AI-powered prediction market intelligence AI 驱动的预测市场歸察
Jul 01, 2026 21:04 UTC
#1 · Score 951

Meta Surges on AI Cloud Revenue Opportunity Meta AI云收入机会股价飙升

100% +94.7%

Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $610 Week of June 29 2026?


The probability for Meta to hit $610 by June 29, 2026, surged to 100% following reports of a new AI cloud revenue opportunity. Meta shares jumped over 8% on June 29, 2026, as the company announced plans to sell its excess AI compute power capacity. Meta股价在2026年6月29日触及610美元的概率飙升至100%,此前有报道称其将开启新的AI云收入机会。Meta宣布计划出售其过剩AI计算能力,股价当日跳涨超过8%。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Meta's new AI cloud revenue from excess compute.
  • META shares popped 8-10% on June 29, 2026.
  • Broader 'Magnificent Seven' market recovery.
  • Meta出售过剩AI算力获新收入。
  • 2026年6月29日Meta股价跳涨8-10%。
  • “七巨头”股票市场普遍复苏。
This move signals Meta's effective monetization of its significant AI investments and positions it as a key player in the AI infrastructure market. It could significantly boost future earnings and valuation. 此举表明Meta有效利用其庞大AI投资,并将其定位为AI基础设施市场的重要参与者。这可能显著提升其未来盈利和估值。
🐂 AI Bull CaseAI 多头观点 Successful monetization of AI compute power and continued AI innovation will drive Meta's stock significantly higher. 成功变现AI算力及持续AI创新将显著推高Meta股价。
🐻 AI Bear CaseAI 空头观点 Intense competition in AI cloud services or slower-than-expected adoption could limit Meta's growth. AI云服务竞争激烈或采用不及预期可能限制Meta增长。

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500
#2 · Score 932

COIN Price Surge Certainty COIN股价确定性飙升

100% +93.0%

Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $162.50 Week of June 29 2026?


COIN's probability to hit $162.50 by June 29, 2026, surged to 100% from 7%. This dramatic shift is primarily driven by a robust overall market, as indicated by the "S&P 500 (SPY) Soaring in Holiday-Shortened Week" on June 29, 2026. COIN在2026年6月29日当周触及162.50美元高点的概率从7%飙升至100%。这一剧烈变化主要受整体市场强劲驱动,正如2026年6月29日“S&P 500 (SPY) 在缩短交易周内飙升”的头条所示。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • S&P 500 (SPY) soaring on June 29, 2026.
  • Broad market optimism boosts risk assets.
  • COIN price likely hit $162.50 this week.
  • 2026年6月29日标普500指数(SPY)飙升。
  • 市场普遍乐观情绪提振风险资产。
  • COIN股价本周可能已达162.50美元。
This indicates extreme bullish sentiment for crypto-related equities in a strong economic environment. It suggests significant capital inflows into the digital asset sector. 这表明在强劲的经济环境下,加密相关股票存在极度看涨情绪。它预示着大量资金流入数字资产领域。
🐂 AI Bull CaseAI 多头观点 Continued broad market strength, as evidenced by the S&P 500, sustains COIN's upward momentum beyond $162.50. 标普500指数持续走强和加密货币广泛采用将推动COIN轻松突破162.50美元。
🐻 AI Bear CaseAI 空头观点 A sudden market correction or specific negative news for Coinbase could cause a rapid price drop below $162.50. 突发加密监管或市场急剧下跌可能导致COIN股价迅速跌破162.50美元。

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500
#3 · Score 928

PLTR Surges on Nvidia Government AI Deal PLTR因英伟达政府AI协议飙升

100% +92.5%

Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $126 Week of June 29 2026?


