AI-powered prediction market intelligence AI 驱动的预测市场歸察
Jun 23, 2026 13:36 UTC
#1 · Score 618

NFLX $77.50 Target Probability Plummets 网飞股价达$77.50概率骤降

26% -61.5%

Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $77.50 Week of June 22 2026?

The probability of Netflix hitting $77.50 by June 22, 2026, dropped sharply to 26% following news of a stagnant S&P 500 on that specific date. The "Stock Market Live June 22, 2026" report indicated the S&P 500 was "Little Changed," dampening expectations for a strong market rally. 网飞在2026年6月22日达到$77.50的概率急剧下降至26%，此前有报道称当日标普500指数表现平淡。 “2026年6月22日股市直播”显示标普500“几无变化”，降低了市场对强劲反弹的预期。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • S&P 500 "Little Changed" on June 22, 2026.
  • Lack of broad market momentum for high targets.
  • Geopolitical uncertainty (Iran progress, Ukraine conflict).
  • 2026年6月22日标普500“几无变化”。
  • 市场缺乏推动股价上涨的广泛动力。
  • 地缘政治不确定性影响市场情绪。
This movement reflects a significant re-evaluation of future market conditions, suggesting investors anticipate a more subdued environment for individual stock performance. 这一变化反映了对未来市场状况的重大重新评估，表明投资者预期个股表现将更为平淡。
Vol 24h: $2,308 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
🐂 AI Bull CaseAI 多头观点 Strong subscriber growth or new revenue streams could propel NFLX above $77.50 despite broader market flatness. 订阅用户强劲增长或新业务模式可能推动网飞股价突破$77.50。
🐻 AI Bear CaseAI 空头观点 A "Little Changed" S&P 500 on June 22, 2026, indicates insufficient market momentum for NFLX to reach $77.50. 2026年6月22日标普500平淡，网飞难获足够市场动力达$77.50。
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500
#2 · Score 583

Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $120 in June? Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $120 in June?

100% +58.0%

Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $120 in June?

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Key Drivers核心驱动

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Vol 24h: $2,893 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#3 · Score 574

Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $232 in June? Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $232 in June?

90% +57.0%

Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $232 in June?

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Key Drivers核心驱动

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Vol 24h: $5,858 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#4 · Score 513

Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $106 Week of June 22 2026? Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $106 Week of June 22 2026?

100% +50.9%

Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $106 Week of June 22 2026?

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Key Drivers核心驱动

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Vol 24h: $2,921 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#5 · Score 513

Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $397.50 Week of June 22 2026? Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $397.50 Week of June 22 2026?

100% +50.9%

Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $397.50 Week of June 22 2026?

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Key Drivers核心驱动

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Vol 24h: $2,680 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#6 · Score 509

Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on

28% -50.5%

Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

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Vol 24h: $5,021 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#7 · Score 504

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6AM ET Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6AM ET

0% -50.0%

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6AM ET

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Vol 24h: $39,822 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#8 · Score 499

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap

26% -49.5%

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

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Key Drivers核心驱动

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Vol 24h: $21,677 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#9 · Score 497

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 23? Bitcoin Up or Down on June 23?

1% -49.2%

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 23?

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Vol 24h: $115,572 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#10 · Score 494

Ethereum Up or Down on June 23? Ethereum Up or Down on June 23?

1% -49.0%

Ethereum Up or Down on June 23?

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Key Drivers核心驱动

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Vol 24h: $31,013 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#11 · Score 478

Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $350 Week of June 22 2026? Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $350 Week of June 22 2026?

100% +47.4%

Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $350 Week of June 22 2026?

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Key Drivers核心驱动

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Vol 24h: $6,500 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#12 · Score 440

SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month? SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?

38% -43.5%

SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?

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Vol 24h: $34,454 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#13 · Score 353

Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $100 Week of June 22 202 Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $100 Week of June 22 202

84% +35.0%

Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $100 Week of June 22 2026?

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Vol 24h: $2,365 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#14 · Score 353

Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $114 Week of June 22 Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $114 Week of June 22

50% +35.0%

Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $114 Week of June 22 2026?

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Vol 24h: $990 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#15 · Score 349

Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 22-28? Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 22-28?

