头观点 Expert warnings about overvaluation and retail investor caution, combined with a historically high market, make a $300 first-day high unlikely. 专家对估值过高和散户风险的警告，加上市场高位，使得首日股价触及300美元的可能性极低。
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500
#4 · Score 479

Gold Plunges Towards $4,200 黄金跌向4200美元

100% +47.4%

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in June?

Gold's probability of hitting $4,200 in June surged to 100% as strong US jobs data fueled aggressive rate hike bets. This pushed gold to a two-month low, with analysts suggesting a test of $4,000 support. 黄金在6月触及4200美元低点的可能性飙升至100%，因强劲的美国就业数据加剧了激进加息预期。这使黄金跌至两个月低点，分析师预计可能测试4000美元支撑位。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Strong US jobs data boosted rate-hike bets.
  • Gold hit a two-month low near $4,300.
  • Kitco commentary suggests gold could test $4,000.
  • Firmer dollar and rate risk overwhelm haven demand.
  • 强劲美国就业数据推升加息预期。
  • 黄金跌至两个月低点4300美元附近。
  • Kitco评论称黄金或测试4000美元。
  • 美元走强和加息风险压倒避险需求。
Gold's sharp decline reflects heightened expectations for sustained high interest rates, impacting global inflation and investment strategies. 黄金急剧下跌反映了市场对高利率持续的强烈预期，影响全球通胀和投资策略。
Vol 24h: $17,959 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
🐂 AI Bull CaseAI 多头观点 Continued hawkish Fed stance and robust economic data will likely drive gold further down to $4,200. 美联储持续鹰派立场和强劲经济数据可能进一步推动黄金跌至4200美元。
🐻 AI Bear CaseAI 空头观点 Unexpected dovish Fed pivot or escalating geopolitical tensions could halt gold's decline. 意外的鸽派美联储转向或地缘政治紧张升级可能阻止黄金下跌。
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500
#5 · Score 450

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7AM ET Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7AM ET

6% -44.5%

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7AM ET

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Key Drivers核心驱动

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Vol 24h: $39,875 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#6 · Score 449

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June? Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?

84% +44.5%

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?

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Key Drivers核心驱动

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Vol 24h: $15,983 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#7 · Score 394

AAPL $296 June Target Surges 苹果六月目标296美元概率飙升

100% +39.0%

Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $296 in June?

The probability of Apple (AAPL) hitting $296 in June has surged to 100% due to strong anticipation for its upcoming WWDC AI strategy reveal and positive analyst sentiment. Citi highlighted Apple's "record quarter" and the "most closely watched developer conference in years." 苹果（AAPL）股价在六月触及296美元的概率已飙升至100%，主要受市场对其即将到来的WWDC人工智能战略发布的高度期待以及积极的分析师情绪驱动。花旗银行强调了苹果的“创纪录季度”和“多年来最受关注的开发者大会”。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Citi's bullish commentary on Apple's "record quarter."
  • High anticipation for Apple's WWDC AI strategy reveal in June.
  • Potential for significant analyst price target upgrades.
  • 花旗银行对苹果“创纪录季度”的积极评价。
  • 市场高度期待苹果六月WWDC大会上的人工智能战略发布。
  • 分析师可能大幅上调目标价。
A successful AI integration could redefine Apple's growth trajectory and market valuation, impacting the broader tech sector. 成功的人工智能整合可能重塑苹果的增长轨迹和市场估值，影响更广泛的科技行业。
Vol 24h: $10,212 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
🐂 AI Bull CaseAI 多头观点 Groundbreaking AI announcements at WWDC could propel AAPL significantly past $296 in June. WWDC上突破性的人工智能发布可能推动苹果股价在六月远超296美元。
🐻 AI Bear CaseAI 空头观点 Overhyped AI expectations or disappointing WWDC reveals could cause a sharp price correction. 人工智能预期过高或WWDC发布令人失望可能导致股价大幅回调。
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500
#8 · Score 379

Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 June 8-14? Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 June 8-14?

2% -37.5%

Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 June 8-14?

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Key Drivers核心驱动

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Vol 24h: $13,034 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#9 · Score 333

Tech Sell-Off Drives MSFT Low Probability Up 微软触底概率飙升

77% +33.0%

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $390 in June?

