AI-powered prediction market intelligence AI 驱动的预测市场歸察
Aug 07, 2026 19:22 UTC
#1 · Score 828

ABNB Soars: Outlook Lifts Price Target 爱彼迎展望提升，股价目标上调

100% +82.5%

Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $162 Week of August 3 2026?

The probability for ABNB to hit $162 by August 2026 surged to 100% following Airbnb's strong Q2 earnings beat and a significant uplift in its 2026 outlook, coupled with an analyst price target raise to $163. 爱彼迎（ABNB）第二季度财报超预期，并大幅上调2026年业绩展望，同时分析师将目标价上调至163美元，推动其在2026年8月达到162美元的概率飙升至100%。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Analyst raises ABNB price target from $157 to $163
  • Airbnb beats Q2 estimates, lifts 2026 outlook
  • Company forecasts 'at least mid-teens' 2026 revenue growth
  • ABNB stock jumps 11% after-hours on news
  • 分析师将ABNB目标价从157美元上调至163美元
  • 爱彼迎Q2业绩超预期，上调2026年展望
  • 公司预计2026年营收增长“至少中双位数”
  • 消息公布后ABNB盘后股价飙升11%
This indicates strong market confidence in Airbnb's future performance, driven by operational improvements and robust travel demand. It suggests sustained growth potential for the travel tech sector. 这表明市场对爱彼迎未来业绩充满信心，主要得益于运营改善和强劲的旅行需求。这预示着旅游科技领域持续的增长潜力。
Vol 24h: $1,436 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
🐂 AI Bull CaseAI 多头观点 Airbnb's raised 2026 outlook and analyst price target of $163 strongly support the stock reaching and maintaining $162. 爱彼迎上调2026年展望及分析师163美元目标价，有力支撑股价达到并维持162美元。
🐻 AI Bear CaseAI 空头观点 Unforeseen economic downturns or competitive pressures could still prevent ABNB from consistently holding $162. 意外的经济衰退或竞争压力，仍可能阻止ABNB股价持续站稳162美元。
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500
#2 · Score 822

NVDA 2026 Target: Near Certainty 英伟达2026目标：几近确定

100% +81.9%

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 Week of August 3 2026?

The probability of NVIDIA (NVDA) hitting $224 by August 3, 2026, surged to 100% in 24 hours. This dramatic shift was primarily driven by strong confidence in a related short-term market predicting NVDA will hit $224 in August 2024 with 82% probability. 英伟达（NVDA）在2026年8月3日前达到224美元的概率在24小时内飙升至100%。这一显著变化主要受一项相关短期预测市场的高度信心驱动，该市场预测NVDA在2024年8月达到224美元的概率为82%。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Short-term market confidence (82% for Aug 2024)
  • $224 target seen as conservative for 2026
  • Sustained demand for NVIDIA AI GPUs
  • 短期市场信心（2024年8月82%）
  • 2026年224美元目标被视为保守
  • 英伟达AI GPU需求持续强劲
This reflects investor conviction in NVIDIA's continued dominance in the AI sector and its long-term growth trajectory, setting a strong benchmark for future performance. 这反映了投资者对英伟达在AI领域持续主导地位和长期增长轨迹的坚定信念，为未来业绩设定了强劲基准。
Vol 24h: $2,781 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1
🐂 AI Bull CaseAI 多头观点 NVIDIA's unparalleled AI chip demand and innovation will easily push its stock past $224 by August 2026. 英伟达无与伦比的AI芯片需求和创新将使其股价在2026年8月前轻松突破224美元。
🐻 AI Bear CaseAI 空头观点 Increased competition, regulatory hurdles, or a broader tech downturn could prevent NVDA from reaching $224 by 2026. 竞争加剧、监管障碍或更广泛的科技市场低迷可能阻碍英伟达在2026年前达到224美元。
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500
#3 · Score 731

Gold Surges to 100% on Extreme Policy Shift 黄金飙升至100%：极端政策驱动

100% +72.7%

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,350 Week of August 3 2026?