21% -34.5%

Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 22-28?

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Key Drivers核心驱动

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Vol 24h: $28,643 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#16 · Score 348

NVDA Probability Plunges on Chip Price Concerns 英伟达股价预测暴跌，芯片价格承压

16% -34.5%

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 22 above $210?

The probability of NVDA finishing above $210 plummeted by 34.5% to 16% as Kalshi traders bet on falling chip prices. This decline occurred despite a good day for other chip stocks, indicating specific pressure on Nvidia. 英伟达（NVDA）收盘价高于210美元的概率骤降34.5%至16%，主要因Kalshi交易员押注芯片价格将下跌。尽管其他芯片股表现良好，英伟达股价仍下跌，显示其面临特定压力。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Kalshi traders betting on falling chip prices.
  • NVDA stock falling while peers like Intel rise.
  • Market attention shifting to memory chips like SK Hynix.
  • Kalshi交易员预测芯片价格将下跌。
  • 英伟达股价下跌，而其他芯片股上涨。
  • 市场关注点转向SK海力士等存储芯片。
Nvidia's performance is a key indicator for the broader AI sector. Its struggles could signal a cooling in AI chip demand or a shift in market focus. 英伟达的表现是人工智能行业的关键风向标。其股价下跌可能预示AI芯片需求降温或市场焦点转移。
Vol 24h: $1,014 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
🐂 AI Bull CaseAI 多头观点 Robust demand for AI infrastructure and potential positive news from Nvidia could quickly reverse the trend. 人工智能基础设施的强劲需求和英伟达的潜在利好消息可能迅速扭转趋势。
🐻 AI Bear CaseAI 空头观点 Persistent concerns over chip pricing and investor rotation to other AI plays may continue to weigh on NVDA. 对芯片价格的持续担忧以及投资者转向其他AI股可能继续拖累英伟达。
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500
#17 · Score 344

Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June? Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June?

42% -34.0%

Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June?

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Vol 24h: $7,426 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#18 · Score 315

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of June 22 2026? Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of June 22 2026?

98% +31.2%

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of June 22 2026?

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Key Drivers核心驱动

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Vol 24h: $2,733 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#19 · Score 298

Korean Won Weakness Boosts EWY Decline Odds 韩元疲软推高EWY下跌概率

43% +29.5%

Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $174 in June?

The probability of EWY hitting $174 in June surged by 29.5% to 43%, primarily driven by South Korea's Finance Minister Koo Yun-cheol stating the current FX level is "excessive," signaling concern over the Won's weakness. This, alongside the Yen hitting 40-year lows, suggests broader regional currency instability. EWY在6月触及174美元的概率飙升29.5%至43%，主要原因是韩国财长具润哲称当前汇率水平“过度”，表明对韩元疲软的担忧。这与日元触及40年低点一同，暗示了更广泛的区域货币不稳定。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • SK Finance Minister called FX level "excessive."
  • Japanese Yen hit 40-year lows.
  • Mixed Asian shares and falling US futures.
  • 韩国财长称汇率水平“过度”。
  • 日元跌至40年低点。
  • 亚洲股市涨跌互现，美股期货下跌。
Currency stability is crucial for export-oriented economies like South Korea; an "excessive" FX level can signal economic stress and impact investor confidence. 货币稳定对韩国等出口导向型经济体至关重要；“过度”的汇率水平可能预示经济压力并影响投资者信心。
Vol 24h: $2,192 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
🐂 AI Bull CaseAI 多头观点 South Korea's Finance Minister's concern over "excessive" Won weakness and regional currency instability signals potential economic headwinds for EWY. 韩国财长对韩元“过度”疲软的担忧以及区域货币不稳定，预示EWY可能面临经济逆风。
🐻 AI Bear CaseAI 空头观点 Government intervention to stabilize the Won or stronger economic data could prevent EWY from declining to $174. 政府干预稳定韩元或强于预期的经济数据，可能阻止EWY跌至174美元。
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500
#20 · Score 283

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 24? Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 24?

63% -27.8%

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 24?

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Key Drivers核心驱动

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Vol 24h: $43,312 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#21 · Score 278

Google Probability Dips on Waymo Recall 谷歌Waymo召回致股价预测下跌

22% -27.5%

Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of June 22 above $350?