The probability of Microsoft (MSFT) hitting a $390 low in June surged to 77% (+33%) following a significant tech sector sell-off. Wall Street reportedly dumped nearly $1 trillion in tech stocks by midday on June 9, 2026, creating substantial downward pressure. 微软（MSFT）六月触及390美元低点的概率飙升至77%（+33%），主要受科技股大幅抛售驱动。据报道，华尔街在2026年6月9日盘中抛售了近1万亿美元的科技股，造成显著下行压力。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Wall Street dumped $1 trillion in tech stocks.
  • Broadcom (AVGO) fell 14%, signaling tech weakness.
  • General tech sector sell-off on June 9, 2026.
  • 华尔街抛售1万亿美元科技股。
  • 博通（AVGO）下跌14%，预示科技股疲软。
  • 2026年6月9日科技板块普遍抛售。
A significant drop in MSFT, a major market cap company, could signal broader economic concerns or a shift away from tech growth stocks. This impacts investor confidence and portfolio performance across the market. 微软作为市值巨头的显著下跌，可能预示更广泛的经济担忧或科技增长股的转向，影响投资者信心和市场表现。
Vol 24h: $866 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
🐂 AI Bull CaseAI 多头观点 Continued tech sector weakness and broad market sell-offs will likely push MSFT to a $390 low in June. 科技板块持续疲软和市场普遍抛售，可能将微软股价推至六月390美元低点。
🐻 AI Bear CaseAI 空头观点 Tech stocks' ability to quickly recover losses suggests underlying resilience, preventing MSFT from hitting $390. 科技股迅速收复失地的能力，表明其潜在韧性，阻止微软跌至390美元。
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500
#10 · Score 328

Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in June? Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in June?

85% +32.5%

Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in June?

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Key Drivers核心驱动

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Vol 24h: $2,083 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#11 · Score 309

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 8-14? Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 8-14?

74% +30.5%

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 8-14?

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Key Drivers核心驱动

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Vol 24h: $22,879 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#12 · Score 293

Will Google (GOOGL) close above $400 end of June? Will Google (GOOGL) close above $400 end of June?

22% -29.0%

Will Google (GOOGL) close above $400 end of June?

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Vol 24h: $2,030 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#13 · Score 293

Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of June 8 above $395? Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of June 8 above $395?

45% -29.0%

Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of June 8 above $395?

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Vol 24h: $740 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#14 · Score 288

Will Google (GOOGL) close above $370 on June 9? Will Google (GOOGL) close above $370 on June 9?

0% -28.4%

Will Google (GOOGL) close above $370 on June 9?

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Vol 24h: $1,183 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#15 · Score 275

AI IPO Race Cools Anthropic Odds AI IPO竞速，Anthropic上市前景降温

16% -27.0%

Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?

The probability of Anthropic IPOing by September 30, 2026, dropped sharply by 27% to 16%. This decline follows news of Anthropic and OpenAI confidentially filing for IPOs, creating an 'IPO race' that the market now views as potentially complicating or delaying Anthropic's timeline. Anthropic在2026年9月30日前IPO的概率骤降27%至16%。此前Anthropic和OpenAI均秘密提交了IPO申请，形成“IPO竞速”，市场认为这可能使Anthropic的上市时间表复杂化或推迟。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • OpenAI's simultaneous IPO filing intensifies 'race'.
  • Perplexity CEO targets 2028 IPO, signaling caution.
  • Market concerns over AI IPO valuation and capacity.
  • OpenAI同步提交IPO文件，加剧竞争。
  • Perplexity CEO设定2028年IPO，暗示谨慎。
  • 市场担忧AI IPO估值及承载能力。
The timing of major AI company IPOs will significantly shape the future funding landscape and public perception of the AI industry's maturity and investment potential. 主要AI公司IPO的时机将显著影响AI行业的未来融资格局及其成熟度和投资潜力。
Vol 24h: $55,304 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
🐂 AI Bull CaseAI 多头观点 Anthropic's confidential filing confirms strong intent, and the 'race' could accelerate its IPO to beat competitors. Anthropic秘密提交申请表明强烈意图，竞争可能加速其IPO进程。
🐻 AI Bear CaseAI 空头观点 The intense 'IPO race' with OpenAI and potential market saturation could force Anthropic to delay its IPO beyond 2026. 与OpenAI的激烈IPO竞速及市场饱和可能迫使Anthropic推迟2026年后的上市。
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500
#16 · Score 259

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June? Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?