The probability of Palantir (PLTR) hitting $126 by June 2026 surged to 100% following its strategic partnership with Nvidia for government AI initiatives. This collaboration focuses on deploying NVIDIA Nemotron Open Models in sovereign environments, significantly boosting Palantir's market position. Palantir (PLTR) 到2026年6月达到126美元的概率飙升至100%,此前该公司宣布与英伟达建立政府AI战略合作伙伴关系。此次合作专注于在主权环境中部署英伟达Nemotron开放模型,显著提升了Palantir的市场地位。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Palantir-Nvidia government AI partnership announced
  • Deployment of NVIDIA Nemotron Open Models in sovereign environments
  • Enabling U.S. Government's own model improvement and operational control
  • Expanded partnership with Surf Air Mobility for commercialization
  • Palantir与英伟达宣布政府AI合作
  • 在主权环境中部署英伟达Nemotron开放模型
  • 赋能美国政府模型改进及任务关键型AI控制
  • 与Surf Air Mobility扩大合作以加速商业化
This partnership solidifies Palantir's crucial role in national security and defense AI infrastructure, potentially securing long-term, high-value government contracts. It validates Palantir's platform as a key enabler for advanced AI deployment in sensitive sectors. 此次合作巩固了Palantir在国家安全和国防AI基础设施中的关键作用,有望获得长期高价值的政府合同。它验证了Palantir平台在敏感领域部署先进AI的能力。
🐂 AI Bull CaseAI 多头观点 The strategic Nvidia government AI partnership ensures robust revenue growth and market leadership in critical sovereign AI deployments. 与英伟达的政府AI战略合作确保了Palantir在关键主权AI部署中的强劲收入增长和市场领导地位。
🐻 AI Bear CaseAI 空头观点 Failure to execute complex Nvidia government AI solutions or intensified competition could impede Palantir's projected growth. 未能成功实施复杂的英伟达政府AI解决方案或竞争加剧,可能阻碍Palantir的预期增长。

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500
#4 · Score 909

Will Meta (META) close above $580 on July 1? Will Meta (META) close above $580 on July 1?

98% +90.5%

Will Meta (META) close above $580 on July 1?


Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误,仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

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500
#5 · Score 844

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $380 on July 1? Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $380 on July 1?

98% +84.0%

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $380 on July 1?


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Key Drivers核心驱动

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500
#6 · Score 713

Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $296 Week of June 29 2026? Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $296 Week of June 29 2026?

100% +71.0%

Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $296 Week of June 29 2026?


Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误,仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

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500
#7 · Score 689

Over $10M committed to the Laso Finance public sale? Over $10M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?

100% +68.5%

Over $10M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?


Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误,仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

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500
#8 · Score 678

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30? Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?

100% +67.5%

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?


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Key Drivers核心驱动

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500
#9 · Score 624

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 1? S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 1?

0% -62.0%

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 1?


Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误,仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

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500
#10 · Score 618

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of June 29 2 Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of June 29 2

100% +61.5%

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of June 29 2026?


Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误,仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

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500
#11 · Score 608

Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $107.50 Week of June 29 Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $107.50 Week of June 29

100% +60.5%

Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $107.50 Week of June 29 2026?


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Key Drivers核心驱动

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500
#12 · Score 526

Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $427.50 Week of June 29 2026? Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $427.50 Week of June 29 2026?

100% +52.2%

Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $427.50 Week of June 29 2026?


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Key Drivers核心驱动

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500
#13 · Score 499

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 1PM ET Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 1PM ET

100% +49.5%

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 1PM ET


Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误,仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

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500
#14 · Score 498

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 1? WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 1?

2% -49.4%

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 1?


Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误,仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

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500
#15 · Score 498

Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 in July? Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 in July?

100% +49.5%

Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 in July?


Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误,仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

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500
#16 · Score 493

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $375 in July? Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $375 in July?

100% +48.9%

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $375 in July?


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Key Drivers核心驱动

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500
#17 · Score 490

Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on July 1? Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on July 1?

99% +48.5%

Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on July 1?


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Key Drivers核心驱动

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500
#18 · Score 478

Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $126 in July? Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $126 in July?

100% +47.4%

Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $126 in July?


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Key Drivers核心驱动

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500
#19 · Score 444

Opendoor Price Target Probability Plunges Opendoor目标价概率暴跌

40% -44.0%

Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $4.00-$5.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 29 – Jul 3?