GOOGL's probability of finishing above $350 dropped 27.5% to 22%, primarily driven by Waymo's recall of 3,800 robotaxis and growing concerns over AI development expenses impacting tech megacaps. GOOGL股价高于350美元的概率骤降27.5%至22%，主要受Waymo召回3800辆自动驾驶出租车以及市场对AI开发成本担忧加剧的影响。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Waymo recalled 3,800 robotaxis, raising self-driving unit concerns.
  • Growing AI expense concerns impact tech megacaps like Google.
  • Broader U.S. tech megacap slide contributes to bearish sentiment.
  • Waymo召回3800辆自动驾驶出租车，引发业务担忧。
  • 市场对科技巨头AI开发成本的担忧日益增长。
  • 美国科技巨头普遍下滑，加剧看跌情绪。
These events highlight increasing operational challenges and cost pressures for Google's innovative but capital-intensive ventures like autonomous driving and AI. 这些事件凸显谷歌在自动驾驶和AI等创新但资本密集型业务中面临的运营挑战和成本压力。
Vol 24h: $1,106 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
🐂 AI Bull CaseAI 多头观点 Alphabet's strong Q1 EPS of $5, crushing the $2.63 consensus, indicates robust core business profitability. 谷歌第一季度每股收益5美元，远超预期的2.63美元，显示核心业务盈利强劲。
🐻 AI Bear CaseAI 空头观点 Waymo's 3,800 robotaxi recall and rising AI development costs signal significant operational hurdles. Waymo召回3800辆自动驾驶出租车及AI开发成本上升，预示重大运营挑战。
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500
#22 · Score 264

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 26? Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 26?

57% -26.0%

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 26?

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Vol 24h: $16,420 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#23 · Score 241

Bitcoin Price Stabilizes Near $60K 比特币价格稳定在6万美元附近

27% +23.6%

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 23?

The probability of Bitcoin being between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 23 increased significantly by 23.6% to 27%. This movement was driven by a market reassessment, shifting from fears of a deeper crash to expectations of stabilization, despite JPMorgan's recent bearish warning. 比特币在6月23日价格介于6万至6.2万美元的概率显著上升23.6%至27%。这一变化源于市场重新评估，尽管摩根大通发出看跌警告，但市场预期从深度暴跌转向稳定。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • JPMorgan's 'price crash fears surge' warning.
  • Bitcoin's resilience, 'holds $64,000' despite warnings.
  • Hyperscale Data's continued Bitcoin accumulation.
  • 摩根大通警告“价格暴跌担忧加剧”。
  • 比特币在“6.4万美元附近持稳”显示韧性。
  • Hyperscale Data持续增持比特币。
This indicates a tug-of-war between bearish macro warnings and underlying crypto market resilience, influencing short-term price stability. 这反映了宏观看跌警告与加密市场内在韧性之间的拉锯战，影响短期价格稳定。
Vol 24h: $28,142 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
🐂 AI Bull CaseAI 多头观点 Bitcoin's demonstrated resilience near $64,000 and ongoing institutional accumulation could prevent a deeper fall, keeping it above $60,000. 比特币在6.4万美元附近的韧性及机构持续增持，或阻止深度下跌，使其保持在6万美元上方。
🐻 AI Bear CaseAI 空头观点 JPMorgan's 'nightmare coming true' warning could still trigger a significant sell-off, pushing Bitcoin below the $60,000 threshold. 摩根大通的“噩梦成真”警告仍可能引发大幅抛售，将比特币推至6万美元以下。
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500
#24 · Score 241

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June? Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?

46% +23.6%

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?

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  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $11,724 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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#25 · Score 228

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $360 Week of June 22 2026? Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $360 Week of June 22 2026?

45% +22.5%

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $360 Week of June 22 2026?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $1,202 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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#26 · Score 224

SPY $720 Low Probability Surges SPY触及720美元低点概率飙升

38% +22.0%

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June?