Gold's probability of hitting $4,350 by August 2026 surged to 100% following an emergency Federal Reserve announcement of indefinite quantitative easing and yield curve control. This unprecedented monetary policy shift, coupled with escalating global geopolitical tensions, has fueled hyperinflationary expectations and a flight to safe-haven assets. 黄金在2026年8月前触及4350美元的概率飙升至100%，此前美联储紧急宣布无限量化宽松和收益率曲线控制。这一前所未有的货币政策转变，加上全球地缘政治紧张局势升级，加剧了恶性通胀预期和避险需求。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Federal Reserve's emergency unlimited QE announcement
  • Commitment to long-term yield curve control
  • Escalating global geopolitical conflict
  • Rising fears of currency debasement
  • 美联储紧急宣布无限量化宽松
  • 承诺长期收益率曲线控制
  • 全球地缘政治冲突升级
  • 对货币贬值的担忧加剧
This move signals a profound loss of confidence in traditional financial stability and fiat currencies, potentially ushering in a new era of asset revaluation and economic uncertainty. 此次波动预示着对传统金融稳定和法定货币信心的严重丧失，可能开启资产重估和经济不确定性的新时代。
Vol 24h: $17,579 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1
🐂 AI Bull CaseAI 多头观点 Unprecedented central bank easing and geopolitical instability guarantee gold's safe-haven appeal, driving prices to new record highs. 前所未有的央行宽松和地缘政治动荡，确保黄金避险吸引力，推动金价创历史新高。
🐻 AI Bear CaseAI 空头观点 Central banks could reverse course, or geopolitical tensions de-escalate, reducing gold's safe-haven demand. 央行政策可能逆转，或地缘政治紧张局势缓解，从而降低黄金的避险需求。
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500
#4 · Score 618

SPCX $130 August Hit Now 100% Certain SPCX八月触及$130概率达100%

100% +61.5%

Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $130 in August?

SpaceX (SPCX) is now 100% predicted to hit $130 in August, driven by heavy options trading reported on August 4, 2026. This significant options activity suggests strong market confidence in an upward price movement despite bearish analyst views. SpaceX (SPCX) 八月触及130美元的预测概率现已达到100%，主要受2026年8月4日报告的大量期权交易驱动。尽管有看空分析师的观点，但这一显著的期权活动表明市场对其股价上涨充满信心。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Heavy options trading for SPCX on August 4, 2026.
  • Market conviction overriding bearish analyst outlook.
  • Increased investor confidence in SpaceX's August performance.
  • 2026年8月4日SPCX出现大量期权交易。
  • 市场确信度压倒了看空分析师的观点。
  • 投资者对SpaceX八月表现的信心增强。
The market's certainty highlights the power of options trading as a leading indicator for stock movements. It signifies strong investor confidence in SpaceX's near-term performance. 市场的高度确定性凸显了期权交易作为股价先行指标的力量。这表明投资者对SpaceX近期表现的强烈信心。
Vol 24h: $1,947 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2
🐂 AI Bull CaseAI 多头观点 Heavy bullish options trading on August 4, 2026, indicates significant institutional and retail confidence in SPCX reaching $130. 2026年8月4日的大量看涨期权交易表明机构和散户对SPCX达到130美元充满信心。
🐻 AI Bear CaseAI 空头观点 A prominent analyst's short-volatility options position and expectation of a drop to $90 suggest potential downside risk. 一位知名分析师的做空波动率期权头寸及预计跌至90美元的观点提示潜在下行风险。
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500
#5 · Score 555

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $500-$510 on the final day of trading o Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $500-$510 on the final day of trading o

76% +55.1%

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $500-$510 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 3 – Aug 7?

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Key Drivers核心驱动

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Vol 24h: $3,606 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#6 · Score 534

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on August 7? NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on August 7?

96% +53.0%

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on August 7?

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Vol 24h: $5,477 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#7 · Score 533

Musk's Ecosystem Boosts TSLA Target 马斯克生态系统提振特斯拉目标

100% +52.9%

Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $330 Week of August 3 2026?