The probability for Opendoor (OPEN) to close at $4.00-$5.00 by July 3rd has sharply dropped to 40% from a much higher previous level. This significant decline is primarily driven by a bearish outlook on the broader tech sector, exemplified by a recent Barron's article highlighting Nvidia's struggles. Opendoor (OPEN) 在7月3日前收盘价达到4.00-5.00美元的概率已从此前高位急剧下降至40%。这一显著跌幅主要受更广泛科技行业看跌前景的推动,例如巴伦周刊近期一篇强调英伟达困境的文章。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Barron's Nvidia Report: Negative outlook on major tech stock, 'How Nvidia Became a Chip Stock Loser'.
  • Tech Sector Spillover: Bearish sentiment likely extended to growth-oriented tech companies like Opendoor.
  • Opendoor's growth stock status: Susceptible to broader tech sector downturns, reducing short-term targets.
  • 巴伦周刊英伟达报道:一篇关于英伟达的负面文章预示了对主要科技股的看跌情绪。
  • 科技行业溢出效应:这种负面情绪可能蔓延至Opendoor等成长型科技公司。
  • Opendoor成长股属性:作为成长型公司,易受科技行业低迷影响,降低短期目标价可能性。
Opendoor's performance reflects investor sentiment towards the iBuying model and the broader real estate tech sector. Its short-term price movement indicates market confidence in growth stocks amidst current economic conditions. Opendoor的表现反映了投资者对iBuying模式和更广泛房地产科技行业的信心。其短期股价走势预示着当前经济环境下市场对成长股的信心。
🐂 AI Bull CaseAI 多头观点 Strong housing market data or a broad tech sector rebound could quickly push Opendoor's stock into the $4.00-$5.00 range. 强劲的房地产市场数据或科技股普遍反弹可能迅速将Opendoor股价推至4.00-5.00美元区间。
🐻 AI Bear CaseAI 空头观点 Continued tech sector weakness, as highlighted by the Nvidia report, or company-specific concerns could keep Opendoor below $4.00. 科技行业持续疲软(如英伟达报告所示)或公司特定担忧可能使Opendoor股价保持在4.00美元以下。

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500
#20 · Score 423

Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $200 in July? Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $200 in July?

12% -42.0%

Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $200 in July?


Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误,仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

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500
#21 · Score 420

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on July 1? NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on July 1?

10% -41.6%

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on July 1?


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Key Drivers核心驱动

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500
#22 · Score 404

Will Solana reach $80 June 29-July 5? Will Solana reach $80 June 29-July 5?

68% +40.0%

Will Solana reach $80 June 29-July 5?


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Key Drivers核心驱动

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500
#23 · Score 314

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 June 29-July 5? Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 June 29-July 5?

16% -31.0%

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 June 29-July 5?


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Key Drivers核心驱动

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500
#24 · Score 314

Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between -0.5% and 0.0%? Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between -0.5% and 0.0%?

14% -31.0%

Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between -0.5% and 0.0%?


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Key Drivers核心驱动

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500
#25 · Score 298

Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $248 Week of June 29 2026? Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $248 Week of June 29 2026?

49% +29.5%

Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $248 Week of June 29 2026?


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Key Drivers核心驱动

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500
#26 · Score 284

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $69 on July 1? WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $69 on July 1?

22% -28.0%

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $69 on July 1?


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Key Drivers核心驱动

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500
#27 · Score 280

Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on July 1? Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on July 1?

78% +27.5%

Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on July 1?


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Key Drivers核心驱动

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500
#28 · Score 243

Will ITG's market cap be between $2.1B and $2.7B at market close on IP Will ITG's market cap be between $2.1B and $2.7B at market close on IP

65% +24.0%

Will ITG's market cap be between $2.1B and $2.7B at market close on IPO day?


Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误,仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Loading…
500
#29 · Score 232

Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%? Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?

44% +22.8%

Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?


Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误,仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Loading…
500
#30 · Score 189

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026

1% -18.4%

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?


Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误,仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Loading…
500
#31 · Score 185

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

6% -18.0%

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?


Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误,仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Loading…
500
#32 · Score 29

Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $13.5B by July 31? Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $13.5B by July 31?

48% -2.5%

Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $13.5B by July 31?


Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误,仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Loading…
500
No markets in this category yet. 此分类暂无市场数据。

📚 Guide 📚 使用指南

What is PolyLens?什么是 PolyLens?

