AI-powered prediction market intelligence AI 驱动的预测市场歸察
Jun 01, 2026 16:08 UTC
#1 · Score 909

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1? Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?

1% -90.5%

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?

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Vol 24h: $96,074 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#2 · Score 676

Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on June 1? Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on June 1?

2% -67.2%

Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on June 1?

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Vol 24h: $1,107 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#3 · Score 593

Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on June 1? Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on June 1?

8% -59.0%

Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on June 1?

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Vol 24h: $2,953 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#4 · Score 593

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

66% +58.6%

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

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Vol 24h: $9,401,381 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#5 · Score 562

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1? S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?

100% +55.6%

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?

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Vol 24h: $164,082 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#6 · Score 518

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $465 Week of June 1 2026? Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $465 Week of June 1 2026?

100% +51.5%

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $465 Week of June 1 2026?

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Vol 24h: $1,441 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#7 · Score 509

Bitcoin Crashes to 0% Up Probability 比特币上涨概率跌至0%

0% -50.4%

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5AM ET

The probability for Bitcoin to be up by June 1, 5 AM ET, plummeted to 0% following intense market-wide weakness. This dramatic shift was primarily driven by Bitcoin testing critical support levels, as reported by KITCO. 比特币在6月1日美国东部时间凌晨5点前上涨的概率暴跌至0%，此前市场普遍疲软。这一剧烈变化主要受KITCO报道的比特币测试关键支撑位所驱动。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Bitcoin tests critical support amid market-wide weakness (KITCO)
  • Ethereum mirrored Bitcoin’s weakness, confirming broader crypto sell-off
  • Unresolved TBO Close Long signal from Tuesday adds uncertainty
  • 比特币测试关键支撑，市场普遍疲软（KITCO）
  • 以太坊跟随比特币走弱，确认加密市场抛售
  • 周二TBO看涨信号未解决，增加不确定性
This extreme probability drop signals a severe bearish outlook for Bitcoin, potentially impacting broader cryptocurrency markets and investor confidence. A failure to hold critical support could trigger further significant price declines. 这一极端的概率下降预示着比特币的严重看跌前景，可能影响更广泛的加密货币市场和投资者信心。未能守住关键支撑可能引发进一步大幅价格下跌。
Vol 24h: $44,465 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
🐂 AI Bull CaseAI 多头观点 Bitcoin could stage a sharp rebound from critical support levels, invalidating current bearish sentiment. 比特币可能从关键支撑位强劲反弹，扭转当前看跌情绪。
🐻 AI Bear CaseAI 空头观点 Continued breakdown of critical support could accelerate market-wide sell-off, pushing prices further down. 关键支撑位的持续失守可能加速市场抛售，进一步推低价格。
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500
#8 · Score 504

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7AM ET Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7AM ET

0% -50.0%

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7AM ET

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Vol 24h: $39,836 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#9 · Score 502

SK ETF Soars on AI Export Boom 韩国ETF因AI出口激增

100% +50.0%

Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $194 in June?

The probability of South Korea ETF (EWY) hitting $194 in June surged to 100% from 50% due to record-breaking South Korean stock performance and unprecedented export growth. Recent Reuters headlines confirm South Korean export growth hitting a four-decade high, driven by the global AI boom and record chip sales. 韩国ETF (EWY) 在6月达到194美元的概率从50%飙升至100%，主要得益于韩国股市创纪录的表现以及前所未有的出口增长。路透社最新报道证实，受全球AI热潮和创纪录芯片销售的推动，韩国出口增长达到四十年来的最高水平。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • South Korean stocks hit new records.
  • AI boom drives 4-decade high export growth.
  • Record chip sales fueled by AI demand.
  • 韩国股市创下新高纪录。
  • AI热潮推动出口增长达四十年高点。
  • AI需求带动芯片销售创纪录。
This indicates strong economic momentum for South Korea, driven by its critical role in the global technology supply chain, particularly in semiconductors and AI-related components. 这表明韩国经济强劲的增长势头，得益于其在全球科技供应链中，尤其是在半导体和AI相关组件领域的关键作用。
Vol 24h: $590 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
🐂 AI Bull CaseAI 多头观点 Continued global AI demand will sustain record chip sales and export growth, pushing EWY past $194 in June. 全球AI需求持续将支撑芯片销售和出口增长，推动EWY在6月突破194美元。
🐻 AI Bear CaseAI 空头观点 A significant slowdown in global tech demand or unforeseen geopolitical events could quickly reverse South Korea's export momentum. 全球科技需求显著放缓或突发地缘政治事件可能迅速逆转韩国出口势头。
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500
#10 · Score 494

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 1? Bitcoin Up or Down on June 1?

