AI-powered prediction market intelligence AI 驱动的预测市场歸察
May 06, 2026 06:42 UTC
#1 · Score 643

AAPL $284 Target Certain by May 2026 苹果2026年5月目标价284美元板上钉钉

100% +63.9%

Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $284 Week of May 4 2026?

The probability for Apple (AAPL) to reach $284 by May 4, 2026, surged to 100% due to strong economic forecasts. This movement was primarily driven by expectations of steady interest rates by the target date, as highlighted by Forbes. 由于强劲的经济预测，苹果(AAPL)在2026年5月4日前达到284美元的概率飙升至100%。这一变化主要受福布斯强调的届时利率将保持稳定的预期驱动。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Forbes' May 4, 2026 report forecasting steady high-yield savings rates.
  • CNBC's report of the U.S. stock market being 'on a tear'.
  • Market's ability to clear hurdles, implying sustained positive conditions.
  • 福布斯预测2026年5月4日高收益储蓄利率将保持稳定。
  • CNBC报道美国股市“势头强劲”。
  • 市场屡克难关，预示持续的积极经济环境。
This indicates extreme market confidence in Apple's long-term growth trajectory and a stable economic environment, suggesting significant valuation expansion. 这表明市场对苹果的长期增长轨迹和稳定的经济环境抱有极度信心，预示着估值将大幅提升。
Vol 24h: $2,360 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
🐂 AI Bull CaseAI 多头观点 Stable interest rates by May 2026 and a robust U.S. stock market ensure Apple's sustained growth to $284. 2026年5月利率稳定和美国股市强劲，确保苹果持续增长至284美元。
🐻 AI Bear CaseAI 空头观点 Unforeseen economic downturns or Apple-specific challenges could prevent the $284 target. 不可预见的经济衰退或苹果特有挑战可能阻碍达到284美元目标。
Loading…
500
#2 · Score 530

Palantir $150 Target Dips Post-Earnings Palantir 150美元目标盈利后下跌

5% -52.6%

Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $150 Week of May 4 2026?

The probability of PLTR hitting $150 by May 2026 dropped to 5% after its Q1 2026 earnings report. Despite beating estimates and strong U.S. government growth, Palantir shares slipped due to light commercial sales. Palantir (PLTR) 在发布2026年第一季度财报后，其股价在2026年5月前达到150美元的可能性降至5%。尽管盈利超出预期且美国政府业务增长强劲，但因商业销售疲软，Palantir股价仍出现下滑。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • PLTR shares slipped post-Q1 earnings
  • Commercial sales growth was light
  • Market disappointed despite earnings beat
  • 第一季度财报后股价下滑
  • 商业销售增长表现疲软
  • 市场对财报表现不满意
Palantir's ability to convert strong government contracts and AI demand into broader commercial growth is crucial for its long-term valuation. This movement reflects investor skepticism about its path to a $150 price target. Palantir能否将强劲的政府合同和人工智能需求转化为更广泛的商业增长，对其长期估值至关重要。此次波动反映了投资者对其达到150美元目标路径的怀疑。
Vol 24h: $5,080 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
🐂 AI Bull CaseAI 多头观点 Strong U.S. government growth and increasing AI adoption could propel PLTR towards $150. 美国政府业务强劲增长和人工智能应用增加，有望推动PLTR股价迈向150美元。
🐻 AI Bear CaseAI 空头观点 Light commercial sales and high valuation make $150 by 2026 unlikely despite earnings beat. 商业销售疲软和高估值使得PLTR在2026年前达到150美元的可能性较低。
Loading…
500
#3 · Score 504

