AI-powered prediction market intelligence AI 驱动的预测市场歸察
Jul 21, 2026 20:26 UTC
#1 · Score 693

COIN $170 Target Certainty by 2026 COIN 2026年目标价170美元确定

100% +69.0%

Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $170 Week of July 20 2026?

Coinbase's probability to hit $170 by July 20, 2026, surged to 100%, reflecting an undeniable market conviction despite recent short-term trading volume concerns. This dramatic shift suggests investors are looking past immediate challenges towards a guaranteed long-term growth trajectory for COIN. 尽管近期有关于Coinbase短期交易量可能不及预期的报道，但其在2026年7月20日达到170美元的概率飙升至100%。这一剧烈变化表明市场对COIN的长期增长轨迹抱有极高且不容置疑的信心。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Prediction market's absolute certainty in COIN reaching $170.
  • Dismissal of Coinbase's potential Q2 trading volume shortfall (CNBC).
  • Stable economic outlook with 'Rates Are Steady' on July 20, 2026 (Forbes).
  • 预测市场对COIN达到170美元的绝对确定性。
  • 市场对Coinbase第二季度交易量不足报道（CNBC）的忽视。
  • 2026年7月20日“利率稳定”（福布斯）预示经济前景稳定。
This extreme confidence in Coinbase's future could signal significant upcoming crypto market developments, regulatory clarity, or a strong belief in its long-term business model resilience. 这表明市场对Coinbase未来充满信心，可能预示着加密市场或监管将出现重大积极发展，或对其长期商业模式的韧性有强烈信念。
Vol 24h: $1,510 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
🐂 AI Bull CaseAI 多头观点 Overwhelming market conviction in COIN's long-term growth and a stable economic environment guarantee the $170 target. 市场对COIN长期增长的压倒性信心和稳定经济环境确保170美元目标。
🐻 AI Bear CaseAI 空头观点 Short-term trading volume shortfalls and lack of explicit positive catalysts could challenge the 100% probability. 短期交易量不足及缺乏明确利好催化剂可能挑战100%的概率。
Loading…
500
#2 · Score 618

Robinhood Surges on OpenAI Partnership Robinhood因OpenAI合作预期飙升

100% +61.5%

Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $107.50 Week of July 20 2026?

Robinhood's probability of hitting $107.50 by July 2026 rocketed to 100% after the Opening Bell. This surge is driven by the prominent mention of OpenAI chairman Bret Taylor, fueling strong speculation of a major AI integration or strategic partnership with Robinhood. Robinhood在2026年7月达到107.50美元的概率在开盘后飙升至100%。这一增长主要由OpenAI董事长Bret Taylor的显著提及驱动，引发了市场对Robinhood与OpenAI进行重大AI整合或战略合作的强烈猜测。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • OpenAI Chairman Bret Taylor's Opening Bell presence.
  • Market anticipation of Robinhood-OpenAI AI integration.
  • Stable high-yield savings rates.
  • Resilient oil prices despite US-Iran war.
  • OpenAI董事长Bret Taylor亮相开盘。
  • 市场预期Robinhood深度AI整合。
  • 高收益储蓄利率保持稳定。
  • 美伊战争下油价保持韧性。
This event underscores AI's disruptive potential in fintech, demonstrating how strategic tech partnerships can rapidly re-evaluate a company's future growth trajectory. 此举凸显了AI在金融科技领域的颠覆性潜力，表明战略性技术合作如何迅速重估公司的未来增长轨迹。
Vol 24h: $2,907 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
🐂 AI Bull CaseAI 多头观点 Robinhood's AI integration with OpenAI will drive massive user growth and new revenue, easily exceeding $107.50. Robinhood与OpenAI的AI整合将带来巨大增长，轻松突破107.50美元。
🐻 AI Bear CaseAI 空头观点 AI partnership benefits are overhyped or fail to materialize, leading to a significant price correction. AI合作效益被夸大或未实现，股价恐大幅回调。
Loading…
500
#3 · Score 508

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 21? S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 21?

99% +50.2%

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 21?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $122,808 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
Loading…
500
#4 · Score 480

WTI Crude Surges: Upward Certainty 原油飙升：上涨几成定局

98% +47.5%

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 21?