100% +25.4%

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?

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Key Drivers核心驱动

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Vol 24h: $52,052 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#17 · Score 238

Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $375 in June? Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $375 in June?

68% +23.5%

Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $375 in June?

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Vol 24h: $2,630 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#18 · Score 230

Ethereum Up or Down on June 10? Ethereum Up or Down on June 10?

28% -22.5%

Ethereum Up or Down on June 10?

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Key Drivers核心驱动

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Vol 24h: $40,750 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#19 · Score 224

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap

70% +22.0%

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

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Key Drivers核心驱动

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Vol 24h: $7,543 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#20 · Score 219

Bitcoin Dips Below $60K, Musk Shock Looms 比特币跌破6万，马斯克冲击预警

38% -21.5%

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14?

The probability of Bitcoin staying above $62,000 by June 14 plummeted by 21.5% as Bitcoin pierced the $60,000 support level. Bearish sentiment intensified due to a weak rebound and warnings of an impending Elon Musk-related price shock. 比特币在跌破6万美元支撑位后，其在6月14日高于62,000美元的概率骤降21.5%。疲软的反弹以及关于埃隆·马斯克价格冲击的警告加剧了市场看跌情绪。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Bitcoin pierced $60,000 support zone.
  • Weak 'dead-cat bounce' failed technicals.
  • Forbes warned of Elon Musk 'price shock'.
  • 比特币跌破6万美元支撑位。
  • 疲软反弹未能修复技术面。
  • 福布斯警告马斯克价格冲击。
This movement reflects growing investor anxiety regarding Bitcoin's short-term price stability and its vulnerability to technical breakdowns and influential figures' actions. 这一波动反映了投资者对比特币短期价格稳定性的担忧，以及其易受技术性突破和有影响力人物行为影响的脆弱性。
Vol 24h: $5,880 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
🐂 AI Bull CaseAI 多头观点 Strong institutional buying or a positive Elon Musk announcement could quickly push Bitcoin above $62,000. 机构强劲买入或马斯克利好消息可能迅速推高比特币至62,000美元以上。
🐻 AI Bear CaseAI 空头观点 Continued technical weakness below $60,000 and a negative Elon Musk event could drive Bitcoin further down. 持续低于6万美元的技术疲软和马斯克负面事件可能进一步压低比特币。
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#21 · Score 203

Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

43% -19.8%

Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $110,316 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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#22 · Score 195

Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

56% +19.0%

Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $94,825 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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#23 · Score 174

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of June 8 2026? Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of June 8 2026?

16% -17.0%

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of June 8 2026?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $4,952 Polymarket ↗
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#24 · Score 154

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12?

66% -15.0%

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $21,466 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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#25 · Score 153

Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $80 in June? Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $80 in June?

76% +15.0%

Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $80 in June?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $1,221 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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#26 · Score 148

Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $442.50 Week of June 8 2026? Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $442.50 Week of June 8 2026?

12% -14.5%

Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $442.50 Week of June 8 2026?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $1,277 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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#27 · Score 143

Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $168 in June? Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $168 in June?

74% +14.0%

Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $168 in June?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $1,269 Polymarket ↗
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#28 · Score 124

No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting? No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?

61% -12.0%

No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $3,413 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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#29 · Score 115

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 10? Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 10?

16% +11.1%

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 10?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $23,455 Polymarket ↗
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#30 · Score 113

Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 on June 9? Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 on June 9?

100% +10.9%

Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 on June 9?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $3,592 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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#31 · Score 65

Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7? Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?

0% -6.2%

Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $5,448 Polymarket ↗
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#32 · Score 63

Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in May? Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in May?

57% +6.0%

Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in May?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $992 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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#33 · Score 39

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.6T by June 30? Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.6T by June 30?