The prediction market for TSLA hitting $330 by August 2026 surged to 100% probability, driven by strong investor confidence in Elon Musk's ecosystem. Recent reports of SpaceX $330 calls dominating options ahead of its earnings likely fueled a positive spillover effect for Tesla. 预测市场显示，特斯拉（TSLA）在2026年8月前达到330美元的概率飙升至100%，这主要受投资者对埃隆·马斯克生态系统强烈信心的驱动。近期关于SpaceX 330美元看涨期权在财报前占据主导地位的报道，可能对特斯拉产生了积极的溢出效应。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • SpaceX $330 calls dominate options, signaling high investor confidence.
  • Anticipated strong SpaceX earnings boost overall "Musk-verse" sentiment.
  • Elon Musk's leadership success in SpaceX seen as positive for Tesla.
  • SpaceX 330美元看涨期权主导，预示投资者信心高涨。
  • SpaceX预期强劲财报，提振“马斯克系”整体情绪。
  • 埃隆·马斯克在SpaceX的成功被视为利好特斯拉。
This movement highlights how investor sentiment for one company within a founder's portfolio can significantly impact the perceived future value of another, especially for high-profile figures like Elon Musk. It also shows the influence of options market activity on broader prediction markets. 这一变化凸显了创始人旗下公司间的投资者情绪如何显著影响另一家公司的预期未来价值，尤其对于埃隆·马斯克这样的知名人物。它也显示了期权市场活动对更广泛预测市场的影响。
Vol 24h: $3,988 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1
🐂 AI Bull CaseAI 多头观点 Continued innovation and market expansion by Tesla, coupled with positive sentiment from Elon Musk's other ventures, will drive TSLA past $330. 特斯拉持续创新和市场扩张，加上马斯克其他业务的积极情绪，将推动TSLA突破330美元。
🐻 AI Bear CaseAI 空头观点 Regulatory hurdles, increased competition, or a downturn in the broader market could prevent TSLA from reaching $330. 监管障碍、竞争加剧或大盘下行，可能阻止TSLA达到330美元。
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500
#8 · Score 475

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 12PM ET Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 12PM ET

4% -47.0%

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 12PM ET

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Vol 24h: $36,137 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#9 · Score 471

Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $268 Week of August 3 2026? Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $268 Week of August 3 2026?

0% -46.7%

Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $268 Week of August 3 2026?

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Vol 24h: $16,676 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1
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500
#10 · Score 464

SPX Up on Geopolitical Deal 标普500因地缘政治利好高开

100% +46.0%

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 7?

The S&P 500's probability of opening up on August 7th surged to 100%, primarily driven by positive geopolitical developments. Scott Bessent signaled a potential Strait of Hormuz deal with Iran, easing global tensions and boosting market sentiment. 标普500指数8月7日高开的概率飙升至100%，主要受地缘政治积极进展驱动。斯科特·贝森特暗示霍尔木兹海峡与伊朗的协议有望达成，缓解了全球紧张局势并提振了市场情绪。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Scott Bessent signals Strait of Hormuz deal
  • S&P 500 E-minis show pre-market gains
  • Dow Jones starts August with record high
  • Anticipated strong corporate earnings
  • 斯科特·贝森特暗示霍尔木兹协议
  • 标普500股指期货盘前上涨
  • 道琼斯指数八月开局创新高
  • 市场预期企业盈利强劲
Geopolitical stability significantly reduces market uncertainty, potentially leading to sustained investor confidence and capital inflows into equities. A positive open reflects broader optimism. 地缘政治稳定显著降低市场不确定性，可能带来投资者信心持续增强和股票市场资金流入。高开反映了更广泛的乐观情绪。
Vol 24h: $18,530 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
🐂 AI Bull CaseAI 多头观点 Geopolitical de-escalation from the Strait of Hormuz deal will continue to fuel investor confidence and drive the S&P 500 higher. 霍尔木兹海峡协议带来的地缘政治缓和将持续提振投资者信心，推动标普500指数走高。
🐻 AI Bear CaseAI 空头观点 Despite positive futures, significant weakness in the tech sector, as seen in Nasdaq 100 E-minis, could still pull the S&P 500 lower. 尽管股指期货上涨，但科技板块的显著疲软仍可能拖累标普500指数低开或持平。
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500
#11 · Score 460

Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on August 7? Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on August 7?

98% +45.6%

Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on August 7?

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Vol 24h: $3,397 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#12 · Score 442

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $80 on August 7? WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $80 on August 7?

6% -43.8%

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $80 on August 7?

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Vol 24h: $4,927 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#13 · Score 418

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 7? SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 7?

95% +41.3%

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 7?

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Vol 24h: $16,713 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#14 · Score 393

Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $164 in August? Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $164 in August?

100% +39.0%

Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $164 in August?

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Vol 24h: $1,661 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#15 · Score 356

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 7? S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 7?

94% +35.1%

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 7?

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Vol 24h: $64,223 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#16 · Score 339

Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on August 7? Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on August 7?

96% +33.5%

Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on August 7?

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Vol 24h: $7,120 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#17 · Score 299

Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 7? Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 7?

80% +29.5%

Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 7?

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Vol 24h: $5,605 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#18 · Score 269

Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of August 3 above $270? Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of August 3 above $270?

97% +26.5%

Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of August 3 above $270?

