AI-powered prediction market intelligence AI 驱动的预测市场歸察
Aug 02, 2026 19:58 UTC
#1 · Score 499

Bitcoin Confirmed Up by August 2 比特币8月2日确认上涨

100% +49.5%

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 12PM ET

The prediction market for Bitcoin being 'Up' by August 2, 12 PM ET, reached 100% probability, driven by Bitcoin's consistent daily gains and recovery above $63,000. This certainty emerged as Bitcoin traded up 0.72% to $63,460, overcoming earlier dips and consolidating its position. 比特币在8月2日美国东部时间中午12点前“上涨”的预测市场概率达到100%，主要受其当日持续上涨和重回63,000美元上方驱动。比特币上涨0.72%至63,460美元，克服了早些时候的下跌，巩固了其市场地位。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Bitcoin up 0.72% to $63,460 on August 2
  • Bitcoin reclaims $63K after dip to $62,400
  • War de-escalation boosts broader market confidence
  • 8月2日比特币上涨0.72%至63,460美元
  • 比特币从62,400美元低点反弹重回63K
  • 战争局势缓和提振市场信心
This market outcome confirms Bitcoin's immediate upward trajectory, indicating strong short-term resilience despite broader market consolidation warnings. It suggests that positive geopolitical developments can significantly influence crypto asset prices. 这一市场结果证实了比特币的即时上涨趋势，表明尽管市场普遍存在盘整警告，但其短期韧性强劲。这表明积极的地缘政治发展能显著影响加密资产价格。
Vol 24h: $13,015 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
🐂 AI Bull CaseAI 多头观点 Bitcoin's sustained daily gains and resilience above $63,000, bolstered by positive geopolitical news, signal continued upward momentum. 比特币持续的日内上涨和在63,000美元上方的韧性，加上积极的地缘政治消息，预示着持续的上涨势头。
🐻 AI Bear CaseAI 空头观点 Upcoming busy earnings week and the Coldcard security breach could introduce volatility, challenging future price stability despite current gains. 即将到来的繁忙财报季和Coldcard安全漏洞，可能带来波动性，挑战当前涨势后的价格稳定性。
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500
#2 · Score 470

WTI $105 Target Fades Amid Low Price WTI原油105美元目标渐远

3% -46.6%

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of August 3 2026?

The probability of WTI crude oil hitting $105 by August 3, 2026, plummeted by 46.6% to 3% after reports showed September WTI crude at an extremely low $1.08 on July 31, 2026. Despite a minor daily climb due to Strait of Hormuz disruptions, the market perceives $105 as an increasingly remote target. 随着9月WTI原油在2026年7月31日报告显示其价格极低至1.08美元，WTI原油在2026年8月3日当周触及105美元的可能性骤降46.6%至3%。尽管因霍尔木兹海峡供应中断而出现小幅日涨幅，市场仍认为从如此低位达到105美元的目标越来越遥远。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • WTI crude at $1.08 on July 31, 2026, makes $105 target highly improbable.
  • Minor +1.29% daily gain insufficient to bridge gap to $105 within a week.
  • Strait of Hormuz disruptions deemed inadequate to propel WTI to $105.
  • WTI原油7月31日仅1.08美元，使105美元目标极不可能。
  • 日涨1.29%幅度微弱，一周内不足以达到105美元。
  • 霍尔木兹海峡中断影响不足以推动WTI至105美元。
This market reflects global oil price expectations, influencing energy investments and inflation outlooks. A sustained low price, even if anomalous, would have significant economic impacts. 该市场反映全球油价预期，影响能源投资和通胀前景。即使是异常的持续低油价，也将产生重大经济影响。
Vol 24h: $11,690 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1
🐂 AI Bull CaseAI 多头观点 Escalating geopolitical tensions in the Strait of Hormuz could trigger severe supply shocks, rapidly pushing WTI prices towards $105. 霍尔木兹海峡地缘政治紧张局势升级，可能引发严重供应冲击，迅速推高WTI油价至105美元。
🐻 AI Bear CaseAI 空头观点 The current WTI price of $1.08, despite minor daily gains, makes the $105 target virtually impossible by August 3, 2026. 尽管日内小幅上涨，WTI原油当前1.08美元的价格使2026年8月3日前达到105美元的目标几乎不可能。
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500
#3 · Score 466

Bitcoin Holds Strong Above $58K Target 比特币坚守5.8万美元上方

96% +46.2%

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 8?