1% -48.9%

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 1?

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Vol 24h: $150,922 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#11 · Score 469

Meta Probability Plummets on Regulatory Fears Meta概率暴跌，监管担忧加剧

12% -46.5%

Meta (META) Up or Down on June 1?

The probability of Meta being up on June 1st has sharply declined to 12% following reports of escalating regulatory and legal challenges. News of Meta's employee tracking tool colliding with EU privacy rules and ongoing whistleblower legal issues significantly dampened investor confidence. Meta股价在6月1日上涨的概率已急剧降至12%，此前有报道称其面临日益严峻的监管和法律挑战。Meta员工追踪工具与欧盟隐私规则冲突以及吹哨人律师的法律纠纷，严重打击了投资者信心。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Meta's employee tracking tool faces EU privacy rules.
  • Whistleblower's lawyer prevented from promoting book.
  • Meta员工追踪工具面临欧盟隐私规则挑战。
  • 吹哨人律师被阻止宣传其书籍。
These developments highlight Meta's persistent struggles with privacy regulations and public trust, potentially leading to significant fines and reputational damage in key markets. Such issues can impact investor sentiment and future growth prospects. 这些进展凸显了Meta在隐私监管和公众信任方面的持续困境，可能导致其在关键市场面临巨额罚款和声誉损害。此类问题会影响投资者情绪和未来的增长前景。
Vol 24h: $3,659 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
🐂 AI Bull CaseAI 多头观点 Meta's development of an AI pendant signals innovation and potential new revenue streams, attracting long-term growth investors. Meta开发AI吊坠预示着创新和潜在的新收入来源，吸引长期增长型投资者。
🐻 AI Bear CaseAI 空头观点 Looming EU privacy fines and reputational damage from employee tracking and whistleblower issues pose significant short-term risks. 欧盟隐私罚款和员工追踪、吹哨人事件造成的声誉损害，构成短期重大风险。
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500
#12 · Score 450

Ethereum Up or Down on June 1? Ethereum Up or Down on June 1?

6% -44.5%

Ethereum Up or Down on June 1?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

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Vol 24h: $56,573 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#13 · Score 450

Bitcoin Up Probability Plunges 比特币上涨概率暴跌

6% -44.5%

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9AM ET

Bitcoin's probability of being up by June 1, 9AM ET, plummeted 44.5% to 6% following "heavy losses last week" in crypto markets. A lack of immediate positive catalysts contributed to the bearish shift. 比特币在6月1日美国东部时间上午9点上涨的概率暴跌44.5%至6%，主要原因是加密市场“上周遭受重创”，且缺乏即时利好催化剂。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Crypto market "heavy losses last week"
  • Absence of new positive Bitcoin catalysts
  • Anticipation of key U.S. economic data
  • 加密市场“上周遭受重创”
  • 缺乏新的比特币利好消息
  • 市场预期美国关键经济数据
This significant probability drop reflects a strong bearish sentiment for Bitcoin in the short term, indicating broader risk aversion in crypto. 这一显著的概率下降反映了短期内比特币的强烈看跌情绪，预示着加密货币领域的普遍避险情绪。
Vol 24h: $49,073 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
🐂 AI Bull CaseAI 多头观点 Unexpected positive news or weaker-than-expected U.S. economic data could spark a rebound. 意外利好消息或弱于预期的美国经济数据可能引发反弹。
🐻 AI Bear CaseAI 空头观点 Continued negative momentum and strong U.S. jobs/ISM data could further depress Bitcoin's price. 负面势头持续以及强劲的美国就业/ISM数据可能进一步压低比特币价格。
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500
#14 · Score 448

Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in June? Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in June?