Bitcoin Up Odds Collapse 比特币上涨概率归零

0% -50.0%

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10PM ET

The probability for Bitcoin to be 'Up' by May 5, 10PM ET has plummeted to 0%, reflecting a complete loss of confidence in an upward movement. This drastic shift is primarily driven by news of 'record hacks' and a '$500m loss at American Bitcoin,' severely impacting market sentiment and spot demand. 比特币在5月5日晚10点前上涨的概率已跌至0%，反映市场对上涨走势完全失去信心。这一剧烈变化主要受“美国比特币”遭受“5亿美元损失”等创纪录黑客攻击事件影响，严重打击了市场情绪和现货需求。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • '$500m loss at American Bitcoin' from record hacks
  • CryptoQuant data showing 'weak spot demand'
  • Traders hedging and doubting a significant breakout
  • “美国比特币”因黑客攻击损失5亿美元
  • CryptoQuant数据显示比特币现货需求疲软
  • 交易员对突破8万美元持对冲和怀疑态度
A 0% probability in a prediction market signals extreme bearish sentiment for Bitcoin's short-term trajectory, potentially indicating further price declines or prolonged stagnation. This reflects a significant blow to investor confidence in the crypto ecosystem due to security concerns and lack of buying pressure. 预测市场中0%的概率预示着比特币短期走势的极度看跌情绪，可能意味着价格进一步下跌或长期停滞。这反映出投资者对加密生态系统的信心因安全问题和购买力不足而受到重创。
Vol 24h: $51,893 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
🐂 AI Bull CaseAI 多头观点 Despite current bearish sentiment, strong ETF inflows and a weakening USD could still provide upward price pressure for Bitcoin. 尽管当前市场看跌，但强劲的ETF资金流入和美元走弱仍可能为比特币提供上涨动力。
🐻 AI Bear CaseAI 空头观点 Record hacks, specifically the '$500m loss at American Bitcoin,' coupled with weak spot demand, will likely continue to depress Bitcoin's price. 创纪录的黑客攻击，特别是“美国比特币”损失5亿美元，加上现货需求疲软，将继续压低比特币价格。
Loading…
500
#4 · Score 504

Bitcoin Surges to 100% Up Probability 比特币上涨概率达100%

100% +50.0%

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Bitcoin's probability of being "Up" surged to 100% for May 5, 8 PM-12 AM ET, driven by its reclaim of $80,000. Strong ETF inflows and rising leverage fueled this confidence despite some trader hedging. 比特币在5月5日晚8点至午夜的“上涨”概率飙升至100%，主要受其重回8万美元关口驱动。强劲的ETF资金流入和杠杆增加进一步提振了市场信心。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Bitcoin reclaims $80,000 price point
  • Strong ETF inflows building momentum
  • Rising leverage indicates bullish sentiment
  • Weakening USD provides macro support
  • 比特币价格重回8万美元
  • ETF资金流入强劲增长
  • 杠杆增加显示看涨情绪
  • 美元走弱提供宏观支撑
This extreme confidence in Bitcoin's short-term upward movement reflects significant institutional and speculative interest, potentially signaling a broader market breakout or sustained rally. 市场对短期比特币上涨的极度信心，反映出显著的机构和投机兴趣，可能预示着更广泛的市场突破或持续上涨。
Vol 24h: $43,272 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
🐂 AI Bull CaseAI 多头观点 Sustained ETF inflows and Bitcoin holding above $80,000 will confirm strong buying pressure. 持续的ETF资金流入和比特币守住8万美元将确认强劲买盘。
🐻 AI Bear CaseAI 空头观点 Weak spot demand and significant trader hedging could trigger a sharp price correction. 现货需求疲软和交易员大量对冲可能引发价格急剧回调。
Loading…
500
#5 · Score 443

Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $87.50 Week of May 4 2026? Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $87.50 Week of May 4 2026?

72% +44.0%

Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $87.50 Week of May 4 2026?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $1,258 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
Loading…
500
#6 · Score 419

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11PM ET Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11PM ET

92% +41.5%

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11PM ET

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $29,820 Polymarket ↗
Loading…
500
#7 · Score 419

Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 in May? Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 in May?