The probability of SPY hitting $720 in June surged by 22% to 38% amid escalating geopolitical concerns surrounding Iran and significant weakness in major technology stocks. Investors are reacting to "Bessent's Iran Move" and "Big Tech Stocks Weighing on Nasdaq." SPY在6月触及720美元低点的概率在24小时内飙升22%至38%，主要受伊朗地缘政治担忧加剧和大型科技股显著疲软影响。投资者正关注“贝森特对伊朗的举动”以及“大型科技股拖累纳斯达克”。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Escalating Iran geopolitical developments
  • Big Tech stocks weighing on Nasdaq
  • SpaceX stock falling to lowest close
  • 伊朗地缘政治局势升级
  • 大型科技股拖累纳斯达克
  • SpaceX股价跌至历史新低
This movement indicates growing investor concern over potential market instability driven by both geopolitical risks and sector-specific downturns, potentially signaling a broader economic slowdown. 这一变化表明投资者对地缘政治风险和特定行业下滑可能引发市场不稳定的担忧日益加剧，预示着更广泛的经济放缓。
Vol 24h: $9,490 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
🐂 AI Bull CaseAI 多头观点 Worsening Iran tensions or further tech sector sell-offs could push SPY towards $720. 伊朗紧张局势恶化或科技股进一步抛售可能推动SPY跌向720美元。
🐻 AI Bear CaseAI 空头观点 Positive resolution on Iran or a rebound in major tech stocks could prevent SPY from hitting $720. 伊朗问题积极解决或主要科技股反弹可能阻止SPY触及720美元。
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#27 · Score 224

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 24? Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 24?

1% -21.9%

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 24?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $12,730 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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#28 · Score 213

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.30T and $1.40T on June 30? Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.30T and $1.40T on June 30?

24% -21.0%

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.30T and $1.40T on June 30?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $932 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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#29 · Score 186

Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $320 in June? Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $320 in June?

20% +18.2%

Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $320 in June?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $4,088 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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#30 · Score 149

Arcium FDV above $200M one day after launch? Arcium FDV above $200M one day after launch?

99% +14.4%

Arcium FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $26,905 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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#31 · Score 145

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

18% -14.0%

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $199,882 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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#32 · Score 53

Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest

14% +5.0%

Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $1,362 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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#33 · Score 30

SpaceX Valuation Rout Deepens SpaceX估值暴跌

4% +2.5%

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?

The probability of SpaceX's valuation hitting $1.35T by June 30 increased by 2.5% to 4%, driven by a sharp post-IPO decline. Recent reports indicate SpaceX shares have fallen 23% in recent days, shedding $400 billion from its market value. SpaceX估值在6月30日前跌至1.35万亿美元的概率上升2.5%至4%，主要受IPO后股价急剧下跌影响。近期报道显示，SpaceX股价数日内已下跌23%，市值蒸发4000亿美元。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • SpaceX shares fell 23% in recent days, including >16% Monday.
  • Market value shed $400 billion post-IPO, nearing $2 trillion.
  • Historical underperformance of mega-IPOs after initial surge.
  • Fed rate hike signals threatening broader market sentiment.
  • SpaceX股价数日内下跌23%，周一跌超16%。
  • IPO后市值蒸发4000亿美元，逼近2万亿。
  • 巨型IPO初期暴涨后历史表现不佳。
  • 美联储加息信号威胁市场情绪。
SpaceX's post-IPO performance is a bellwether for large private company valuations and investor appetite for high-growth, high-risk ventures in a tightening monetary environment. SpaceX的IPO后表现是衡量大型私营公司估值和投资者在高增长、高风险领域兴趣的风向标。
Vol 24h: $45,816 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
🐂 AI Bull CaseAI 多头观点 Strong Starship development and Starlink subscriber growth could reverse the current trend. 星舰开发和星链用户增长强劲有望扭转当前趋势。
🐻 AI Bear CaseAI 空头观点 Continued post-IPO sell-off and broader market headwinds will push valuation lower. IPO后持续抛售及市场逆风将进一步压低估值。
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No markets in this category yet. 此分类暂无市场数据。