100% +44.5%

Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in June?

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Vol 24h: $7,795 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#15 · Score 428

Palantir Surges: June 1 Up Probability Soars PLTR 6月1日上涨概率升

85% +42.5%

Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on June 1?

The probability of Palantir (PLTR) stock being up on June 1 surged to 85% following reports of strong upward momentum. Benzinga highlighted PLTR's continued surge on Monday, building on Friday's gains. Palantir (PLTR) 股票6月1日上涨的概率飙升至85%，此前有报道称其股价强劲上涨。Benzinga强调PLTR周一继续飙升，延续了周五的涨势。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Benzinga report on PLTR's Monday stock surge
  • Strong upward momentum from Friday's trading
  • Positive investor sentiment for AI/data stocks
  • Benzinga报道PLTR周一股价飙升
  • 周五交易日积累的强劲上涨势头
  • 投资者对AI/数据股票的积极情绪
This movement reflects investor confidence in Palantir's growth trajectory and its position in the evolving AI and data analytics sector. It could signal sustained interest in enterprise AI solutions. 这一走势反映了投资者对Palantir增长轨迹及其在AI和数据分析领域地位的信心。这可能预示着对企业级AI解决方案的持续兴趣。
Vol 24h: $1,101 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
🐂 AI Bull CaseAI 多头观点 Continued strong demand for Palantir's AI platforms and government contracts will drive further stock appreciation. Palantir人工智能平台和政府合同的持续强劲需求将推动股价进一步上涨。
🐻 AI Bear CaseAI 空头观点 Profit-taking after recent gains or broader tech sector volatility could reverse PLTR's upward trend. 近期涨幅后的获利了结或科技板块整体波动可能逆转PLTR的上涨趋势。
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500
#16 · Score 398

Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $265 on June 1? Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $265 on June 1?

36% -39.5%

Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $265 on June 1?

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Vol 24h: $707 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#17 · Score 315

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 1? WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 1?

96% +31.0%

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 1?

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Vol 24h: $54,485 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#18 · Score 298

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 26-June 1? MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 26-June 1?

1% -29.3%

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 26-June 1?

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Vol 24h: $22,753 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#19 · Score 294

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 1? NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 1?

98% +29.0%

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 1?

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Vol 24h: $5,357 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#20 · Score 290

Will Apple (AAPL) close above $315 on June 1? Will Apple (AAPL) close above $315 on June 1?

4% -28.7%

Will Apple (AAPL) close above $315 on June 1?

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Vol 24h: $868 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#21 · Score 248

Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $100 in June? Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?

46% -24.5%

Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

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Vol 24h: $2,451 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#22 · Score 233

Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of June 1 above $450? Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of June 1 above $450?

72% +23.0%

Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of June 1 above $450?

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Vol 24h: $889 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#23 · Score 229

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on June 1? S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on June 1?

12% -22.5%

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on June 1?

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Vol 24h: $13,941 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#24 · Score 223

Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 in June? Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 in June?

38% -22.0%

Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 in June?

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Vol 24h: $2,186 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#25 · Score 203

Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $165 Week of June 1 Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $165 Week of June 1

68% +20.0%

Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $165 Week of June 1 2026?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

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Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $627 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#26 · Score 164

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 4? Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 4?

78% -16.0%

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 4?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $14,203 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#27 · Score 161

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time? Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

77% +15.8%

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $1,160 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#28 · Score 154

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 5? Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 5?

76% -15.0%

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 5?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $12,685 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#29 · Score 139

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?

15% -13.5%

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $28,666 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#30 · Score 138

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30? Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?

46% +13.5%

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $2,888 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#31 · Score 49

Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?

