AI-powered prediction market intelligence AI 驱动的预测市场歸察
May 27, 2026 21:29 UTC
#1 · Score 678

OPEN Hits $5.00 Target in May OPEN五月触及5美元目标

100% +67.5%

Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.00 in May?

The prediction market for Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hitting $5.00 in May now stands at 100% probability, following a significant +67.5% 24-hour surge. This movement strongly suggests OPEN's stock price has already reached or exceeded the $5.00 target, driven by specific positive market action for the company. Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) 五月触及5美元的预测市场概率已达100%，24小时内飙升67.5%。此走势强烈表明OPEN股价已达到或超过5美元目标，由公司特定的积极市场行为推动。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Opendoor's stock price likely hit or exceeded $5.00.
  • Significant positive buying momentum for OPEN shares.
  • Undisclosed positive company-specific news (inferred).
  • Opendoor股价可能已触及或超过5美元。
  • OPEN股票出现显著的积极买入势头。
  • 公司内部存在未公开的利好消息（推断）。
A sustained price above $5.00 could signal renewed investor confidence in Opendoor's business model and the broader real estate tech sector, impacting future valuations. 股价持续高于5美元可能预示投资者对Opendoor商业模式及房地产科技行业的信心恢复，从而影响未来估值。
Vol 24h: $2,838 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
🐂 AI Bull CaseAI 多头观点 Stronger-than-expected housing market recovery or successful cost-cutting measures could drive Opendoor's stock price further above $5.00. 房地产市场复苏超预期或成功削减成本，可能推动Opendoor股价进一步上涨。
🐻 AI Bear CaseAI 空头观点 A downturn in the housing market or increased competition could push Opendoor's stock price back below the $5.00 threshold. 房地产市场下行或竞争加剧，可能使Opendoor股价跌破5美元门槛。
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500
#2 · Score 614

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 27? NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 27?

8% -61.0%

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 27?

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Key Drivers核心驱动

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Vol 24h: $4,449 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#3 · Score 610

WTI $92 Target Fades WTI原油92美元目标渐远

6% -60.6%

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on May 27?

The probability of WTI crude oil closing above $92 by May 27 has plummeted to 6%, reflecting a sharp decline in market confidence. This significant drop is primarily driven by the approaching deadline and WTI's current trading levels well below the target, without strong bullish catalysts. WTI原油在5月27日收盘价高于92美元的可能性已暴跌至6%，反映出市场信心急剧下降。这一显著跌幅主要源于截止日期临近，且WTI当前交易价格远低于目标，缺乏强劲看涨催化剂。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Approaching May 27 deadline
  • WTI trading significantly below $92
  • Absence of strong bullish catalysts
  • Concerns over global demand outlook
  • 5月27日截止日期临近
  • WTI价格远低于92美元
  • 缺乏强劲看涨催化剂
  • 全球需求前景担忧
WTI crude oil prices are a critical indicator of global economic health and inflation pressures. A sustained inability to reach higher price targets could signal weakening demand or ample supply, impacting energy sector profitability and consumer costs. WTI原油价格是全球经济健康和通胀压力的关键指标。若持续未能达到更高价格目标，可能预示需求疲软或供应充足，影响能源行业盈利能力和消费者成本。
Vol 24h: $9,246 Polymarket ↗
🐂 AI Bull CaseAI 多头观点 Unexpected geopolitical supply disruptions or a sudden surge in global demand could quickly push WTI above $92 before May 27. 意外地缘政治供应中断或全球需求突然激增，可能在5月27日前迅速将WTI推高至92美元以上。
🐻 AI Bear CaseAI 空头观点 Persistent concerns about global economic slowdowns and ample supply will likely keep WTI well below $92 by the May 27 deadline. 对全球经济放缓的持续担忧和充足的供应，可能使WTI在5月27日截止日期前远低于92美元。
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500
#4 · Score 564

Will Meta (META) close above $620 on May 27? Will Meta (META) close above $620 on May 27?

74% +56.0%

Will Meta (META) close above $620 on May 27?

