AI-powered prediction market intelligence AI 驱动的预测市场歸察
Jul 07, 2026 20:56 UTC
#1 · Score 971

Iran Strikes Shipping Confirmed 伊朗成功袭击船只已确认

100% +96.7%

Iran successfully targets shipping on July 7?

The probability surged to 100% as multiple reports confirmed Iran successfully targeted commercial ships in the Strait of Hormuz on July 7. News outlets like Axios and The Maritime Executive detailed missile strikes and tanker attacks. 随着多方报道确认伊朗于7月7日在霍尔木兹海峡成功袭击商船，市场概率飙升至100%。Axios和The Maritime Executive等新闻机构详细报道了导弹袭击和油轮遇袭事件。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Axios reported Iran missiles hit ships in Hormuz.
  • Maritime Executive confirmed two tankers struck July 7.
  • UKMTO reported two separate shipping incidents.
  • Axios报道伊朗导弹击中霍尔木兹船只。
  • Maritime Executive证实7月7日两油轮遇袭。
  • UKMTO报告两起独立航运事件。
This escalation tests international diplomacy and maritime security, potentially disrupting global oil supplies and increasing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. 此次升级考验国际外交和海上安全，可能扰乱全球石油供应并加剧中东地缘政治紧张。
Vol 24h: $15,525 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
🐂 AI Bull CaseAI 多头观点 Multiple reputable news sources and maritime reports confirm successful attacks on July 7, solidifying the 100% probability. 多家权威新闻及海事报告证实7月7日袭击成功，巩固了100%的概率。
🐻 AI Bear CaseAI 空头观点 No credible reports have emerged to contradict or retract the confirmed attacks on July 7, making a probability drop highly improbable. 无可靠报告反驳或撤回7月7日袭击，概率下降极不可能。
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500
#2 · Score 534

SPX July 7 Open: Down Confirmed 标普7月7日开盘：下跌已定

0% -52.9%

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 7?

The probability of the S&P 500 opening up on July 7 plummeted to 0% from 52.9% as Asian markets drifted lower. This bearish sentiment was driven by widespread declines across Asian equities despite some positive corporate news. 标普500指数7月7日开盘上涨的概率从52.9%骤降至0%，主要原因是亚洲股市周二普遍走低。尽管三星发布了乐观预测，但亚洲股市的广泛下跌仍主导了市场情绪。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Asian stocks drifted lower on July 7
  • Global market sentiment turned bearish
  • Previous day's Wall St rally not sustained
  • 7月7日亚洲股市普遍下跌
  • 全球市场情绪转为悲观
  • 前一日华尔街涨势未能延续
This indicates a potential shift in short-term market direction, suggesting global economic concerns might be outweighing recent positive momentum. It sets the tone for US trading. 这预示着短期市场方向可能发生转变，表明全球经济担忧可能盖过了近期积极势头，并为美国股市开盘定下基调。
Vol 24h: $33,266 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
🐂 AI Bull CaseAI 多头观点 Strong US economic data or unexpected positive corporate earnings could reverse the bearish trend. 强劲的美国经济数据或意外利好公司财报可能扭转看跌趋势。
🐻 AI Bear CaseAI 空头观点 Continued weakness in global markets, particularly Asia, will likely drag the S&P 500 lower. 全球市场持续疲软，尤其亚洲，将拖累标普500指数。
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500
#3 · Score 518

Tesla Down: Burry's Bearish Bet Sinks Outlook 特斯拉暴跌：伯里看空

2% -51.5%

Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on July 7?

