AI-powered prediction market intelligence AI 驱动的预测市场歸察
Jul 23, 2026 20:13 UTC
#1 · Score 873

Tesla Plummets, $330 Low Expected 特斯拉暴跌，预计低点330美元

100% +87.0%

Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $330 Week of July 20 2026?

Tesla's stock is under severe pressure, with its probability of hitting a $330 low by July 2026 surging to 100%. This was driven by a significant Q2 earnings miss (EPS $0.33 vs $0.50 consensus) and subsequent analyst price target cuts. 特斯拉股价面临巨大压力，其在2026年7月20日当周触及330美元低点的可能性飙升至100%。这主要受第二季度盈利不及预期（EPS 0.33美元远低于0.50美元共识）以及分析师下调目标价的驱动。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Q2 EPS miss: $0.33 vs $0.50 consensus
  • Analysts cut TSLA price targets
  • Elon Musk's cautious robotaxi outlook
  • TSLA's high 167x forward P/E ratio
  • 二季度EPS未达预期
  • 分析师下调TSLA目标价
  • 马斯克对Robotaxi前景谨慎
  • TSLA高达167倍远期市盈率
This reflects growing investor skepticism about Tesla's near-term growth prospects and profitability, impacting its valuation as an automotive and tech company. 这反映了投资者对特斯拉近期增长前景和盈利能力的日益担忧，影响其作为汽车和科技公司的估值。
Vol 24h: $6,425 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
🐂 AI Bull CaseAI 多头观点 Continued earnings misses and valuation concerns will drive TSLA below $330. 持续的盈利不及预期和估值担忧将推动特斯拉股价跌破330美元。
🐻 AI Bear CaseAI 空头观点 Strong Q3 results or new product announcements could provide a floor above $330. 强劲的第三季度业绩或新产品发布可能使股价维持在330美元以上。
Loading…
500
#2 · Score 873

META $600 Low Confirmed META跌破600美元已确认

100% +87.0%

Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $600 Week of July 20 2026?

The probability of Meta Platforms (META) hitting a low of $600 during the week of July 20, 2026, surged to 100% as the event has been confirmed. This sharp decline was driven by escalating competition in AR/VR from Samsung's new privacy-focused smart glasses and ongoing legal challenges from Meta employees regarding AI firings. Meta Platforms (META) 在2026年7月20日当周跌至600美元低点的可能性飙升至100%，因为该事件已得到确认。此次股价急剧下跌的驱动因素是三星推出以隐私为中心的智能眼镜，加剧了AR/VR领域的竞争，以及Meta员工就AI解雇问题提起的持续法律诉讼。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Confirmation of META stock hitting $600 low.
  • Samsung unveils privacy-first smart glasses.
  • Meta employees' AI firing lawsuit.
  • META股价确认跌破600美元。
  • 三星发布隐私优先智能眼镜。
  • Meta员工AI解雇诉讼。
This confirms significant headwinds for Meta's core growth strategies in AI and the metaverse, indicating substantial investor concern over competition and internal governance. It suggests a major re-evaluation of Meta's future valuation. 这证实了Meta在AI和元宇宙核心增长战略方面面临重大阻力，表明投资者对竞争和内部治理存在严重担忧。这预示着Meta未来估值将面临重大重新评估。
Vol 24h: $3,605 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
🐂 AI Bull CaseAI 多头观点 Despite the confirmed low, strong Q3 2026 earnings or a major new product announcement could quickly reverse sentiment. 尽管已确认触及低点，但2026年第三季度强劲财报或重大新产品发布可能迅速扭转市场情绪。
🐻 AI Bear CaseAI 空头观点 Continued privacy backlash, intensified competition, and AI legal issues will keep Meta's stock under severe pressure. 持续的隐私反弹、激烈的竞争和AI法律问题将使Meta股价面临巨大压力。
Loading…
500
#3 · Score 808

Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $236 Week of July 20 2026? Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $236 Week of July 20 2026?