The probability of WTI crude oil being up on July 21 has surged to 98%, reflecting strong market conviction in rising prices. This dramatic 47.5% increase suggests participants are pricing in significant bullish factors, even without specific recent headlines. WTI原油在7月21日上涨的概率已飙升至98%，反映市场对油价上涨的强烈信心。这一47.5%的显著增长表明参与者正在消化重大的看涨因素，尽管没有具体的近期头条新闻。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Anticipated tightening of global oil supply
  • Robust global economic growth outlook
  • Rising geopolitical tensions in oil regions
  • Expected large US crude inventory draw
  • 全球原油供应预期收紧
  • 全球经济增长前景强劲
  • 石油产区地缘政治紧张加剧
  • 预计美国原油库存大幅下降
This high probability indicates market consensus on sustained energy demand and potential supply constraints, impacting inflation and global economic stability. 如此高的概率表明市场普遍认为能源需求将持续增长且供应可能受限，这将影响通胀和全球经济稳定。
Vol 24h: $51,900 Polymarket ↗
🐂 AI Bull CaseAI 多头观点 Strong global demand recovery and anticipated OPEC+ production cuts will drive WTI prices higher. 全球需求强劲复苏及OPEC+预期减产将推动WTI油价走高。
🐻 AI Bear CaseAI 空头观点 Unexpected economic slowdowns or a sudden increase in non-OPEC supply could reverse the upward trend. 意外的经济放缓或非OPEC供应突然增加可能逆转上涨趋势。
Loading…
500
#5 · Score 474

Bitcoin $66K Certainty Surges 比特币6.6万美元几成定局

100% +46.9%

Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 20-26?

Bitcoin's probability of reaching $66,000 by July 26 surged to 100% in 24 hours, driven by extremely bullish price predictions from Forbes and Business Insider. These forecasts suggest "price explosions" and a long-term target of $200,000. 比特币在7月26日前达到6.6万美元的概率在24小时内飙升至100%，主要受福布斯和商业内幕极度看涨的价格预测推动。这些预测暗示“价格爆炸”和20万美元的长期目标。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Forbes' "price explosions" prediction
  • Business Insider's $200,000 Bitcoin target
  • Anticipation of capital shift from gold to crypto
  • 福布斯预测比特币“价格爆炸”
  • 商业内幕看涨比特币至20万美元
  • 预期资金从黄金转向加密货币
This rapid shift reflects intense short-term bullish sentiment and investor conviction in Bitcoin's immediate upward trajectory, potentially signaling broader market strength. 这一快速转变反映了投资者对比特币短期上涨轨迹的强烈看涨情绪和信心，可能预示着更广泛的市场强势。
Vol 24h: $13,439 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
🐂 AI Bull CaseAI 多头观点 Overwhelmingly bullish price predictions from Forbes and Business Insider are fueling aggressive buying, making $66,000 a near certainty. 福布斯和商业内幕压倒性的看涨价格预测正在推动积极买盘，使6.6万美元几乎成为定局。
🐻 AI Bear CaseAI 空头观点 Regulatory uncertainty from the CLARITY Act or weaker Coinbase trading results could temper short-term momentum. CLARITY法案的监管不确定性或Coinbase交易结果疲软可能抑制短期势头。
Loading…
500
#6 · Score 469

Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on July 21? Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on July 21?

98% +46.6%

Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on July 21?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $2,498 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
Loading…
500
#7 · Score 465

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 21? SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 21?

100% +46.1%

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 21?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $37,226 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
Loading…
500
#8 · Score 419

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on July 21? NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on July 21?

95% +41.5%

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on July 21?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $3,810 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
Loading…
500
#9 · Score 405

Gold Soars: Geopolitical Risks & Support Drive Up 黄金飙升：地缘风险与支撑推高

99% +40.1%

Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on July 21?