100% +3.5%

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.6T by June 30?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $23,298 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
No markets in this category yet. 此分类暂无市场数据。

📚 Guide 📚 使用指南

What is PolyLens?什么是 PolyLens？

PolyLens scans Polymarket every 8 hours, finds markets with notable price movements, fetches real news, and uses AI (Gemini / GPT) to generate concise intelligence cards. PolyLens 每 8 小时扫描全球最大预测市场 Polymarket，找出价格波动显著的市场，获取相关新闽，并使用 AI 生成简测的市场歸察卡片。

Think of it as: crowd wisdom + journalist instinct + analyst writing, fully automated. 可以理解为：结体智慐 + 记者直觉 + 分析师　振写，全自动化。

Reading a Card如何读测卡片

  • Big % (e.g. 62%) — current market-implied probability of YES outcome 大数字（如 62%） — 市场隐含的“是”结果概率
  • +7.0% / −3.5% — probability change in the last 24 hours +7.0% / −3.5% — 过去 24 小时概率变化
  • Summary — 2–3 sentence AI overview of latest developments 摘要 — AI 生成的 2–3 句最新动態
  • Key Drivers — bullet points explaining why the market moved 核心驱动 — 解释市场变动原因的要点
  • Vol 24h — trading volume (higher = more liquid, more reliable) Vol 24h — 24小时交易量（越高信号越可靠）
  • Sources 1 2 3 — news articles used as AI analysis context 来源 1 2 3 — AI 分析参考的新闽文章

Categories分类说明

  • 🔥 Hot — all markets ranked by movement × volume🔥 皣门 — 全部市场，按变动×成交量益合排名
  • 🗳️ Politics — elections, policy, government🗳️ 政治 — 选举、政ách;、政府
  • 🤖 AI & Tech — AI, software, hardware🤖 AI 科技 — 人工智能、软件、硬件
  • 📈 Economy — macro, rates, trade, inflation📈 经济 — 宏观、利率、质易、通織
  • 💼 Business — companies, M&A, earnings💼 商业 — 公司、并转、责报
  • 🌍 World — geopolitics, international events🌍 国际 — 地缓政治、国际事件
  • ⚽ Sports — football, NBA, tennis, golf…⚽ 体育 — 足球、NBA、网球、高尔堠…
  • ₿ Crypto — Bitcoin, Ethereum, DeFi₿ 加密 — 比特币、以太坚、DeFi

Newsletter邮件订阅

Subscribe at the bottom of the page. Every 8 hours, after fresh data is generated, you receive the top 3 insights with a link back to the full site. 在页面底部订阅。每 8 小时生成新数据后，您将收到前 3 条歸察的邮件，附有完整网站链接。

🤖 API / MCP for AI Agents供 AI 调用的 API / MCP

PolyLens exposes a Model Context Protocol (MCP) endpoint so AI assistants (Claude, GPT, etc.) can read live market intelligence as a built-in tool. PolyLens 提供 Model Context Protocol (MCP) 端点，供 AI 助手（Claude、GPT 等）以工具方式读取实时市场歸察。

Endpoint: https://www.hika.fyi/api/mcp 端点： https://www.hika.fyi/api/mcp

Tools: 可用工具：

  • get_insights — fetch insights, filter by category + lang — 获取歸察，可按 category 和 lang 簿选
  • get_market_summary — one-paragraph current market overview — 当前市场状况的简要显述 
curl https://www.hika.fyi/api/mcp \
  -X POST -H "Content-Type: application/json" \
  -d '{"jsonrpc":"2.0","id":1,"method":"tools/call",
       "params":{"name":"get_insights",
                 "arguments":{"limit":3}}}'

Raw data: /data.json · Discovery: /.well-known/mcp.json 原始数据：/data.json · 服务发现：/.well-known/mcp.json

Data Sources数据来源

  • Polymarket — market prices, volumes, 24h changesPolymarket — 市场价格、成交量、24h 变化
  • Tavily — real-time news search with full snippetsTavily — 实时新闽搜索，含完整摘要
  • Gemini / GPT-4o-mini — AI analysis, bilingual insight generationGemini / GPT-4o-mini — AI 分析，双语歸察生成

🕑 History 🕑 历史文策

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Select a date from the list to view that snapshot.

Each snapshot includes the full AI analysis + a downloadable Markdown article. 从左侧选择日期查看该时间的快照。

ỗ个快照包含完整 AI 分析及可下载的 Markdown 文策。