PolyLens scans Polymarket every 8 hours, finds markets with notable price movements, fetches real news, and uses AI (Gemini / GPT) to generate concise intelligence cards. PolyLens 每 8 小时扫描全球最大预测市场 Polymarket,找出价格波动显著的市场,获取相关新闽,并使用 AI 生成简测的市场歸察卡片。

Think of it as: crowd wisdom + journalist instinct + analyst writing, fully automated. 可以理解为:结体智慐 + 记者直觉 + 分析师 振写,全自动化。


Reading a Card如何读测卡片

  • Big % (e.g. 62%) — current market-implied probability of YES outcome 大数字(如 62%) — 市场隐含的“是”结果概率
  • +7.0% / −3.5% — probability change in the last 24 hours +7.0% / −3.5% — 过去 24 小时概率变化
  • Summary — 2–3 sentence AI overview of latest developments 摘要 — AI 生成的 2–3 句最新动態
  • Key Drivers — bullet points explaining why the market moved 核心驱动 — 解释市场变动原因的要点
  • Vol 24h — trading volume (higher = more liquid, more reliable) Vol 24h — 24小时交易量(越高信号越可靠)
  • Sources 1 2 3 — news articles used as AI analysis context 来源 1 2 3 — AI 分析参考的新闽文章

Categories分类说明

  • 🔥 Hot — all markets ranked by movement × volume🔥 皣门 — 全部市场,按变动×成交量益合排名
  • 🗳️ Politics — elections, policy, government🗳️ 政治 — 选举、政ách;、政府
  • 🤖 AI & Tech — AI, software, hardware🤖 AI 科技 — 人工智能、软件、硬件
  • 📈 Economy — macro, rates, trade, inflation📈 经济 — 宏观、利率、质易、通織
  • 💼 Business — companies, M&A, earnings💼 商业 — 公司、并转、责报
  • 🌍 World — geopolitics, international events🌍 国际 — 地缓政治、国际事件
  • Sports — football, NBA, tennis, golf…体育 — 足球、NBA、网球、高尔堠…
  • Crypto — Bitcoin, Ethereum, DeFi加密 — 比特币、以太坚、DeFi

Newsletter邮件订阅

Subscribe at the bottom of the page. Every 8 hours, after fresh data is generated, you receive the top 3 insights with a link back to the full site. 在页面底部订阅。每 8 小时生成新数据后,您将收到前 3 条歸察的邮件,附有完整网站链接。


🤖 API / MCP for AI Agents供 AI 调用的 API / MCP

PolyLens exposes a Model Context Protocol (MCP) endpoint so AI assistants (Claude, GPT, etc.) can read live market intelligence as a built-in tool. PolyLens 提供 Model Context Protocol (MCP) 端点,供 AI 助手(Claude、GPT 等)以工具方式读取实时市场歸察。

Endpoint: https://www.hika.fyi/api/mcp 端点: https://www.hika.fyi/api/mcp

Tools: 可用工具:

  • get_insights — fetch insights, filter by category + lang — 获取歸察,可按 categorylang 簿选
  • get_market_summary — one-paragraph current market overview — 当前市场状况的简要显述
curl https://www.hika.fyi/api/mcp \
  -X POST -H "Content-Type: application/json" \
  -d '{"jsonrpc":"2.0","id":1,"method":"tools/call",
       "params":{"name":"get_insights",
                 "arguments":{"limit":3}}}'

Raw data: /data.json · Discovery: /.well-known/mcp.json 原始数据:/data.json · 服务发现:/.well-known/mcp.json


Data Sources数据来源

  • Polymarket — market prices, volumes, 24h changesPolymarket — 市场价格、成交量、24h 变化
  • Tavily — real-time news search with full snippetsTavily — 实时新闽搜索,含完整摘要
  • Gemini / GPT-4o-mini — AI analysis, bilingual insight generationGemini / GPT-4o-mini — AI 分析,双语歸察生成

🕑 History 🕑 历史文策

Loading…
Select a date from the list to view that snapshot.

Each snapshot includes the full AI analysis + a downloadable Markdown article.
从左侧选择日期查看该时间的快照。

ỗ个快照包含完整 AI 分析及可下载的 Markdown 文策。