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Key Drivers核心驱动

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Vol 24h: $2,405 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#5 · Score 518

Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 in May? Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 in May?

100% +51.4%

Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 in May?

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Key Drivers核心驱动

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Vol 24h: $3,950 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#6 · Score 484

Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 27? Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 27?

98% +48.0%

Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 27?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

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Vol 24h: $7,466 Polymarket ↗
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500
#7 · Score 484

Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24? Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?

1% -47.9%

Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?

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Key Drivers核心驱动

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Vol 24h: $15,071 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#8 · Score 483

Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 27? Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 27?

2% -48.0%

Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 27?

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Key Drivers核心驱动

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Vol 24h: $2,957 Polymarket ↗
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500
#9 · Score 471

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 27? WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 27?

2% -46.7%

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 27?

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Key Drivers核心驱动

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Vol 24h: $50,943 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#10 · Score 464

Space Stocks Soar on SpaceX IPO Buzz SpaceX IPO提振太空股

96% +46.0%

Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on May 27?

RKLB's 'Up' probability surged by 46% to 96% driven by a broad rally in space stocks following news of SpaceX's S-1 IPO filing. This filing has ignited significant investor interest across the sector, benefiting companies like Rocket Lab. RKLB“上涨”概率飙升46%至96%，主要受SpaceX提交S-1 IPO文件后太空股普涨驱动。该文件点燃了投资者对整个太空板块的浓厚兴趣，使Rocket Lab等公司受益。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • SpaceX S-1 IPO filing sparks sector interest
  • Broad rally in space stocks, including RKLB
  • Procure Space ETF (UFO) up 65% YTD
  • SpaceX S-1 IPO文件引发板块关注
  • 包括RKLB在内的太空股普涨
  • Procure Space ETF (UFO)年内上涨65%
The potential SpaceX IPO is creating a 'rising tide' effect, drawing significant investor capital and attention to the entire commercial space industry. This validates the sector's long-term growth prospects. 潜在的SpaceX IPO正在产生“水涨船高”效应，吸引大量投资者资金和关注到整个商业航天产业。这验证了该行业的长期增长前景。
Vol 24h: $4,017 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
🐂 AI Bull CaseAI 多头观点 Continued investor enthusiasm from the SpaceX IPO filing will likely sustain RKLB's upward momentum and sector-wide interest. SpaceX IPO文件带来的持续投资者热情，有望维持RKLB的上涨势头和整个板块的关注度。
🐻 AI Bear CaseAI 空头观点 The current surge may be an overreaction, leading to a quick profit-taking correction in RKLB shares or broader space stocks. 当前涨势可能反应过度，RKLB股价或面临快速获利回吐修正，或整个太空板块回调。
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500
#11 · Score 423

Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $270 on May 27? Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $270 on May 27?

50% +42.0%

Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $270 on May 27?

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Key Drivers核心驱动

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Vol 24h: $2,351 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#12 · Score 385

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 27? S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 27?

100% +38.0%

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 27?

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Key Drivers核心驱动

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Vol 24h: $114,418 Polymarket ↗
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500
#13 · Score 364

Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $148 Week of May 25 2026? Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $148 Week of May 25 2026?

100% +35.9%

Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $148 Week of May 25 2026?

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Key Drivers核心驱动

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Vol 24h: $10,048 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#14 · Score 358

Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 27? Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 27?

99% +35.4%

Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 27?

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Key Drivers核心驱动

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Vol 24h: $4,990 Polymarket ↗
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500
#15 · Score 357

Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026? Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?

41% -35.2%

Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?

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Key Drivers核心驱动

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Vol 24h: $151,294 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#16 · Score 339

Meta (META) Up or Down on May 27? Meta (META) Up or Down on May 27?

97% +33.5%

Meta (META) Up or Down on May 27?

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Key Drivers核心驱动

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Vol 24h: $5,361 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#17 · Score 319

Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 27? Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 27?

98% +31.6%

Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 27?

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Key Drivers核心驱动

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  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
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Vol 24h: $4,972 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#18 · Score 313

Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $380 in May? Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $380 in May?

18% -31.0%

Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $380 in May?