The probability surged to 96% that Bitcoin will stay above $58,000 by August 8, driven by analyst predictions and strong technical support. Forecasts for early August place BTC between $61,000-$66,000, while buyers have repeatedly defended the $59,800-$61,400 support zone. 比特币在8月8日价格高于5.8万美元的概率飙升至96%，主要受分析师预测和强劲技术支撑驱动。早期8月预测将比特币价格定在6.1万至6.6万美元之间，且买家已多次守住5.98万至6.14万美元的支撑区。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Analyst forecasts predict $61K-$66K for Aug 1-10.
  • Buyers repeatedly defended $59,800-$61,400 support.
  • $58,000 was a late-June low, price pushed above.
  • 分析师预测8月1-10日BTC在6.1万-6.6万美元。
  • 买家多次守住5.98万-6.14万美元支撑位。
  • 5.8万美元是6月下旬低点，价格已回升。
This market reflects confidence in Bitcoin's short-term stability amidst broader market volatility. It indicates a potential floor for BTC price in the near future. 该市场反映了比特币在更广泛市场波动中短期稳定性的信心。它预示着比特币近期价格可能存在的底部。
Vol 24h: $5,086 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
🐂 AI Bull CaseAI 多头观点 Strong technical support above $59,800 and bullish analyst forecasts for early August solidify Bitcoin's position above $58,000. 比特币在5.98万美元上方有强劲技术支撑，且分析师看涨预测巩固其高于5.8万美元的地位。
🐻 AI Bear CaseAI 空头观点 Persistent market weakness, potentially from faltering AI stocks, could still force Bitcoin to test the $58,000 support. 市场持续疲软，可能受AI股票下跌影响，仍可能迫使比特币测试5.8万美元支撑位。
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500
#4 · Score 431

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?

52% +42.5%

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?

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Vol 24h: $1,057,165 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#5 · Score 338

Will Micron (MU) close at $780-$800 on the final day of trading of the Will Micron (MU) close at $780-$800 on the final day of trading of the

14% -33.5%

Will Micron (MU) close at $780-$800 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 3 – Aug 7?

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Vol 24h: $681 Polymarket ↗
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500
#6 · Score 295

Trump Signals Iran Deal Hope 特朗普暗示伊朗协议希望

41% +29.0%

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?

The probability for the US announcing an end to the Iranian blockade by August 2026 surged to 41% (+29.0%) after former President Trump indicated a willingness to halt strikes and pursue a "deal to end war" with Iran. This statement suggests a potential shift towards de-escalation, despite recent reports of thwarted missile attacks and new US Treasury sanctions. 到2026年8月15日结束伊朗封锁的市场概率飙升至41%（+29.0%），此前前总统特朗普表示愿意停止对伊朗的打击并寻求“结束战争的协议”。尽管最近有报道称导弹袭击被挫败和美国财政部实施新制裁，但这一声明预示着潜在的局势缓和。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Trump's pledge to halt Iran strikes
  • Trump's intent for "deal to end war"
  • Potential for future US administration policy shift
  • 特朗普承诺停止对伊朗打击
  • 特朗普寻求“结束战争协议”
  • 未来美国政府政策可能转变
Ending the Iranian blockade would significantly impact global oil markets, regional stability, and international trade, potentially easing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. 结束对伊朗的封锁将对全球石油市场、地区稳定和国际贸易产生重大影响，可能缓解中东地缘政治紧张局势。
Vol 24h: $159,115 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
🐂 AI Bull CaseAI 多头观点 Trump's explicit statement about pursuing a "deal to end war" and halting strikes strongly suggests a future policy aimed at de-escalation and lifting blockades. 特朗普明确表示寻求“结束战争协议”并停止打击，强烈暗示未来政策将旨在缓和局势并解除封锁。
🐻 AI Bear CaseAI 空头观点 Ongoing US Treasury sanctions and recent thwarted Iranian missile attacks highlight persistent hostilities, making a blockade end unlikely. 美国财政部持续制裁和近期伊朗导弹袭击事件凸显持续敌意，使得解除封锁的可能性降低。
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500
#7 · Score 268

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 3? SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 3?