17% +4.5%

Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $3,353 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
No markets in this category yet. 此分类暂无市场数据。

📚 Guide 📚 使用指南

What is PolyLens?什么是 PolyLens？

PolyLens scans Polymarket every 8 hours, finds markets with notable price movements, fetches real news, and uses AI (Gemini / GPT) to generate concise intelligence cards. PolyLens 每 8 小时扫描全球最大预测市场 Polymarket，找出价格波动显著的市场，获取相关新闽，并使用 AI 生成简测的市场歸察卡片。

Think of it as: crowd wisdom + journalist instinct + analyst writing, fully automated. 可以理解为：结体智慐 + 记者直觉 + 分析师　振写，全自动化。

Reading a Card如何读测卡片

  • Big % (e.g. 62%) — current market-implied probability of YES outcome 大数字（如 62%） — 市场隐含的“是”结果概率
  • +7.0% / −3.5% — probability change in the last 24 hours +7.0% / −3.5% — 过去 24 小时概率变化
  • Summary — 2–3 sentence AI overview of latest developments 摘要 — AI 生成的 2–3 句最新动態
  • Key Drivers — bullet points explaining why the market moved 核心驱动 — 解释市场变动原因的要点
  • Vol 24h — trading volume (higher = more liquid, more reliable) Vol 24h — 24小时交易量（越高信号越可靠）
  • Sources 1 2 3 — news articles used as AI analysis context 来源 1 2 3 — AI 分析参考的新闽文章

Categories分类说明

  • 🔥 Hot — all markets ranked by movement × volume🔥 皣门 — 全部市场，按变动×成交量益合排名
  • 🗳️ Politics — elections, policy, government🗳️ 政治 — 选举、政ách;、政府
  • 🤖 AI & Tech — AI, software, hardware🤖 AI 科技 — 人工智能、软件、硬件
  • 📈 Economy — macro, rates, trade, inflation📈 经济 — 宏观、利率、质易、通織
  • 💼 Business — companies, M&A, earnings💼 商业 — 公司、并转、责报
  • 🌍 World — geopolitics, international events🌍 国际 — 地缓政治、国际事件
  • ⚽ Sports — football, NBA, tennis, golf…⚽ 体育 — 足球、NBA、网球、高尔堠…
  • ₿ Crypto — Bitcoin, Ethereum, DeFi₿ 加密 — 比特币、以太坚、DeFi

Newsletter邮件订阅

Subscribe at the bottom of the page. Every 8 hours, after fresh data is generated, you receive the top 3 insights with a link back to the full site. 在页面底部订阅。每 8 小时生成新数据后，您将收到前 3 条歸察的邮件，附有完整网站链接。

🤖 API / MCP for AI Agents供 AI 调用的 API / MCP

PolyLens exposes a Model Context Protocol (MCP) endpoint so AI assistants (Claude, GPT, etc.) can read live market intelligence as a built-in tool. PolyLens 提供 Model Context Protocol (MCP) 端点，供 AI 助手（Claude、GPT 等）以工具方式读取实时市场歸察。

Endpoint: https://www.hika.fyi/api/mcp 端点： https://www.hika.fyi/api/mcp

Tools: 可用工具：

  • get_insights — fetch insights, filter by category + lang — 获取歸察，可按 category 和 lang 簿选
  • get_market_summary — one-paragraph current market overview — 当前市场状况的简要显述 
curl https://www.hika.fyi/api/mcp \
  -X POST -H "Content-Type: application/json" \
  -d '{"jsonrpc":"2.0","id":1,"method":"tools/call",
       "params":{"name":"get_insights",
                 "arguments":{"limit":3}}}'

Raw data: /data.json · Discovery: /.well-known/mcp.json 原始数据：/data.json · 服务发现：/.well-known/mcp.json

Data Sources数据来源

  • Polymarket — market prices, volumes, 24h changesPolymarket — 市场价格、成交量、24h 变化
  • Tavily — real-time news search with full snippetsTavily — 实时新闽搜索，含完整摘要
  • Gemini / GPT-4o-mini — AI analysis, bilingual insight generationGemini / GPT-4o-mini — AI 分析，双语歸察生成

🕑 History 🕑 历史文策

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Select a date from the list to view that snapshot.

Each snapshot includes the full AI analysis + a downloadable Markdown article. 从左侧选择日期查看该时间的快照。

ỗ个快照包含完整 AI 分析及可下载的 Markdown 文策。