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Key Drivers核心驱动

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  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
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Vol 24h: $2,565 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#19 · Score 303

Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $130 Week of May 25 2026? Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $130 Week of May 25 2026?

38% -30.0%

Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $130 Week of May 25 2026?

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Key Drivers核心驱动

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  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
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Vol 24h: $1,855 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#20 · Score 254

Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May? Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?

50% +25.0%

Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?

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Key Drivers核心驱动

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Vol 24h: $6,890 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#21 · Score 229

Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31? Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?

38% -22.5%

Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?

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Key Drivers核心驱动

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Vol 24h: $9,671 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#22 · Score 218

Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $312 in May? Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $312 in May?

100% +21.4%

Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $312 in May?

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Key Drivers核心驱动

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Vol 24h: $3,814 Polymarket ↗
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500
#23 · Score 179

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May? Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?

46% +17.5%

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?

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Key Drivers核心驱动

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Vol 24h: $9,705 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#24 · Score 168

Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $70 in May? Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?

18% -16.5%

Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?

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Key Drivers核心驱动

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Vol 24h: $2,496 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#25 · Score 158

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 28? Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 28?

75% -15.3%

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 28?

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Key Drivers核心驱动

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Vol 24h: $68,979 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#26 · Score 143

Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $156 in May? Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $156 in May?

59% +14.0%

Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $156 in May?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
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Vol 24h: $1,732 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#27 · Score 130

SPY Bullishness Dips Post-Fed Minutes 标普看涨情绪因美联储纪要下降

55% -12.5%

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 27?

The probability of SPY being up on May 27 decreased by 12.5% to 55%, reflecting reduced bullish sentiment over the long weekend. This shift was primarily driven by the market's continued absorption of hawkish signals from the May 22 FOMC minutes. 标普500指数在5月27日上涨的概率下降了12.5%至55%，反映了长周末前看涨情绪的减弱。这一变化主要受市场持续消化5月22日美联储会议纪要中鹰派信号的影响。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • May 22 FOMC minutes hinted at potential rate hikes
  • Stronger May PMI data fueled inflation concerns
  • Profit-taking ahead of Memorial Day weekend
  • 5月22日美联储纪要暗示可能加息
  • 强劲的5月PMI数据加剧通胀担忧
  • 阵亡将士纪念日长周末前获利了结
A sustained shift in rate expectations or economic outlook could impact corporate earnings and broader market valuations, influencing investor allocation strategies. 利率预期或经济前景的持续转变可能影响企业盈利和整体市场估值，进而影响投资者资产配置策略。
Vol 24h: $99,396 Polymarket ↗
🐂 AI Bull CaseAI 多头观点 Strong corporate earnings reports next week could outweigh rate concerns, pushing SPY higher. 下周强劲的企业财报可能盖过利率担忧，推动SPY上涨。
🐻 AI Bear CaseAI 空头观点 Persistent inflation data or hawkish Fed commentary could further delay rate cuts, driving SPY lower. 持续的通胀数据或鹰派美联储言论可能进一步推迟降息，导致SPY下跌。
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#28 · Score 127

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on

2% -12.2%

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $25,029 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#29 · Score 125

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

57% +12.0%

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $225,326 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#30 · Score 114

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June? Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?

56% +11.0%

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $5,322 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
#31 · Score 71

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 m Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 m

84% +6.8%

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $2,605 Polymarket ↗
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500
#32 · Score 28

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?

28% -2.5%

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?

Insight generation encountered an error. Raw market data shown. 洞察生成遇到错误，仅显示市场原始数据。

Key Drivers核心驱动

  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
  • Error code: 429 - {'error': {'message': 'You exceeded your current quota, please check your plan and billing details. Fo
Please check API keys and retry. 请检查 API 密钥后重试。
Vol 24h: $2,646 Polymarket ↗ Sources:来源： 1, 2, 3
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500
No markets in this category yet. 此分类暂无市场数据。

📚 Guide 📚 使用指南

What is PolyLens?什么是 PolyLens？

PolyLens scans Polymarket every 8 hours, finds markets with notable price movements, fetches real news, and uses AI (Gemini / GPT) to generate concise intelligence cards. PolyLens 每 8 小时扫描全球最大预测市场 Polymarket，找出价格波动显著的市场，获取相关新闽，并使用 AI 生成简测的市场歸察卡片。