100% +80.5%

Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $236 Week of July 20 2026?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $4,790 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
Loading…
500
#4 · Score 738

ABNB Price Plunge Confirms $136 Low 爱彼迎股价暴跌确认触及136美元低点

100% +73.5%

Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $136 Week of July 20 2026?

The probability for Airbnb (ABNB) to hit a low of $136 by July 20, 2026, surged to 100% following a significant recent decline in its stock price. This dramatic shift indicates market participants are now certain ABNB will trade at or below $136, likely having already met the condition. 爱彼迎（ABNB）股价在2026年7月20日当周触及136美元低点的概率飙升至100%，此前其股价近期大幅下跌。这一剧烈变化表明市场参与者现在确信爱彼迎股价将交易在136美元或以下，很可能已满足该条件。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Significant ABNB stock price drop below $136 in the last 24-48 hours.
  • Recent price action has either met or made the $136 low condition highly probable.
  • Market participants are now unanimously confident ABNB will trade at or below $136.
  • 爱彼迎股价在过去24-48小时内大幅跌破136美元。
  • 近期价格走势已满足或使触及136美元低点的条件极有可能实现。
  • 市场参与者现在一致确信爱彼迎股价将在指定日期前交易在136美元或以下。
This market's certainty reflects a strong bearish outlook on Airbnb's near-term valuation, signaling concerns about its growth trajectory or broader economic headwinds impacting travel. 该市场的确定性反映了对爱彼迎近期估值的强烈看跌情绪，预示着对其增长轨迹或影响旅游业的宏观经济逆风的担忧。
Vol 24h: $1,204 Polymarket ↗
🐂 AI Bull CaseAI 多头观点 ABNB's recent stock price decline has already brought it below $136, making the 'hit low' condition for July 2026 a certainty. 爱彼迎近期股价下跌已使其跌破136美元，使得2026年7月触及低点的条件成为必然。
🐻 AI Bear CaseAI 空头观点 The market is mispriced; ABNB's stock price will recover significantly, preventing it from hitting $136 by July 2026. 市场定价错误；爱彼迎股价将大幅反弹，阻止其在2026年7月20日前触及136美元。
Loading…
500
#5 · Score 738

OPEN $4.00 Low Certain by July 2026 OPEN 2026年7月低点4美元确定

100% +73.5%

Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 Week of July 20 2026?

The probability of Opendoor (OPEN) hitting a low of $4.00 by July 20, 2026, surged to 100% after a TNN report on July 17, 2026, listed OPEN as a "Penny Stock (Under $2)". This indicates the stock has already fallen below the target price, making the market's "Yes" resolution highly probable. Opendoor (OPEN) 在2026年7月20日当周触及4美元低点的可能性飙升至100%，此前TNN在2026年7月17日的一份报告中将OPEN列为“低于2美元的仙股”。这表明该股已跌破目标价，使市场“是”的决议高度确定。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • TNN listed OPEN as "Under $2" on July 17, 2026
  • OPEN's price already below $4.00 threshold
  • Market resolution criteria met ahead of schedule
  • TNN报告称OPEN在2026年7月17日低于2美元
  • OPEN股价已跌破4美元门槛
  • 市场结算条件已提前满足
This signifies a severe decline in Opendoor's valuation, potentially reflecting broader challenges in the real estate tech sector or company-specific issues. 这标志着Opendoor估值严重下滑，可能反映房地产科技行业的普遍挑战或公司特定问题。
Vol 24h: $1,014 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
🐂 AI Bull CaseAI 多头观点 TNN's report confirms OPEN is already trading below $2, guaranteeing the $4.00 low by July 20, 2026. TNN报告证实OPEN已低于2美元，确保2026年7月20日达到4美元低点。
🐻 AI Bear CaseAI 空头观点 The TNN report could be inaccurate or refer to a different entity, invalidating the current price assumption. TNN报告可能不准确或指代错误实体，从而使当前价格假设无效。
Loading…
500
#6 · Score 713

Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $123 Week of July 20 Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $123 Week of July 20

100% +71.0%

Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $123 Week of July 20 2026?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $1,565 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
Loading…
500
#7 · Score 643

Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 in July? Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 in July?