The probability of Tesla stock being up on July 7th plummeted to 2%, driven primarily by "Big Short" investor Michael Burry's recent bet against TSLA. This bearish sentiment was compounded by Jim Cramer's advice to buy into an anticipated July 7th sell-off. 特斯拉股价在7月7日上涨的概率暴跌至2%，主要受“大空头”投资者迈克尔·伯里近期做空特斯拉的消息驱动。吉姆·克莱默建议利用7月7日抛售机会买入的言论，进一步加剧了看跌情绪。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Michael Burry's bet against Tesla
  • Jim Cramer's July 7 sell-off warning
  • Anticipated broader market downturn
  • 迈克尔·伯里做空特斯拉
  • 吉姆·克莱默预警7月7日抛售
  • 市场预期股价将普遍下跌
Michael Burry's high-profile bearish stance on TSLA signals potential overvaluation concerns, impacting investor confidence in key tech stocks. 迈克尔·伯里对特斯拉的高调看空立场，预示着潜在的估值担忧，影响投资者对关键科技股的信心。
Vol 24h: $2,796 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
🐂 AI Bull CaseAI 多头观点 Tesla's robotaxi expansion in Miami and "fantastic news" for investors could still drive a rebound. 特斯拉迈阿密自动驾驶出租车扩张及“利好消息”仍可能推动股价反弹。
🐻 AI Bear CaseAI 空头观点 Michael Burry's bet against TSLA and Cramer's sell-off warning strongly suggest a downward trend. 迈克尔·伯里做空和克莱默抛售预警强烈指向股价下行。
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500
#4 · Score 509

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 7? SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 7?

9% -50.4%

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 7?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
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Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $62,172 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#5 · Score 499

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 7? WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 7?

99% +49.5%

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 7?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $33,986 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#6 · Score 499

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 1PM ET Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 1PM ET

100% +49.5%

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 1PM ET

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $32,335 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#7 · Score 497

Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on July 7? Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on July 7?

99% +49.4%

Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on July 7?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $6,145 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#8 · Score 486

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on July 7? S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on July 7?

99% +48.1%

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on July 7?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $22,828 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#9 · Score 474

Meta (META) Up or Down on July 7? Meta (META) Up or Down on July 7?

97% +47.0%

Meta (META) Up or Down on July 7?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

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  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $3,136 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#10 · Score 473

Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on July 7? Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on July 7?

97% +46.9%

Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on July 7?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $2,200 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#11 · Score 429

Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on July 7? Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on July 7?

92% +42.5%

Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on July 7?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $3,679 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#12 · Score 410

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 7? S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 7?

10% -40.5%

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 7?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $86,234 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#13 · Score 394

Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on July 7? Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on July 7?

11% -39.0%

Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on July 7?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $11,000 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#14 · Score 384

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on July 7? NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on July 7?

92% +38.0%

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on July 7?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $5,583 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#15 · Score 373

Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $92 Week of July 6 2026? Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $92 Week of July 6 2026?

100% +37.0%

Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $92 Week of July 6 2026?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $2,514 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#16 · Score 353

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of July 6 20 Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of July 6 20

75% +35.0%

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of July 6 2026?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $1,127 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#17 · Score 349

Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait o Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait o

73% +34.5%

Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $6,063 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#18 · Score 298

Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $960 Week of July 6 2026? Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $960 Week of July 6 2026?

100% +29.4%

Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $960 Week of July 6 2026?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $3,038 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#19 · Score 279

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $69 on July 7? WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $69 on July 7?

78% +27.5%

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $69 on July 7?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $9,343 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#20 · Score 230

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July? Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?

42% -22.5%

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $71,648 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#21 · Score 219

Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on July 7? Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on July 7?

28% -21.5%

Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on July 7?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $3,705 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#22 · Score 218

Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by July 31? Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by July 31?

28% -21.5%

Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by July 31?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $733 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#23 · Score 213

Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of July 6 Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of July 6

100% +20.9%

Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of July 6 2026?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $3,716 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#24 · Score 198

Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $175 Week of July 6 2026? Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $175 Week of July 6 2026?

50% -19.5%

Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $175 Week of July 6 2026?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $2,176 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#25 · Score 189

Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026? Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?

20% -18.5%

Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $11,115 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#26 · Score 183

Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $13.5B by December 31? Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $13.5B by December 31?

40% -18.0%

Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $13.5B by December 31?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $2,229 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#27 · Score 159

Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in July? Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in July?

72% +15.5%

Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in July?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $6,820 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#28 · Score 138

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?

32% +13.5%

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $2,773 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#29 · Score 129

Ethereum Up or Down on July 8? Ethereum Up or Down on July 8?

62% +12.5%

Ethereum Up or Down on July 8?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $8,880 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#30 · Score 125

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 8? Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 8?