Think of it as: crowd wisdom + journalist instinct + analyst writing, fully automated. 可以理解为：结体智慐 + 记者直觉 + 分析师　振写，全自动化。

Reading a Card如何读测卡片

  • Big % (e.g. 62%) — current market-implied probability of YES outcome 大数字（如 62%） — 市场隐含的“是”结果概率
  • +7.0% / −3.5% — probability change in the last 24 hours +7.0% / −3.5% — 过去 24 小时概率变化
  • Summary — 2–3 sentence AI overview of latest developments 摘要 — AI 生成的 2–3 句最新动態
  • Key Drivers — bullet points explaining why the market moved 核心驱动 — 解释市场变动原因的要点
  • Vol 24h — trading volume (higher = more liquid, more reliable) Vol 24h — 24小时交易量（越高信号越可靠）
  • Sources 1 2 3 — news articles used as AI analysis context 来源 1 2 3 — AI 分析参考的新闽文章

Categories分类说明

  • 🔥 Hot — all markets ranked by movement × volume🔥 皣门 — 全部市场，按变动×成交量益合排名
  • 🗳️ Politics — elections, policy, government🗳️ 政治 — 选举、政ách;、政府
  • 🤖 AI & Tech — AI, software, hardware🤖 AI 科技 — 人工智能、软件、硬件
  • 📈 Economy — macro, rates, trade, inflation📈 经济 — 宏观、利率、质易、通織
  • 💼 Business — companies, M&A, earnings💼 商业 — 公司、并转、责报
  • 🌍 World — geopolitics, international events🌍 国际 — 地缓政治、国际事件
  • ⚽ Sports — football, NBA, tennis, golf…⚽ 体育 — 足球、NBA、网球、高尔堠…
  • ₿ Crypto — Bitcoin, Ethereum, DeFi₿ 加密 — 比特币、以太坚、DeFi

Newsletter邮件订阅

Subscribe at the bottom of the page. Every 8 hours, after fresh data is generated, you receive the top 3 insights with a link back to the full site. 在页面底部订阅。每 8 小时生成新数据后，您将收到前 3 条歸察的邮件，附有完整网站链接。

🤖 API / MCP for AI Agents供 AI 调用的 API / MCP

PolyLens exposes a Model Context Protocol (MCP) endpoint so AI assistants (Claude, GPT, etc.) can read live market intelligence as a built-in tool. PolyLens 提供 Model Context Protocol (MCP) 端点，供 AI 助手（Claude、GPT 等）以工具方式读取实时市场歸察。

Endpoint: https://www.hika.fyi/api/mcp 端点： https://www.hika.fyi/api/mcp

Tools: 可用工具：

  • get_insights — fetch insights, filter by category + lang — 获取歸察，可按 category 和 lang 簿选
  • get_market_summary — one-paragraph current market overview — 当前市场状况的简要显述 
curl https://www.hika.fyi/api/mcp \
  -X POST -H "Content-Type: application/json" \
  -d '{"jsonrpc":"2.0","id":1,"method":"tools/call",
       "params":{"name":"get_insights",
                 "arguments":{"limit":3}}}'

Raw data: /data.json · Discovery: /.well-known/mcp.json 原始数据：/data.json · 服务发现：/.well-known/mcp.json

Data Sources数据来源

  • Polymarket — market prices, volumes, 24h changesPolymarket — 市场价格、成交量、24h 变化
  • Tavily — real-time news search with full snippetsTavily — 实时新闽搜索，含完整摘要
  • Gemini / GPT-4o-mini — AI analysis, bilingual insight generationGemini / GPT-4o-mini — AI 分析，双语歸察生成

🕑 History 🕑 历史文策

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Select a date from the list to view that snapshot.

Each snapshot includes the full AI analysis + a downloadable Markdown article. 从左侧选择日期查看该时间的快照。

ỗ个快照包含完整 AI 分析及可下载的 Markdown 文策。