100% +63.9%

Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 in July?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $1,184 Polymarket ↗
Loading…
500
#8 · Score 532

Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $990 Week of July 20 2026 Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $990 Week of July 20 2026

100% +52.9%

Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $990 Week of July 20 2026?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $784 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
Loading…
500
#9 · Score 493

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $735 Week of July 20 2026? Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $735 Week of July 20 2026?

66% +49.0%

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $735 Week of July 20 2026?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $2,758 Polymarket ↗
Loading…
500
#10 · Score 470

Will CopperTech Metals' market cap be between $4.8B and $5.4B at marke Will CopperTech Metals' market cap be between $4.8B and $5.4B at marke

1% -46.8%

Will CopperTech Metals' market cap be between $4.8B and $5.4B at market close on IPO day?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $646 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
Loading…
500
#11 · Score 434

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July? Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?

78% +42.9%

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $227,394 Polymarket ↗
Loading…
500
#12 · Score 354

Will Ethereum reach $2,000 July 20-26? Will Ethereum reach $2,000 July 20-26?

15% -35.0%

Will Ethereum reach $2,000 July 20-26?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $12,655 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
Loading…
500
#13 · Score 352

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31? Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?

38% +34.8%

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $5,397 Polymarket ↗
Loading…
500
#14 · Score 319

Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 31, Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 31,

62% +31.5%

Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 31, 2026?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $12,874 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
Loading…
500
#15 · Score 319

Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in July 2026? Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in July 2026?

100% +31.4%

Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in July 2026?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $40,244 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
Loading…
500
#16 · Score 292

Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $136 in July? Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $136 in July?

100% +28.9%

Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $136 in July?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $869 Polymarket ↗
Loading…
500
#17 · Score 283

GOOGL Low Below $340 Confirmed GOOGL七月低点低于340美元已确认

100% +28.0%

Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 in July?

Alphabet's recent earnings report, revealing a "big spending forecast increase" and "doubling AI capex," led to investor concerns about "free cash flow under pressure" and subsequent stock decline. This downward pressure solidified the market's certainty that GOOGL's lowest price in July would be $340 or lower, driving the probability to 100%. Alphabet近期财报显示“大幅增加支出预测”和“AI资本支出翻倍”，引发投资者对“自由现金流承压”的担忧，导致股价下跌。这一负面压力巩固了市场对GOOGL七月最低价将低于或等于340美元的确定性，将概率推升至100%。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Alphabet's increased AI capital expenditure forecast
  • Concerns over free cash flow pressure on Big Tech
  • Analyst downgrades following the earnings report
  • Alphabet增加AI资本支出预测
  • 大型科技公司自由现金流承压担忧
  • 财报后分析师下调评级
Alphabet's aggressive AI investment strategy and its immediate financial impact are critical indicators for the broader tech sector's future growth and profitability. Alphabet激进的AI投资策略及其即时财务影响，是衡量更广泛科技行业未来增长和盈利能力的关键指标。
Vol 24h: $2,338 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
🐂 AI Bull CaseAI 多头观点 Continued investor skepticism regarding Alphabet's high AI spending and its impact on free cash flow will keep GOOGL stock well below $340. 投资者对Alphabet高额AI支出及其对自由现金流影响的持续怀疑，将使GOOGL股价远低于340美元。
🐻 AI Bear CaseAI 空头观点 An unforeseen, massive surge in GOOGL's stock price, pushing it consistently above $340 for the remainder of July, would challenge this certainty. GOOGL股价出现不可预见的巨大涨幅，并在七月剩余时间持续高于340美元，将挑战这一确定性。
Loading…
500
#18 · Score 254

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1PM ET Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1PM ET

76% +25.0%

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1PM ET

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $8,297 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
Loading…
500
#19 · Score 254

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 24? Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 24?