68% +26.5%

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 3?

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Vol 24h: $1,959 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#8 · Score 238

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?

100% +23.2%

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?

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Vol 24h: $1,517,548 Polymarket ↗
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500
#9 · Score 235

Iran full airspace closure by August 15? Iran full airspace closure by August 15?

14% -23.0%

Iran full airspace closure by August 15?

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Vol 24h: $85,889 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#10 · Score 233

Services PMI Range Probability Plunges 服务业PMI区间概率骤降

29% -23.0%

Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?

The probability of July's ISM Services PMI landing between 54.0 and 54.9 has sharply declined by 23% to 29%, indicating a significant shift in expectations. This movement suggests market participants now anticipate the PMI will likely exceed this range, driven by a re-evaluation of economic momentum. 7月ISM服务业PMI落在54.0至54.9区间的概率在24小时内骤降23%至29%，表明市场预期发生重大转变。这一变化暗示市场参与者现在预计PMI可能超出此区间，受经济动能重新评估驱动。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Stronger-than-expected employment figures
  • Resilient consumer spending trends
  • Upward shift in overall economic outlook
  • 超预期就业数据
  • 消费者支出保持韧性
  • 整体经济前景上调
The ISM Services PMI is a crucial barometer for the US economy's dominant services sector, influencing Federal Reserve policy decisions and broader investment strategies. ISM服务业PMI是衡量美国经济主导服务业健康状况的关键指标，影响美联储货币政策和更广泛的投资策略。
Vol 24h: $3,002 Polymarket ↗
🐂 AI Bull CaseAI 多头观点 Recent robust economic data points to continued strong expansion, likely pushing the ISM Services PMI above the 54.9 threshold. 近期强劲的经济数据预示服务业将持续强劲扩张，ISM服务业PMI可能高于54.9。
🐻 AI Bear CaseAI 空头观点 Rising interest rates and tightening financial conditions could slow the services sector, causing the PMI to fall below 54.0. 利率上升和金融条件收紧可能拖累服务业，导致PMI跌破54.0。
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500
#11 · Score 233

Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by August 31, 2026 Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by August 31, 2026

8% -23.0%

Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by August 31, 2026?

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Vol 24h: $1,520 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#12 · Score 228

Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $40B by August 31? Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $40B by August 31?

40% +22.5%

Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $40B by August 31?

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Vol 24h: $2,735 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#13 · Score 223

Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $304 in August? Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $304 in August?

64% -22.0%

Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $304 in August?

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Vol 24h: $1,848 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#14 · Score 204

Will PPI YoY be 5.2% in July? Will PPI YoY be 5.2% in July?

10% -20.0%

Will PPI YoY be 5.2% in July?

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Vol 24h: $25,600 Polymarket ↗
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500
#15 · Score 175

Israel closes its airspace by August 15? Israel closes its airspace by August 15?

13% -17.0%

Israel closes its airspace by August 15?

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Vol 24h: $168,486 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2
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500
#16 · Score 168

Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in August? Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in August?

85% +16.5%

Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in August?

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Vol 24h: $822 Polymarket ↗
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500
#17 · Score 160

US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?

56% +15.5%

US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?

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Vol 24h: $35,047 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#18 · Score 158

Will Micron (MU) close above $840 end of August? Will Micron (MU) close above $840 end of August?

66% +15.5%

Will Micron (MU) close above $840 end of August?

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Vol 24h: $600 Polymarket ↗
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500
#19 · Score 138

Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?

48% -13.2%

Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?

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Vol 24h: $126,906 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#20 · Score 119

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in August? Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in August?

49% -11.5%

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in August?

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Vol 24h: $4,336 Polymarket ↗
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500
#21 · Score 115

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

57% +11.0%

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

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Vol 24h: $269,823 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#22 · Score 114

Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,176,00 Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,176,00

42% +11.0%

Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,176,000 and $1,198,000 on September 30?