Gold's probability of being up on July 21 surged to 99% due to a combination of geopolitical risks and strong technical support. Equities slipping and ongoing Hormuz Strait tensions fueled safe-haven demand, while gold successfully held its $4,000 support level. 黄金在7月21日上涨的概率飙升至99%，主要受地缘政治风险和强劲技术支撑的综合影响。股市下跌和霍尔木兹海峡持续紧张局势提振了避险需求，同时黄金成功守住了4000美元的关键支撑位。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Gold holding $4,000 technical support.
  • Equities slipping, boosting safe-haven demand.
  • Hormuz Strait geopolitical risks persist.
  • Gold futures showing significant price gains.
  • 黄金守住4000美元技术支撑。
  • 股市下跌，提振避险需求。
  • 霍尔木兹海峡地缘政治风险持续。
  • 黄金期货价格显著上涨。
Gold's movement reflects global investor sentiment towards economic stability and geopolitical tensions. Its role as a safe haven asset becomes pronounced during periods of market uncertainty. 黄金走势反映了全球投资者对经济稳定和地缘政治紧张局势的看法。在市场不确定时期，其作为避险资产的作用尤为突出。
Vol 24h: $12,228 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
🐂 AI Bull CaseAI 多头观点 Persistent geopolitical tensions and further equity market weakness will drive continued safe-haven flows into gold. 持续的地缘政治紧张和股市进一步疲软将推动资金继续流入黄金避险。
🐻 AI Bear CaseAI 空头观点 Easing geopolitical tensions or aggressive Fed rate hikes could reduce gold's appeal as a safe haven. 地缘政治紧张局势缓解或美联储激进加息可能削弱黄金的吸引力。
Loading…
500
#10 · Score 393

Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on July 21? Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on July 21?

12% -39.0%

Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on July 21?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $1,979 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
Loading…
500
#11 · Score 359

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 21? S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 21?

100% +35.4%

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 21?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $20,155 Polymarket ↗
Loading…
500
#12 · Score 355

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July? Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?

100% +34.9%

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $242,826 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
Loading…
500
#13 · Score 348

Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $810 Week of July 20 2026? Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $810 Week of July 20 2026?

13% -34.5%

Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $810 Week of July 20 2026?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $2,103 Polymarket ↗
Loading…
500
#14 · Score 344

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 20? Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?

94% +34.0%

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $34,986 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
Loading…
500
#15 · Score 338

Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $148 Week of July 20 2026? Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $148 Week of July 20 2026?

37% -33.5%

Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $148 Week of July 20 2026?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $1,955 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
Loading…
500
#16 · Score 334

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1PM ET Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1PM ET

18% -33.0%

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1PM ET

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $18,760 Polymarket ↗
Loading…
500
#17 · Score 333

Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.5%? Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.5%?

8% -33.0%

Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.5%?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $2,610 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
Loading…
500
#18 · Score 333

Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $62 Week of July 20 2026? Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $62 Week of July 20 2026?

16% -33.0%

Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $62 Week of July 20 2026?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $2,242 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
Loading…
500
#19 · Score 323

Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on July 21? Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on July 21?

18% -32.0%

Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on July 21?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $2,188 Polymarket ↗
Loading…
500
#20 · Score 273

Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $155 Week of July 20 2026? Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $155 Week of July 20 2026?

20% -27.0%

Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $155 Week of July 20 2026?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $1,471 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
Loading…
500
#21 · Score 269

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in July? Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in July?

20% -26.5%

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in July?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $9,231 Polymarket ↗
Loading…
500
#22 · Score 238

Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $138 Week of July 20 Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $138 Week of July 20

48% -23.5%

Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $138 Week of July 20 2026?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $1,016 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
Loading…
500
#23 · Score 229

Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026? Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?

62% +22.5%

Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $3,436 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
Loading…
500
#24 · Score 224

Will Google (GOOGL) close above $340 on July 21? Will Google (GOOGL) close above $340 on July 21?

98% +22.0%

Will Google (GOOGL) close above $340 on July 21?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $11,832 Polymarket ↗
Loading…
500
#25 · Score 175

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

48% +17.0%

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $103,432 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
Loading…
500
#26 · Score 165

Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?

74% +16.0%

Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $145,959 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
Loading…
500
#27 · Score 164

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 23? Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 23?

94% +16.0%

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 23?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $12,451 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
Loading…
500
#28 · Score 158

Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of July 20 2026? Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of July 20 2026?

18% -15.5%

Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of July 20 2026?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $907 Polymarket ↗
Loading…
500
#29 · Score 142

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 22? Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 22?

2% -13.9%

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 22?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $2,742 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
Loading…
500
#30 · Score 139

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on July 21? S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on July 21?

100% +13.5%

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on July 21?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $18,484 Polymarket ↗
Loading…
500
#31 · Score 13

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?