98% +41.4%

Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 in May?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $14,051 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
Loading…
500
#8 · Score 359

Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $162 in May? Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $162 in May?

16% -35.5%

Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $162 in May?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $5,713 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
Loading…
500
#9 · Score 319

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 4 2026? Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 4 2026?

20% -31.5%

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 4 2026?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $28,460 Polymarket ↗
Loading…
500
#10 · Score 306

Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $210 in May? Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $210 in May?

53% -30.2%

Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $210 in May?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $5,249 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
Loading…
500
#11 · Score 288

Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $395 Week of May 4 2026? Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $395 Week of May 4 2026?

56% +28.5%

Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $395 Week of May 4 2026?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $1,144 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
Loading…
500
#12 · Score 275

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

29% +27.0%

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $244,607 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
Loading…
500
#13 · Score 274

Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $95 in May? Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $95 in May?

30% -27.0%

Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $95 in May?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $3,725 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
Loading…
500
#14 · Score 254

Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $288 in May? Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $288 in May?

72% +25.0%

Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $288 in May?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $9,727 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
Loading…
500
#15 · Score 229

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May? Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?

25% -22.5%

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $6,736 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
Loading…
500
#16 · Score 203

Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $600 Week of May 4 2026? Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $600 Week of May 4 2026?

80% +20.0%

Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $600 Week of May 4 2026?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $2,097 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
Loading…
500
#17 · Score 203

Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 Week of May 4 2026? Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 Week of May 4 2026?

30% -20.0%

Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 Week of May 4 2026?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $1,655 Polymarket ↗
Loading…
500
#18 · Score 186

Iran closes its airspace by May 8? Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

6% -18.0%

Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $1,806,732 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
Loading…
500
#19 · Score 173

Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $207.50 Week of May 4 202 Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $207.50 Week of May 4 202

100% +17.0%

Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $207.50 Week of May 4 2026?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $4,352 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
Loading…
500
#20 · Score 160

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 6? Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 6?

26% -15.5%

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 6?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $36,825 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
Loading…
500
#21 · Score 160

Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10? Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?

29% -15.5%

Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $33,174 Polymarket ↗
Loading…
500
#22 · Score 150

Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?

42% +14.7%

Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $1,354 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
Loading…
500
#23 · Score 144

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $730 Week of May 4 2026? Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $730 Week of May 4 2026?

44% +14.0%

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $730 Week of May 4 2026?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $10,633 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
Loading…
500
#24 · Score 138

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 in May? Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 in May?

32% -13.5%

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 in May?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $2,751 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
Loading…
500
#25 · Score 128

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?

19% -12.5%

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $2,379 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
Loading…
500
#26 · Score 126

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

42% +12.0%

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $425,356 Polymarket ↗
Loading…
500
#27 · Score 114

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May? Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?

51% -11.0%

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $13,428 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
Loading…
500
#28 · Score 113

Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $264 Week of May 4 2026? Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $264 Week of May 4 2026?

31% -11.0%

Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $264 Week of May 4 2026?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $3,098 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
Loading…
500
#29 · Score 103

Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $57.50 Week of May 4 202 Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $57.50 Week of May 4 202

10% +9.9%

Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $57.50 Week of May 4 2026?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $6,008 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
Loading…
500
#30 · Score 99

Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $420 in May? Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $420 in May?

46% -9.5%

Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $420 in May?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $14,976 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
Loading…
500
#31 · Score 36

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 mee Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 mee

3% -3.1%

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $15,981 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
Loading…
500
No markets in this category yet. 此分类暂无市场数据。

📚 Guide 📚 使用指南

What is PolyLens?什么是 PolyLens？

PolyLens scans Polymarket every 8 hours, finds markets with notable price movements, fetches real news, and uses AI (Gemini / GPT) to generate concise intelligence cards. PolyLens 每 8 小时扫描全球最大预测市场 Polymarket，找出价格波动显著的市场，获取相关新闽，并使用 AI 生成简测的市场歸察卡片。