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Vol 24h: $16,326 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2
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500
#19 · Score 259

Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $270 on August 7? Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $270 on August 7?

98% +25.5%

Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $270 on August 7?

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Vol 24h: $13,898 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#20 · Score 227

Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $330 in August? Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $330 in August?

100% +22.4%

Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $330 in August?

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Vol 24h: $2,249 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2
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500
#21 · Score 218

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on August 7? S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on August 7?

7% -21.5%

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on August 7?

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  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You have no credits remaining. Add credits to continue using the API at https:/
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $2,635 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#22 · Score 215

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 8? Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 8?

94% +21.0%

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 8?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You have no credits remaining. Add credits to continue using the API at https:/
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You have no credits remaining. Add credits to continue using the API at https:/
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $46,658 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#23 · Score 213

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 in August? Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 in August?

100% +20.9%

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 in August?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You have no credits remaining. Add credits to continue using the API at https:/
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You have no credits remaining. Add credits to continue using the API at https:/
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $1,064 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2
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500
#24 · Score 213

Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $350 Week of August 3 2026? Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $350 Week of August 3 2026?

7% -20.9%

Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $350 Week of August 3 2026?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You have no credits remaining. Add credits to continue using the API at https:/
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You have no credits remaining. Add credits to continue using the API at https:/
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $3,287 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#25 · Score 204

Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $265-$270 on the final day of trading of t Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $265-$270 on the final day of trading of t

2% -20.0%

Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $265-$270 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 3 – Aug 7?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You have no credits remaining. Add credits to continue using the API at https:/
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You have no credits remaining. Add credits to continue using the API at https:/
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $14,698 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1
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500
#26 · Score 200

Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of August 3 above $355? Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of August 3 above $355?

56% -19.6%

Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of August 3 above $355?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You have no credits remaining. Add credits to continue using the API at https:/
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You have no credits remaining. Add credits to continue using the API at https:/
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $4,145 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#27 · Score 193

Will China's CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month p Will China's CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month p

7% -18.9%

Will China's CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You have no credits remaining. Add credits to continue using the API at https:/
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You have no credits remaining. Add credits to continue using the API at https:/
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $2,157 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#28 · Score 189

Bitcoin Narrow Range Probability Plunges 比特币窄幅区间概率骤降

7% -18.5%

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 8?

The probability of Bitcoin being between $62,000 and $64,000 by August 8 significantly decreased by 18.5%, driven by headlines indicating increased volatility. Reports highlight both a risk of falling to $60,000 and a potential breakout above $65,000. 比特币在8月8日维持在62,000至64,000美元区间的概率大幅下降18.5%，主要受头条新闻预示波动性增加的影响。报告指出比特币既有跌至60,000美元的风险，也有突破65,000美元的潜力。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Reports warn of Bitcoin falling to $60,000.
  • Potential for a $65,000 Bitcoin breakout.
  • Analysts forecast a wider August trading range of $60,000-$65,500.
  • 报告警告比特币面临60,000美元下行风险。
  • 比特币存在突破65,000美元的潜力。
  • 分析师预测8月交易区间更宽，为60,000-65,500美元。
This movement reflects growing uncertainty about Bitcoin's short-term stability, with market participants anticipating significant price action outside the current narrow band. It indicates a shift from consolidation to potential directional moves. 这一变化反映了市场对比特币短期稳定性的不确定性增加，市场参与者预计价格将突破当前狭窄区间。这预示着从盘整到潜在方向性走势的转变。
Vol 24h: $5,725 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
🐂 AI Bull CaseAI 多头观点 Positive ETF inflows and rebuilding leverage could drive Bitcoin above $64,000, invalidating the target range. 积极的ETF资金流入和杠杆重建可能推动比特币突破64,000美元，超出目标区间。
🐻 AI Bear CaseAI 空头观点 Strong risks of Bitcoin falling to $60,000 would push the price below the $62,000 lower bound. 比特币面临跌至60,000美元的强大风险，将使其价格低于62,000美元的下限。
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500
#29 · Score 181

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?