3% -12.2%

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 8?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $4,590 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#31 · Score 112

Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 202 Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 202

20% +10.9%

Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $1,513 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
No markets in this category yet. 此分类暂无市场数据。

📚 Guide 📚 使用指南

What is PolyLens?什么是 PolyLens？

PolyLens scans Polymarket every 8 hours, finds markets with notable price movements, fetches real news, and uses AI (Gemini / GPT) to generate concise intelligence cards. PolyLens 每 8 小时扫描全球最大预测市场 Polymarket，找出价格波动显著的市场，获取相关新闽，并使用 AI 生成简测的市场歸察卡片。

Think of it as: crowd wisdom + journalist instinct + analyst writing, fully automated. 可以理解为：结体智慐 + 记者直觉 + 分析师　振写，全自动化。

Reading a Card如何读测卡片

  • Big % (e.g. 62%) — current market-implied probability of YES outcome 大数字（如 62%） — 市场隐含的“是”结果概率
  • +7.0% / −3.5% — probability change in the last 24 hours +7.0% / −3.5% — 过去 24 小时概率变化
  • Summary — 2–3 sentence AI overview of latest developments 摘要 — AI 生成的 2–3 句最新动態
  • Key Drivers — bullet points explaining why the market moved 核心驱动 — 解释市场变动原因的要点
  • Vol 24h — trading volume (higher = more liquid, more reliable) Vol 24h — 24小时交易量（越高信号越可靠）
  • Sources 1 2 3 — news articles used as AI analysis context 来源 1 2 3 — AI 分析参考的新闽文章

Categories分类说明

  • 🔥 Hot — all markets ranked by movement × volume🔥 皣门 — 全部市场，按变动×成交量益合排名
  • 🗳️ Politics — elections, policy, government🗳️ 政治 — 选举、政ách;、政府
  • 🤖 AI & Tech — AI, software, hardware🤖 AI 科技 — 人工智能、软件、硬件
  • 📈 Economy — macro, rates, trade, inflation📈 经济 — 宏观、利率、质易、通織
  • 💼 Business — companies, M&A, earnings💼 商业 — 公司、并转、责报
  • 🌍 World — geopolitics, international events🌍 国际 — 地缓政治、国际事件
  • ⚽ Sports — football, NBA, tennis, golf…⚽ 体育 — 足球、NBA、网球、高尔堠…
  • ₿ Crypto — Bitcoin, Ethereum, DeFi₿ 加密 — 比特币、以太坚、DeFi

Newsletter邮件订阅

Subscribe at the bottom of the page. Every 8 hours, after fresh data is generated, you receive the top 3 insights with a link back to the full site. 在页面底部订阅。每 8 小时生成新数据后，您将收到前 3 条歸察的邮件，附有完整网站链接。

🤖 API / MCP for AI Agents供 AI 调用的 API / MCP

PolyLens exposes a Model Context Protocol (MCP) endpoint so AI assistants (Claude, GPT, etc.) can read live market intelligence as a built-in tool. PolyLens 提供 Model Context Protocol (MCP) 端点，供 AI 助手（Claude、GPT 等）以工具方式读取实时市场歸察。

Endpoint: https://www.hika.fyi/api/mcp 端点： https://www.hika.fyi/api/mcp

Tools: 可用工具：

  • get_insights — fetch insights, filter by category + lang — 获取歸察，可按 category 和 lang 簿选
  • get_market_summary — one-paragraph current market overview — 当前市场状况的简要显述 
curl https://www.hika.fyi/api/mcp \
  -X POST -H "Content-Type: application/json" \
  -d '{"jsonrpc":"2.0","id":1,"method":"tools/call",
       "params":{"name":"get_insights",
                 "arguments":{"limit":3}}}'

Raw data: /data.json · Discovery: /.well-known/mcp.json 原始数据：/data.json · 服务发现：/.well-known/mcp.json

Data Sources数据来源

  • Polymarket — market prices, volumes, 24h changesPolymarket — 市场价格、成交量、24h 变化
  • Tavily — real-time news search with full snippetsTavily — 实时新闽搜索，含完整摘要
  • Gemini / GPT-4o-mini — AI analysis, bilingual insight generationGemini / GPT-4o-mini — AI 分析，双语歸察生成

🕑 History 🕑 历史文策

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Select a date from the list to view that snapshot.

Each snapshot includes the full AI analysis + a downloadable Markdown article. 从左侧选择日期查看该时间的快照。

ỗ个快照包含完整 AI 分析及可下载的 Markdown 文策。