22% +1.0%

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $525 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
Loading…
500
No markets in this category yet. 此分类暂无市场数据。

📚 Guide 📚 使用指南

What is PolyLens?什么是 PolyLens？

PolyLens scans Polymarket every 8 hours, finds markets with notable price movements, fetches real news, and uses AI (Gemini / GPT) to generate concise intelligence cards. PolyLens 每 8 小时扫描全球最大预测市场 Polymarket，找出价格波动显著的市场，获取相关新闽，并使用 AI 生成简测的市场歸察卡片。

Think of it as: crowd wisdom + journalist instinct + analyst writing, fully automated. 可以理解为：结体智慐 + 记者直觉 + 分析师　振写，全自动化。

Reading a Card如何读测卡片

  • Big % (e.g. 62%) — current market-implied probability of YES outcome 大数字（如 62%） — 市场隐含的“是”结果概率
  • +7.0% / −3.5% — probability change in the last 24 hours +7.0% / −3.5% — 过去 24 小时概率变化
  • Summary — 2–3 sentence AI overview of latest developments 摘要 — AI 生成的 2–3 句最新动態
  • Key Drivers — bullet points explaining why the market moved 核心驱动 — 解释市场变动原因的要点
  • Vol 24h — trading volume (higher = more liquid, more reliable) Vol 24h — 24小时交易量（越高信号越可靠）
  • Sources 1 2 3 — news articles used as AI analysis context 来源 1 2 3 — AI 分析参考的新闽文章

Categories分类说明

  • 🔥 Hot — all markets ranked by movement × volume🔥 皣门 — 全部市场，按变动×成交量益合排名
  • 🗳️ Politics — elections, policy, government🗳️ 政治 — 选举、政ách;、政府
  • 🤖 AI & Tech — AI, software, hardware🤖 AI 科技 — 人工智能、软件、硬件
  • 📈 Economy — macro, rates, trade, inflation📈 经济 — 宏观、利率、质易、通織
  • 💼 Business — companies, M&A, earnings💼 商业 — 公司、并转、责报
  • 🌍 World — geopolitics, international events🌍 国际 — 地缓政治、国际事件
  • ⚽ Sports — football, NBA, tennis, golf…⚽ 体育 — 足球、NBA、网球、高尔堠…
  • ₿ Crypto — Bitcoin, Ethereum, DeFi₿ 加密 — 比特币、以太坚、DeFi

Newsletter邮件订阅

Subscribe at the bottom of the page. Every 8 hours, after fresh data is generated, you receive the top 3 insights with a link back to the full site. 在页面底部订阅。每 8 小时生成新数据后，您将收到前 3 条歸察的邮件，附有完整网站链接。

🤖 API / MCP for AI Agents供 AI 调用的 API / MCP

PolyLens exposes a Model Context Protocol (MCP) endpoint so AI assistants (Claude, GPT, etc.) can read live market intelligence as a built-in tool. PolyLens 提供 Model Context Protocol (MCP) 端点，供 AI 助手（Claude、GPT 等）以工具方式读取实时市场歸察。

Endpoint: https://www.hika.fyi/api/mcp 端点： https://www.hika.fyi/api/mcp

Tools: 可用工具：

  • get_insights — fetch insights, filter by category + lang — 获取歸察，可按 category 和 lang 簿选
  • get_market_summary — one-paragraph current market overview — 当前市场状况的简要显述 
curl https://www.hika.fyi/api/mcp \
  -X POST -H "Content-Type: application/json" \
  -d '{"jsonrpc":"2.0","id":1,"method":"tools/call",
       "params":{"name":"get_insights",
                 "arguments":{"limit":3}}}'

Raw data: /data.json · Discovery: /.well-known/mcp.json 原始数据：/data.json · 服务发现：/.well-known/mcp.json

Data Sources数据来源

  • Polymarket — market prices, volumes, 24h changesPolymarket — 市场价格、成交量、24h 变化
  • Tavily — real-time news search with full snippetsTavily — 实时新闽搜索，含完整摘要
  • Gemini / GPT-4o-mini — AI analysis, bilingual insight generationGemini / GPT-4o-mini — AI 分析，双语歸察生成

🕑 History 🕑 历史文策

Loading…
Select a date from the list to view that snapshot.

Each snapshot includes the full AI analysis + a downloadable Markdown article. 从左侧选择日期查看该时间的快照。

ỗ个快照包含完整 AI 分析及可下载的 Markdown 文策。