7% -17.5%

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You have no credits remaining. Add credits to continue using the API at https:/
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You have no credits remaining. Add credits to continue using the API at https:/
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $540,957 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#30 · Score 181

Will Google (GOOGL) close at $355-$360 on the final day of trading of Will Google (GOOGL) close at $355-$360 on the final day of trading of

53% +17.7%

Will Google (GOOGL) close at $355-$360 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 3 – Aug 7?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You have no credits remaining. Add credits to continue using the API at https:/
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You have no credits remaining. Add credits to continue using the API at https:/
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $3,401 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
No markets in this category yet. 此分类暂无市场数据。

📚 Guide 📚 使用指南

What is PolyLens?什么是 PolyLens？

PolyLens scans Polymarket every 8 hours, finds markets with notable price movements, fetches real news, and uses AI (Gemini / GPT) to generate concise intelligence cards. PolyLens 每 8 小时扫描全球最大预测市场 Polymarket，找出价格波动显著的市场，获取相关新闽，并使用 AI 生成简测的市场歸察卡片。

Think of it as: crowd wisdom + journalist instinct + analyst writing, fully automated. 可以理解为：结体智慐 + 记者直觉 + 分析师　振写，全自动化。

Reading a Card如何读测卡片

  • Big % (e.g. 62%) — current market-implied probability of YES outcome 大数字（如 62%） — 市场隐含的“是”结果概率
  • +7.0% / −3.5% — probability change in the last 24 hours +7.0% / −3.5% — 过去 24 小时概率变化
  • Summary — 2–3 sentence AI overview of latest developments 摘要 — AI 生成的 2–3 句最新动態
  • Key Drivers — bullet points explaining why the market moved 核心驱动 — 解释市场变动原因的要点
  • Vol 24h — trading volume (higher = more liquid, more reliable) Vol 24h — 24小时交易量（越高信号越可靠）
  • Sources 1 2 3 — news articles used as AI analysis context 来源 1 2 3 — AI 分析参考的新闽文章

Categories分类说明

  • 🔥 Hot — all markets ranked by movement × volume🔥 皣门 — 全部市场，按变动×成交量益合排名
  • 🗳️ Politics — elections, policy, government🗳️ 政治 — 选举、政ách;、政府
  • 🤖 AI & Tech — AI, software, hardware🤖 AI 科技 — 人工智能、软件、硬件
  • 📈 Economy — macro, rates, trade, inflation📈 经济 — 宏观、利率、质易、通織
  • 💼 Business — companies, M&A, earnings💼 商业 — 公司、并转、责报
  • 🌍 World — geopolitics, international events🌍 国际 — 地缓政治、国际事件
  • ⚽ Sports — football, NBA, tennis, golf…⚽ 体育 — 足球、NBA、网球、高尔堠…
  • ₿ Crypto — Bitcoin, Ethereum, DeFi₿ 加密 — 比特币、以太坚、DeFi

Newsletter邮件订阅

Subscribe at the bottom of the page. Every 8 hours, after fresh data is generated, you receive the top 3 insights with a link back to the full site. 在页面底部订阅。每 8 小时生成新数据后，您将收到前 3 条歸察的邮件，附有完整网站链接。

🤖 API / MCP for AI Agents供 AI 调用的 API / MCP

PolyLens exposes a Model Context Protocol (MCP) endpoint so AI assistants (Claude, GPT, etc.) can read live market intelligence as a built-in tool. PolyLens 提供 Model Context Protocol (MCP) 端点，供 AI 助手（Claude、GPT 等）以工具方式读取实时市场歸察。

Endpoint: https://www.hika.fyi/api/mcp 端点： https://www.hika.fyi/api/mcp

Tools: 可用工具：

  • get_insights — fetch insights, filter by category + lang — 获取歸察，可按 category 和 lang 簿选
  • get_market_summary — one-paragraph current market overview — 当前市场状况的简要显述 
curl https://www.hika.fyi/api/mcp \
  -X POST -H "Content-Type: application/json" \
  -d '{"jsonrpc":"2.0","id":1,"method":"tools/call",
       "params":{"name":"get_insights",
                 "arguments":{"limit":3}}}'

Raw data: /data.json · Discovery: /.well-known/mcp.json 原始数据：/data.json · 服务发现：/.well-known/mcp.json

Data Sources数据来源

  • Polymarket — market prices, volumes, 24h changesPolymarket — 市场价格、成交量、24h 变化
  • Tavily — real-time news search with full snippetsTavily — 实时新闽搜索，含完整摘要
  • Gemini / GPT-4o-mini — AI analysis, bilingual insight generationGemini / GPT-4o-mini — AI 分析，双语歸察生成

🕑 History 🕑 历史文策

Loading…
Select a date from the list to view that snapshot.

Each snapshot includes the full AI analysis + a downloadable Markdown article. 从左侧选择日期查看该时间的快照。

ỗ个快照包含完整 AI 分析及可下载的 Markdown 文策。