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Vol 24h: $5,173 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2
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500
#23 · Score 113

Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $76 in August? Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $76 in August?

44% -11.0%

Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $76 in August?

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Vol 24h: $980 Polymarket ↗
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500
#24 · Score 113

Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $124 in August? Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $124 in August?

16% +11.0%

Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $124 in August?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You have no credits remaining. Add credits to continue using the API at https:/
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You have no credits remaining. Add credits to continue using the API at https:/
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $740 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#25 · Score 104

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in August? Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in August?

42% -10.0%

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in August?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You have no credits remaining. Add credits to continue using the API at https:/
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You have no credits remaining. Add credits to continue using the API at https:/
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $3,177 Polymarket ↗
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500
#26 · Score 100

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?

42% +9.5%

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You have no credits remaining. Add credits to continue using the API at https:/
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You have no credits remaining. Add credits to continue using the API at https:/
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $60,677 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#27 · Score 98

Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $105B by August 31? Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $105B by August 31?

64% +9.5%

Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $105B by August 31?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You have no credits remaining. Add credits to continue using the API at https:/
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You have no credits remaining. Add credits to continue using the API at https:/
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $2,827 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#28 · Score 98

Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $600B by August 31? Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $600B by August 31?

22% -9.5%

Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $600B by August 31?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You have no credits remaining. Add credits to continue using the API at https:/
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You have no credits remaining. Add credits to continue using the API at https:/
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $1,833 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#29 · Score 98

Core CPI MoM 0.2% Odds Rise 核心CPI月率0.2%概率升

45% +9.4%

Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?

The probability of July Core CPI MoM hitting exactly 0.2% increased by 9.4% to 45% in the last 24 hours. This movement suggests market participants are increasingly converging on 0.2% as a likely outcome, driven by reassessments of key inflation components. 7月核心CPI月率达到0.2%的概率在过去24小时内上升9.4%至45%。这一变化表明市场参与者越来越倾向于0.2%这一结果，主要受对关键通胀组成部分重新评估的驱动。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Reassessment of housing inflation trajectory
  • Anticipated moderation in used vehicle prices
  • Broadening disinflationary expectations
  • 住房通胀趋势重新评估
  • 二手车价格预期温和
  • 更广泛的通胀下行预期
Core CPI MoM is a critical inflation gauge influencing Federal Reserve policy decisions and broader economic outlook. Hitting 0.2% would signal continued progress towards the Fed's 2% target. 核心CPI月率是影响美联储政策和经济前景的关键通胀指标。若达到0.2%将表明美联储2%通胀目标取得持续进展。
Vol 24h: $3,816 Polymarket ↗
🐂 AI Bull CaseAI 多头观点 Stronger-than-expected deceleration in housing costs and used car prices will push Core CPI MoM to exactly 0.2%. 住房及二手车价格超预期降速，核心CPI月率料达0.2%。
🐻 AI Bear CaseAI 空头观点 Persistent services inflation or unexpected rebound in goods prices will cause Core CPI MoM to miss 0.2%. 服务通胀持续或商品意外反弹，核心CPI月率将偏离0.2%。
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500
#30 · Score 96

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2

30% -9.1%

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You have no credits remaining. Add credits to continue using the API at https:/
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You have no credits remaining. Add credits to continue using the API at https:/
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $47,678 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#31 · Score 68

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Septe Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Septe

69% +6.5%

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You have no credits remaining. Add credits to continue using the API at https:/
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You have no credits remaining. Add credits to continue using the API at https:/
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $2,408 Polymarket ↗
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500
#32 · Score 33

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in August? Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in August?