Think of it as: crowd wisdom + journalist instinct + analyst writing, fully automated. 可以理解为：结体智慐 + 记者直觉 + 分析师　振写，全自动化。

Reading a Card如何读测卡片

  • Big % (e.g. 62%) — current market-implied probability of YES outcome 大数字（如 62%） — 市场隐含的“是”结果概率
  • +7.0% / −3.5% — probability change in the last 24 hours +7.0% / −3.5% — 过去 24 小时概率变化
  • Summary — 2–3 sentence AI overview of latest developments 摘要 — AI 生成的 2–3 句最新动態
  • Key Drivers — bullet points explaining why the market moved 核心驱动 — 解释市场变动原因的要点
  • Vol 24h — trading volume (higher = more liquid, more reliable) Vol 24h — 24小时交易量（越高信号越可靠）
  • Sources 1 2 3 — news articles used as AI analysis context 来源 1 2 3 — AI 分析参考的新闽文章

Categories分类说明

  • 🔥 Hot — all markets ranked by movement × volume🔥 皣门 — 全部市场，按变动×成交量益合排名
  • 🗳️ Politics — elections, policy, government🗳️ 政治 — 选举、政ách;、政府
  • 🤖 AI & Tech — AI, software, hardware🤖 AI 科技 — 人工智能、软件、硬件
  • 📈 Economy — macro, rates, trade, inflation📈 经济 — 宏观、利率、质易、通織
  • 💼 Business — companies, M&A, earnings💼 商业 — 公司、并转、责报
  • 🌍 World — geopolitics, international events🌍 国际 — 地缓政治、国际事件
  • ⚽ Sports — football, NBA, tennis, golf…⚽ 体育 — 足球、NBA、网球、高尔堠…
  • ₿ Crypto — Bitcoin, Ethereum, DeFi₿ 加密 — 比特币、以太坚、DeFi

Newsletter邮件订阅

Subscribe at the bottom of the page. Every 8 hours, after fresh data is generated, you receive the top 3 insights with a link back to the full site. 在页面底部订阅。每 8 小时生成新数据后，您将收到前 3 条歸察的邮件，附有完整网站链接。

🤖 API / MCP for AI Agents供 AI 调用的 API / MCP

PolyLens exposes a Model Context Protocol (MCP) endpoint so AI assistants (Claude, GPT, etc.) can read live market intelligence as a built-in tool. PolyLens 提供 Model Context Protocol (MCP) 端点，供 AI 助手（Claude、GPT 等）以工具方式读取实时市场歸察。

Endpoint: https://www.hika.fyi/api/mcp 端点： https://www.hika.fyi/api/mcp

Tools: 可用工具：

  • get_insights — fetch insights, filter by category + lang — 获取歸察，可按 category 和 lang 簿选
  • get_market_summary — one-paragraph current market overview — 当前市场状况的简要显述 
curl https://www.hika.fyi/api/mcp \
  -X POST -H "Content-Type: application/json" \
  -d '{"jsonrpc":"2.0","id":1,"method":"tools/call",
       "params":{"name":"get_insights",
                 "arguments":{"limit":3}}}'

Raw data: /data.json · Discovery: /.well-known/mcp.json 原始数据：/data.json · 服务发现：/.well-known/mcp.json

Data Sources数据来源

  • Polymarket — market prices, volumes, 24h changesPolymarket — 市场价格、成交量、24h 变化
  • Tavily — real-time news search with full snippetsTavily — 实时新闽搜索，含完整摘要
  • Gemini / GPT-4o-mini — AI analysis, bilingual insight generationGemini / GPT-4o-mini — AI 分析，双语歸察生成

🕑 History 🕑 历史文策

Loading…
Select a date from the list to view that snapshot.

Each snapshot includes the full AI analysis + a downloadable Markdown article. 从左侧选择日期查看该时间的快照。

ỗ个快照包含完整 AI 分析及可下载的 Markdown 文策。