📚 Guide 📚 使用指南

What is PolyLens?什么是 PolyLens？

PolyLens scans Polymarket every 8 hours, finds markets with notable price movements, fetches real news, and uses AI (Gemini / GPT) to generate concise intelligence cards. PolyLens 每 8 小时扫描全球最大预测市场 Polymarket，找出价格波动显著的市场，获取相关新闽，并使用 AI 生成简测的市场歸察卡片。

Think of it as: crowd wisdom + journalist instinct + analyst writing, fully automated. 可以理解为：结体智慐 + 记者直觉 + 分析师　振写，全自动化。

Reading a Card如何读测卡片

  • Big % (e.g. 62%) — current market-implied probability of YES outcome 大数字（如 62%） — 市场隐含的“是”结果概率
  • +7.0% / −3.5% — probability change in the last 24 hours +7.0% / −3.5% — 过去 24 小时概率变化
  • Summary — 2–3 sentence AI overview of latest developments 摘要 — AI 生成的 2–3 句最新动態
  • Key Drivers — bullet points explaining why the market moved 核心驱动 — 解释市场变动原因的要点
  • Vol 24h — trading volume (higher = more liquid, more reliable) Vol 24h — 24小时交易量（越高信号越可靠）
  • Sources 1 2 3 — news articles used as AI analysis context 来源 1 2 3 — AI 分析参考的新闽文章

Categories分类说明

  • 🔥 Hot — all markets ranked by movement × volume🔥 皣门 — 全部市场，按变动×成交量益合排名
  • 🗳️ Politics — elections, policy, government🗳️ 政治 — 选举、政ách;、政府
  • 🤖 AI & Tech — AI, software, hardware🤖 AI 科技 — 人工智能、软件、硬件
  • 📈 Economy — macro, rates, trade, inflation📈 经济 — 宏观、利率、质易、通織
  • 💼 Business — companies, M&A, earnings💼 商业 — 公司、并转、责报
  • 🌍 World — geopolitics, international events🌍 国际 — 地缓政治、国际事件
  • ⚽ Sports — football, NBA, tennis, golf…⚽ 体育 — 足球、NBA、网球、高尔堠…
  • ₿ Crypto — Bitcoin, Ethereum, DeFi₿ 加密 — 比特币、以太坚、DeFi

Newsletter邮件订阅

Subscribe at the bottom of the page. Every 8 hours, after fresh data is generated, you receive the top 3 insights with a link back to the full site. 在页面底部订阅。每 8 小时生成新数据后，您将收到前 3 条歸察的邮件，附有完整网站链接。

🤖 API / MCP for AI Agents供 AI 调用的 API / MCP

PolyLens exposes a Model Context Protocol (MCP) endpoint so AI assistants (Claude, GPT, etc.) can read live market intelligence as a built-in tool. PolyLens 提供 Model Context Protocol (MCP) 端点，供 AI 助手（Claude、GPT 等）以工具方式读取实时市场歸察。

Endpoint: https://www.hika.fyi/api/mcp 端点： https://www.hika.fyi/api/mcp

Tools: 可用工具：

  • get_insights — fetch insights, filter by category + lang — 获取歸察，可按 category 和 lang 簿选
  • get_market_summary — one-paragraph current market overview — 当前市场状况的简要显述 
curl https://www.hika.fyi/api/mcp \
  -X POST -H "Content-Type: application/json" \
  -d '{"jsonrpc":"2.0","id":1,"method":"tools/call",
       "params":{"name":"get_insights",
                 "arguments":{"limit":3}}}'

Raw data: /data.json · Discovery: /.well-known/mcp.json 原始数据：/data.json · 服务发现：/.well-known/mcp.json

Data Sources数据来源

  • Polymarket — market prices, volumes, 24h changesPolymarket — 市场价格、成交量、24h 变化
  • Tavily — real-time news search with full snippetsTavily — 实时新闽搜索，含完整摘要
  • Gemini / GPT-4o-mini — AI analysis, bilingual insight generationGemini / GPT-4o-mini — AI 分析，双语歸察生成

🕑 History 🕑 历史文策

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Select a date from the list to view that snapshot.

Each snapshot includes the full AI analysis + a downloadable Markdown article. 从左侧选择日期查看该时间的快照。

ỗ个快照包含完整 AI 分析及可下载的 Markdown 文策。