8% +3.0%

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in August?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You have no credits remaining. Add credits to continue using the API at https:/
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You have no credits remaining. Add credits to continue using the API at https:/
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $2,970 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
No markets in this category yet. 此分类暂无市场数据。

📚 Guide 📚 使用指南

What is PolyLens?什么是 PolyLens？

PolyLens scans Polymarket every 8 hours, finds markets with notable price movements, fetches real news, and uses AI (Gemini / GPT) to generate concise intelligence cards. PolyLens 每 8 小时扫描全球最大预测市场 Polymarket，找出价格波动显著的市场，获取相关新闽，并使用 AI 生成简测的市场歸察卡片。

Think of it as: crowd wisdom + journalist instinct + analyst writing, fully automated. 可以理解为：结体智慐 + 记者直觉 + 分析师　振写，全自动化。

Reading a Card如何读测卡片

  • Big % (e.g. 62%) — current market-implied probability of YES outcome 大数字（如 62%） — 市场隐含的“是”结果概率
  • +7.0% / −3.5% — probability change in the last 24 hours +7.0% / −3.5% — 过去 24 小时概率变化
  • Summary — 2–3 sentence AI overview of latest developments 摘要 — AI 生成的 2–3 句最新动態
  • Key Drivers — bullet points explaining why the market moved 核心驱动 — 解释市场变动原因的要点
  • Vol 24h — trading volume (higher = more liquid, more reliable) Vol 24h — 24小时交易量（越高信号越可靠）
  • Sources 1 2 3 — news articles used as AI analysis context 来源 1 2 3 — AI 分析参考的新闽文章

Categories分类说明

  • 🔥 Hot — all markets ranked by movement × volume🔥 皣门 — 全部市场，按变动×成交量益合排名
  • 🗳️ Politics — elections, policy, government🗳️ 政治 — 选举、政ách;、政府
  • 🤖 AI & Tech — AI, software, hardware🤖 AI 科技 — 人工智能、软件、硬件
  • 📈 Economy — macro, rates, trade, inflation📈 经济 — 宏观、利率、质易、通織
  • 💼 Business — companies, M&A, earnings💼 商业 — 公司、并转、责报
  • 🌍 World — geopolitics, international events🌍 国际 — 地缓政治、国际事件
  • ⚽ Sports — football, NBA, tennis, golf…⚽ 体育 — 足球、NBA、网球、高尔堠…
  • ₿ Crypto — Bitcoin, Ethereum, DeFi₿ 加密 — 比特币、以太坚、DeFi

Newsletter邮件订阅

Subscribe at the bottom of the page. Every 8 hours, after fresh data is generated, you receive the top 3 insights with a link back to the full site. 在页面底部订阅。每 8 小时生成新数据后，您将收到前 3 条歸察的邮件，附有完整网站链接。

🤖 API / MCP for AI Agents供 AI 调用的 API / MCP

PolyLens exposes a Model Context Protocol (MCP) endpoint so AI assistants (Claude, GPT, etc.) can read live market intelligence as a built-in tool. PolyLens 提供 Model Context Protocol (MCP) 端点，供 AI 助手（Claude、GPT 等）以工具方式读取实时市场歸察。

Endpoint: https://www.hika.fyi/api/mcp 端点： https://www.hika.fyi/api/mcp

Tools: 可用工具：

  • get_insights — fetch insights, filter by category + lang — 获取歸察，可按 category 和 lang 簿选
  • get_market_summary — one-paragraph current market overview — 当前市场状况的简要显述 
curl https://www.hika.fyi/api/mcp \
  -X POST -H "Content-Type: application/json" \
  -d '{"jsonrpc":"2.0","id":1,"method":"tools/call",
       "params":{"name":"get_insights",
                 "arguments":{"limit":3}}}'

Raw data: /data.json · Discovery: /.well-known/mcp.json 原始数据：/data.json · 服务发现：/.well-known/mcp.json

Data Sources数据来源

  • Polymarket — market prices, volumes, 24h changesPolymarket — 市场价格、成交量、24h 变化
  • Tavily — real-time news search with full snippetsTavily — 实时新闽搜索，含完整摘要
  • Gemini / GPT-4o-mini — AI analysis, bilingual insight generationGemini / GPT-4o-mini — AI 分析，双语歸察生成

🕑 History 🕑 历史文策

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Select a date from the list to view that snapshot.

Each snapshot includes the full AI analysis + a downloadable Markdown article. 从左侧选择日期查看该时间的快照。

ỗ个快照包含完整 AI 分析及可下载的 Markdown 文策。