14% -25.0%

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 24?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $4,317 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
Loading…
500
#20 · Score 248

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $220 Week of July 20 2026? Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $220 Week of July 20 2026?

5% -24.5%

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $220 Week of July 20 2026?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $1,621 Polymarket ↗
Loading…
500
#21 · Score 245

Bitcoin $68K Target Fades 比特币6.8万美元目标概率骤降

12% -24.0%

Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 20-26?

The probability of Bitcoin reaching $68,000 by July 26 plummeted by 24.0% to 12% as it struggled to break key resistance levels. KITCO reported Bitcoin's failure to clear final resistance before $68,000, coupled with bearish daily momentum. 比特币在7月26日前达到6.8万美元的概率骤降24.0%至12%，因其难以突破关键阻力位。KITCO报道比特币未能清除6.8万美元前的最终阻力，且日线动能呈现看跌警告。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Bitcoin failed to clear resistance before $68,000 (KITCO)
  • Daily momentum picture shows bearish warning (KITCO)
  • Bitcoin fluctuating near $65,000 on July 22 (Forbes)
  • Exit signals building across broader market (KITCO)
  • 比特币未能突破6.8万美元前阻力位 (KITCO)
  • 日线动能图显示看跌警告 (KITCO)
  • 7月22日比特币在6.5万美元附近波动 (Forbes)
  • 更广泛市场出现退出信号 (KITCO)
This movement reflects growing skepticism about Bitcoin's short-term upside potential, impacting investor confidence and trading strategies for the week. Failure to reach this level could reinforce a consolidation or pullback narrative. 这一变化反映了市场对比特币短期上涨潜力的疑虑加剧，影响本周投资者信心和交易策略。未能达到该目标可能强化盘整或回调的预期。
Vol 24h: $37,714 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
🐂 AI Bull CaseAI 多头观点 Progress on the 'Clarity Act' as noted by Bessent could still spark a late-week rally, pushing Bitcoin towards $68,000. Bessent提及的《清晰法案》进展仍可能在周末前引发反弹，推动比特币接近6.8万美元。
🐻 AI Bear CaseAI 空头观点 Bitcoin's repeated rejection at key resistance levels and bearish momentum signals make reaching $68,000 by July 26 highly improbable. 比特币多次未能突破关键阻力位，加上看跌动能信号，使其在7月26日前达到6.8万美元的可能性极低。
Loading…
500
#22 · Score 239

No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August

66% -23.5%

No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $3,222 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
Loading…
500
#23 · Score 202

Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $110 end of July? Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $110 end of July?

64% -19.9%

Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $110 end of July?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $1,700 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
Loading…
500
#24 · Score 194

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23? Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?

84% +19.0%

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $12,119 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
Loading…
500
#25 · Score 194

Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meetin Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meetin

63% -19.0%

Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $3,514 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
Loading…
500
#26 · Score 189

Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $315 Week of July 20 2026? Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $315 Week of July 20 2026?

30% +18.5%

Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $315 Week of July 20 2026?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $3,318 Polymarket ↗
Loading…
500
#27 · Score 177

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July? Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?

26% +17.3%

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $15,978 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2
Loading…
500
#28 · Score 165

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July? Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?

14% -16.0%

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $143,508 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
Loading…
500
#29 · Score 165

Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 202 Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 202

43% +16.2%

Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $3,252 Polymarket ↗
Loading…
500
#30 · Score 164

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 24? Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 24?

1% -16.0%

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 24?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $25,252 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
Loading…
500
No markets in this category yet. 此分类暂无市场数据。

📚 Guide 📚 使用指南

What is PolyLens?什么是 PolyLens？

PolyLens scans Polymarket every 8 hours, finds markets with notable price movements, fetches real news, and uses AI (Gemini / GPT) to generate concise intelligence cards. PolyLens 每 8 小时扫描全球最大预测市场 Polymarket，找出价格波动显著的市场，获取相关新闽，并使用 AI 生成简测的市场歸察卡片。

Think of it as: crowd wisdom + journalist instinct + analyst writing, fully automated. 可以理解为：结体智慐 + 记者直觉 + 分析师　振写，全自动化。

Reading a Card如何读测卡片

  • Big % (e.g. 62%) — current market-implied probability of YES outcome 大数字（如 62%） — 市场隐含的“是”结果概率
  • +7.0% / −3.5% — probability change in the last 24 hours +7.0% / −3.5% — 过去 24 小时概率变化
  • Summary — 2–3 sentence AI overview of latest developments 摘要 — AI 生成的 2–3 句最新动態
  • Key Drivers — bullet points explaining why the market moved 核心驱动 — 解释市场变动原因的要点
  • Vol 24h — trading volume (higher = more liquid, more reliable) Vol 24h — 24小时交易量（越高信号越可靠）
  • Sources 1 2 3 — news articles used as AI analysis context 来源 1 2 3 — AI 分析参考的新闽文章

Categories分类说明

  • 🔥 Hot — all markets ranked by movement × volume🔥 皣门 — 全部市场，按变动×成交量益合排名
  • 🗳️ Politics — elections, policy, government🗳️ 政治 — 选举、政ách;、政府
  • 🤖 AI & Tech — AI, software, hardware🤖 AI 科技 — 人工智能、软件、硬件
  • 📈 Economy — macro, rates, trade, inflation📈 经济 — 宏观、利率、质易、通織
  • 💼 Business — companies, M&A, earnings💼 商业 — 公司、并转、责报
  • 🌍 World — geopolitics, international events🌍 国际 — 地缓政治、国际事件
  • ⚽ Sports — football, NBA, tennis, golf…⚽ 体育 — 足球、NBA、网球、高尔堠…
  • ₿ Crypto — Bitcoin, Ethereum, DeFi₿ 加密 — 比特币、以太坚、DeFi

Newsletter邮件订阅

Subscribe at the bottom of the page. Every 8 hours, after fresh data is generated, you receive the top 3 insights with a link back to the full site. 在页面底部订阅。每 8 小时生成新数据后，您将收到前 3 条歸察的邮件，附有完整网站链接。

🤖 API / MCP for AI Agents供 AI 调用的 API / MCP

PolyLens exposes a Model Context Protocol (MCP) endpoint so AI assistants (Claude, GPT, etc.) can read live market intelligence as a built-in tool. PolyLens 提供 Model Context Protocol (MCP) 端点，供 AI 助手（Claude、GPT 等）以工具方式读取实时市场歸察。

Endpoint: https://www.hika.fyi/api/mcp 端点： https://www.hika.fyi/api/mcp

Tools: 可用工具：

  • get_insights — fetch insights, filter by category + lang — 获取歸察，可按 category 和 lang 簿选
  • get_market_summary — one-paragraph current market overview — 当前市场状况的简要显述 
curl https://www.hika.fyi/api/mcp \
  -X POST -H "Content-Type: application/json" \
  -d '{"jsonrpc":"2.0","id":1,"method":"tools/call",
       "params":{"name":"get_insights",
                 "arguments":{"limit":3}}}'

Raw data: /data.json · Discovery: /.well-known/mcp.json 原始数据：/data.json · 服务发现：/.well-known/mcp.json

Data Sources数据来源

  • Polymarket — market prices, volumes, 24h changesPolymarket — 市场价格、成交量、24h 变化
  • Tavily — real-time news search with full snippetsTavily — 实时新闽搜索，含完整摘要
  • Gemini / GPT-4o-mini — AI analysis, bilingual insight generationGemini / GPT-4o-mini — AI 分析，双语歸察生成

🕑 History 🕑 历史文策

Loading…
Select a date from the list to view that snapshot.

Each snapshot includes the full AI analysis + a downloadable Markdown article. 从左侧选择日期查看该时间的快照。

ỗ个快照包含完整 AI 分析及可下载的 Markdown 文策。